PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Uconn vs Providence Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 87-81
41-37 46-44
Position#11
Record19-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game63.5
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#246
Record9-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game86.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Uconn v Providence
27 Jan 2026
UCON87
PROV81
05 Jan 2025
UCON87
PROV84
31 Jan 2024
UCON74
PROV65
09 Mar 2023
UCON73
PROV66
22 Feb 2023
UCON87
PROV69
18 Dec 2021
UCON53
PROV57
16 Feb 2021
UCON73
PROV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Providence winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H17/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A21/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A31/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
A08/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A14/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
75-67 OT
75
67
+8
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
28-29
39-25
40-35
33-30
39-24
43-28
47-39
37-29
36-28
37-47
52-42
37-27
35-33
35-22
34-42
32-28
32-34
27-31
34-30
142.0Avg total
76.8Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.363.5141.8+14.895%
Season at home (12)78.960.2139.2+18.792%
Season away (8)77.468.2145.6+9.1100%
Last 10 (10)76.865.2142.0+11.6100%
Last 5 (5)76.670.2146.8+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.073.7146.7-0.733%
vs Similar (7)72.669.4142.0+3.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.961.5140.4+17.4100%
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#319
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H13/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
44-42
45-41
44-48
28-35
39-37
31-38
46-33
47-37
42-52
35-44
49-53
34-46
48-42
45-46
48-42
44-54
50-40
43-25
35-56
177.6Avg total
87.9Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.286.0175.2+3.145%
Season at home (12)88.781.3170.0+7.358%
Season away (8)89.993.1183.0-3.225%
Last 10 (10)87.989.7177.6-1.830%
Last 5 (5)88.291.8180.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.283.8159.0-8.618%
vs Similar (15)87.188.1175.1-1.027%
vs Weaker (4)89.568.5158.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +0.0+0.0
UconnProvidence
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A31/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A14/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A17/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/01
NCAA
66.4Avg total
36.3Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.431.068.4+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.228.867.1+9.472%-
Last 30 away (12)36.234.370.5+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)36.330.166.4+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.064.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.332.767.0+1.733%-
vs Similar (7)34.738.172.9-3.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.828.367.1+10.585%-
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#319
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H24/01
NCAA
79.7Avg total
39.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.276.4+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.035.974.9+3.156%-
Last 30 away (12)37.041.778.7-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.379.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.083.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.040.575.5-5.518%-
vs Similar (15)39.739.379.0+0.347%-
vs Weaker (4)41.527.569.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Uconn wins
2
Providence wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Providence v Uconn98-103 OT
01/03/25Providence v Uconn63-75
05/01/25Uconn v Providence87-84
10/03/24Providence v Uconn60-74
01/02/24Uconn v Providence74-65
09/03/23Uconn v Providence73-66
22/02/23Uconn v Providence87-69
05/01/23Providence v Uconn73-61
18/12/21Uconn v Providence53-57
16/02/21Uconn v Providence73-61
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HVillanova75-67 OT
17/01/26AGeorgetown64-62
14/01/26ASeton Hall69-64
10/01/26HDePaul72-60
08/01/26AProvidence103-98 OT
04/01/26HMarquette73-57
31/12/25AXavier90-67
21/12/25ADePaul72-54
17/12/25HButler79-60
13/12/25HTexas71-63
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HGeorgetown78-81
19/01/26AMarquette104-105 OT
16/01/26HCreighton93-88
13/01/26HVillanova82-88
10/01/26AXavier84-97
08/01/26HUconn98-103 OT
03/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)77-71
19/12/25HSeton Hall67-72
13/12/25AButler110-113 OT
10/12/25HBrown86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %95%92%100%
Points / game78.378.977.4
Allowed / game63.560.268.2
Point differential+14.8+18.7+9.1
Avg total141.8139.2145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)50% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %10%8%12%
Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeLLLWL58%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %45%58%25%
Points / game89.288.789.9
Allowed / game86.081.393.1
Point differential+3.1+7.3-3.2
Avg total175.2170.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %20%8%38%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2019195%78.363.5+14.8
2 Villanova2015575%77.469.0+8.4
3 Seton Hall2014670%71.564.0+7.5
4 St. John's (N.Y.)2215768%82.174.0+8.2
5 Butler2013765%83.575.9+7.7
6 Creighton2012860%79.074.3+4.7
7 DePaul2012860%73.369.5+3.9
8 Xavier2011955%78.577.2+1.3
9 Georgetown20101050%75.573.9+1.6
10 Providence2091145%89.286.0+3.1
11 Marquette2171433%75.979.1-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn414687
Providence374481
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.