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Sacramento State vs Montana Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 54-60
15-31 39-29
Position#345
Record7-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game70.3
Sacramento State
USA
vs
Montana 🏆
USA
Position#53
Record20-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sacramento State v Montana
31 Jan 2026
SACR86
MONT79
27 Feb 2025
SACR54
MONT60
27 Jan 2024
SACR67
MONT70
26 Jan 2023
SACR67
MONT48
02 Dec 2021
SACR58
MONT65
23 Jan 2021
SACR89
MONT83
21 Jan 2021
SACR66
MONT78
29 Feb 2020
SACR71
MONT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#204
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H14/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
42-39
34-42
47-45
29-34
29-36
26-38
33-49
41-42
39-41
47-39
29-39
25-45
36-32
26-36
35-29
40-37
40-40
30-47
36-36
147.5Avg total
69.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)67.170.3137.4-3.225%
Season at home (14)70.665.1135.6+5.536%
Season away (14)63.675.5139.1-11.914%
Last 10 (10)69.777.8147.5-8.120%
Last 5 (5)68.876.0144.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)63.973.7137.6-9.824%
vs Similar (8)66.975.5142.4-8.60%
vs Weaker (5)80.450.8131.2+29.680%
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#204
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A19/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H21/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H26/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
87-59
87
59
+28
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H16/02
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
18-50
37-31
35-36
42-30
35-40
44-33
48-45
38-26
49-33
47-34
39-44
46-40
37-40
37-28
44-40
32-33
33-25
49-40
40-45
152.3Avg total
79.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.974.0150.9+2.971%
Season at home (15)79.566.9146.4+12.793%
Season away (13)73.882.2156.1-8.446%
Last 10 (10)79.472.9152.3+6.590%
Last 5 (5)80.873.8154.6+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.683.3155.9-10.729%
vs Similar (13)73.575.5148.9-2.069%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.465.9147.3+15.6100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -2.0-2.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -2.0-2.0
Sacramento StateMontana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#204
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H14/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
33.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.935.867.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.932.964.7-1.036%-
Last 30 away (16)32.038.470.4-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)33.139.272.3-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.640.874.4-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.237.667.8-7.424%-
vs Similar (8)30.939.170.0-8.212%-
vs Weaker (5)39.424.463.8+15.080%-
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#204
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A19/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H31/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A23/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
41.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.934.972.8+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.331.570.8+7.882%-
Last 30 away (13)36.139.375.4-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.633.174.7+8.590%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.077.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.939.375.1-3.429%-
vs Similar (13)37.536.073.5+1.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.430.069.4+9.471%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sacramento State wins
7
Montana wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Montana v Sacramento State87-59
23/02/24Montana v Sacramento State68-61
28/01/24Sacramento State v Montana67-70
26/02/23Montana v Sacramento State74-72
27/01/23Sacramento State v Montana67-48
06/03/22Montana v Sacramento State71-72
03/12/21Sacramento State v Montana58-65
23/01/21Sacramento State v Montana89-83 OT
22/01/21Sacramento State v Montana66-78
01/03/20Sacramento State v Montana71-79
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AIdaho State66-83
21/02/25AWeber State80-77
15/02/25HNorthern Arizona61-65
14/02/25HNorthern Colorado61-77
08/02/25AIdaho76-78
07/02/25AEast. Washington80-83
01/02/25AMontana59-87
31/01/25AMontana State58-70
25/01/25HWeber State81-87
24/01/25HIdaho State75-71
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AMontana State89-85
16/02/25HWeber State65-58
14/02/25HIdaho State81-68
09/02/25ANorthern Arizona83-80
07/02/25ANorthern Colorado86-78
01/02/25HSacramento State87-59
31/01/25HPortland State92-78
26/01/25HMontana State77-70
21/01/25HIdaho72-67
19/01/25AIdaho State62-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%36%14%
Points / game67.170.663.6
Allowed / game70.365.175.5
Point differential-3.2+5.5-11.9
Avg total137.4135.6139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %71%93%46%
Points / game76.979.573.8
Allowed / game74.066.982.2
Point differential+2.9+12.7-8.4
Avg total150.9146.4156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado2921872%81.773.8+7.9
2 Montana2820871%76.974.0+2.9
3 Portland State28161257%76.570.1+6.4
4 Northern Arizona29161355%76.471.1+5.4
5 Idaho State27141352%74.669.8+4.8
6 Montana State28121643%72.070.6+1.4
7 Idaho29121741%74.375.6-1.3
8 Weber State30111937%72.271.6+0.6
9 East. Washington29101934%72.675.4-2.9
10 Sacramento State2872125%67.170.3-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State153954
Montana312960
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