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Sacramento State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 60-87
34-45 26-42
Position#345
Record7-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#238
Record12-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sacramento State v Montana State
29 Jan 2026
SACR83
MONT80
01 Mar 2025
SACR60
MONT87
25 Jan 2024
SACR62
MONT70
28 Jan 2023
SACR65
MONT72
04 Dec 2021
SACR66
MONT68
27 Feb 2020
SACR81
MONT52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H14/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A23/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-42
47-45
29-34
29-36
26-38
33-49
41-42
39-41
47-39
29-39
25-45
36-32
26-36
35-29
40-37
40-40
30-47
36-36
15-31
39-29
144.3Avg total
67.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)66.769.9136.6-3.324%
Season at home (15)69.564.7134.2+4.733%
Season away (14)63.675.5139.1-11.914%
Last 10 (10)67.676.7144.3-9.110%
Last 5 (5)64.472.4136.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.873.2135.9-10.418%
vs Similar (8)66.975.5142.4-8.60%
vs Weaker (5)80.450.8131.2+29.680%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#325
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H21/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H16/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
45-33
30-42
40-35
34-29
36-29
38-35
36-38
38-40
26-29
28-30
38-43
38-25
36-41
36-30
38-39
40-49
45-40
25-37
27-32
141.0Avg total
70.3Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.370.6141.8+0.741%
Season at home (13)76.264.8141.0+11.577%
Season away (16)67.275.2142.5-8.012%
Last 10 (10)70.370.7141.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)70.273.2143.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.374.8143.2-6.517%
vs Similar (18)71.273.4144.6-2.339%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)76.260.5136.7+15.767%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +0.8+0.8
Sacramento StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#317
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H14/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
15-31
15
31
-16
H28/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
31.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.335.867.0-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.732.763.5-2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)31.838.870.6-7.020%-
Last 10 (10)31.339.170.4-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)27.239.266.4-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.137.566.6-8.518%-
vs Similar (8)30.939.170.0-8.212%-
vs Weaker (5)39.424.463.8+15.080%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#325
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A28/02
NCAA
68.4Avg total
33.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.068.5+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.930.067.9+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)31.637.469.0-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)33.634.868.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.267.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.235.068.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (18)33.835.068.8-1.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.229.868.0+8.367%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HMontana54-60
23/02/25AIdaho State66-83
21/02/25AWeber State80-77
15/02/25HNorthern Arizona61-65
14/02/25HNorthern Colorado61-77
08/02/25AIdaho76-78
07/02/25AEast. Washington80-83
01/02/25AMontana59-87
31/01/25AMontana State58-70
25/01/25HWeber State81-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25APortland State52-69
23/02/25HMontana85-89
16/02/25HIdaho State74-69
14/02/25HWeber State74-66
09/02/25ANorthern Colorado66-73
07/02/25ANorthern Arizona64-69
02/02/25HPortland State74-73
31/01/25HSacramento State70-58
26/01/25AMontana70-77
21/01/25HEast. Washington74-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL24%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %24%33%14%
Points / game66.769.563.6
Allowed / game69.964.775.5
Point differential-3.3+4.7-11.9
Avg total136.6134.2139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL41%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %41%77%12%
Points / game71.376.267.2
Allowed / game70.664.875.2
Point differential+0.7+11.5-8.0
Avg total141.8141.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%46%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)50% (6)0% (7)
Overtime %3%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado2921872%81.773.8+7.9
2 Montana2921872%76.373.3+3.0
3 Portland State29171259%76.269.5+6.7
4 Northern Arizona29161355%76.471.1+5.4
5 Idaho State27141352%74.669.8+4.8
6 Montana State29121741%71.370.6+0.7
7 Idaho29121741%74.375.6-1.3
8 Weber State30111937%72.271.6+0.6
9 East. Washington29101934%72.675.4-2.9
10 Sacramento State2972224%66.769.9-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State342660
Montana State454287
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