PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Uconn vs Xavier Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 92-60
50-22 42-38
Position#11
Record21-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game64.0
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#248
Record12-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Uconn v Xavier
16 Jan 2027
UCON v XAVI
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
UCON93
XAVI68
03 Feb 2026
UCON92
XAVI60
18 Dec 2024
UCON94
XAVI89
14 Mar 2024
UCON87
XAVI60
28 Jan 2024
UCON99
XAVI56
25 Jan 2023
UCON79
XAVI82
19 Feb 2022
UCON72
XAVI61
20 Jan 2021
UCON v XAVI
upcoming
22 Nov 2019
UCON74
XAVI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xavier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A21/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A31/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
A08/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A14/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
75-67 OT
75
67
+8
H24/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
85-58
85
58
+27
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
39-24
43-28
47-39
37-29
36-28
37-47
52-42
37-27
35-33
35-22
34-42
32-28
32-34
27-31
34-30
41-37
46-44
41-30
44-28
145.8Avg total
79.0Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.064.0143.0+15.095%
Season at home (13)79.561.8141.4+17.792%
Season away (9)78.267.1145.3+11.1100%
Last 10 (10)79.066.8145.8+12.2100%
Last 5 (5)76.066.4142.4+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.073.7146.7-0.733%
vs Similar (5)73.467.6141.0+5.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.562.3141.8+17.3100%
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H31/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A08/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
97-84
97
84
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
45-37
28-43
39-47
37-40
40-46
27-37
38-29
44-35
53-49
44-36
45-39
39-42
54-52
49-37
34-51
41-30
27-56
30-35
38-31
159.9Avg total
78.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.577.1154.6+0.555%
Season at home (16)78.875.4154.2+3.469%
Season away (6)74.281.7155.8-7.517%
Last 10 (10)78.781.2159.9-2.540%
Last 5 (5)80.281.8162.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.077.8152.8-2.845%
vs Similar (14)79.677.3156.9+2.357%
vs Weaker (5)82.469.8152.2+12.6100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: -2.4-2.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: -2.4-2.4
UconnXavier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A31/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A14/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A17/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
36.3Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.230.568.7+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.129.068.1+10.178%-
Last 30 away (12)36.932.769.6+4.267%-
Last 10 (10)36.330.967.2+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)35.229.664.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.332.767.0+1.733%-
vs Similar (5)37.036.673.6+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.028.867.8+10.286%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H31/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H31/01
NCAA
74.9Avg total
37.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.735.973.6+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.234.873.0+3.470%-
Last 30 away (10)36.638.274.8-1.630%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.574.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.076.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.136.472.5-0.355%-
vs Similar (14)37.237.274.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker (5)42.431.473.8+11.0100%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Uconn wins
4
Xavier wins
DateGameScore
31/12/25Xavier v Uconn67-90
26/01/25Xavier v Uconn76-72
19/12/24Uconn v Xavier94-89 OT
14/03/24Uconn v Xavier87-60
28/01/24Uconn v Xavier99-56
11/01/24Xavier v Uconn75-80
25/01/23Uconn v Xavier79-82
31/12/22Xavier v Uconn83-73
19/02/22Uconn v Xavier72-61
12/02/22Xavier v Uconn74-68
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ACreighton85-58
28/01/26HProvidence87-81
24/01/26HVillanova75-67 OT
17/01/26AGeorgetown64-62
14/01/26ASeton Hall69-64
10/01/26HDePaul72-60
08/01/26AProvidence103-98 OT
04/01/26HMarquette73-57
31/12/25AXavier90-67
21/12/25ADePaul72-54
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HDePaul68-66
29/01/26ASeton Hall68-86
24/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)83-88
22/01/26ACreighton93-94
14/01/26HButler89-75
10/01/26HProvidence97-84
08/01/26AMarquette65-66
03/01/26ADePaul77-86
31/12/25HUconn67-90
21/12/25AGeorgetown80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %95%92%100%
Points / game79.079.578.2
Allowed / game64.061.867.1
Point differential+15.0+17.7+11.1
Avg total143.0141.4145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%62%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)50% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %9%8%11%
Xavier
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeLWWLW69%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22166
Win %55%69%17%
Points / game77.578.874.2
Allowed / game77.175.481.7
Point differential+0.5+3.4-7.5
Avg total154.6154.2155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2221195%79.064.0+15.0
2 Villanova2116576%77.969.1+8.7
3 Seton Hall2216673%72.164.2+7.9
4 St. John's (N.Y.)2316770%82.673.8+8.8
5 Butler2213959%82.076.7+5.4
6 DePaul22121055%72.469.4+3.0
7 Georgetown22121055%75.472.9+2.5
8 Creighton22121055%77.375.4+1.9
9 Xavier22121055%77.577.1+0.5
10 Providence2291341%88.086.1+1.9
11 Marquette2381535%75.877.9-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn504292
Xavier223860
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.