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Uconn vs Xavier Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#30
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game58.0
vs
Position#8
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game55.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Uconn v Xavier
16 Jan 2027
UCON v XAVI
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
UCON93
XAVI68
03 Feb 2026
UCON92
XAVI60
18 Dec 2024
UCON94
XAVI89
14 Mar 2024
UCON87
XAVI60
28 Jan 2024
UCON99
XAVI56
25 Jan 2023
UCON79
XAVI82
19 Feb 2022
UCON72
XAVI61
20 Jan 2021
UCON v XAVI
upcoming
22 Nov 2019
UCON74
XAVI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Xavier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H28/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A29/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H04/04
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A07/04
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#330
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Michigan
#163
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Wagner
#315
W
83-41
83
41
+42
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#224
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
42-35
38-33
35-24
35-27
32-36
29-44
44-28
37-29
34-33
29-33
34-36
43-24
43-22
43-30
42-47
44-18
39-23
42-40
42-28
139.3Avg total
76.7Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.558.0142.5+26.5100%
Season at home (3)84.351.7136.0+32.7100%
Season away (1)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.762.6139.3+14.190%
Last 5 (5)80.260.2140.4+20.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)68.070.5138.5-2.550%
vs Similar (5)66.863.6130.4+3.260%
vs Weaker (23)79.266.1145.3+13.191%
This opponent (Xavier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
68-93
68
93
-25
A12/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
97-52
97
52
+45
H03/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#158
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H11/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#98
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-47
50-47
38-39
53-45
32-33
36-44
32-44
46-47
38-38
51-49
30-50
38-43
51-16
46-36
34-25
42-28
43-20
57-35
41-31
40-32
158.1Avg total
83.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.555.8144.2+32.8100%
Season at home (3)91.053.3144.3+37.7100%
Season away (1)81.063.0144.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.274.9158.1+8.360%
Last 5 (5)84.463.2147.6+21.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.584.0160.5-7.523%
vs Similar (12)81.081.8162.8-0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.059.4149.4+30.6100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +5.3+5.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +5.3+5.3
UconnXavier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A29/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H04/04
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A07/04
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#330
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H03/11
NCAA
Michigan
#163
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A07/11
NCAA
Wagner
#315
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#224
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
38.0Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.831.969.7+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.630.169.6+9.583%-
Last 30 away (12)35.234.769.8+0.558%-
Last 10 (10)38.031.469.4+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.229.069.2+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)29.038.567.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (5)35.832.268.0+3.660%-
vs Weaker (23)39.031.370.3+7.783%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Marquette
#290
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H03/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#158
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H11/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#98
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.274.1-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.033.972.9+5.159%-
Last 30 away (13)34.341.475.7-7.115%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.371.6+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.828.468.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.240.476.5-4.231%-
vs Similar (12)35.538.874.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.625.067.6+17.6100%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Uconn wins
3
Xavier wins
DateGameScore
12/03/26Uconn v Xavier93-68
04/02/26Uconn v Xavier92-60
31/12/25Xavier v Uconn67-90
26/01/25Xavier v Uconn76-72
19/12/24Uconn v Xavier94-89 OT
14/03/24Uconn v Xavier87-60
28/01/24Uconn v Xavier99-56
11/01/24Xavier v Uconn75-80
25/01/23Uconn v Xavier79-82
31/12/22Xavier v Uconn83-73
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOhio State84-68
10/11/26HWagner83-41
07/11/26AMichigan85-77
03/11/26HGardner Webb86-46
07/04/26AMichigan63-69
04/04/26HIllinois71-62
29/03/26ADuke73-72
28/03/26HMichigan State67-63
23/03/26HUCLA73-57
21/03/26HFurman82-71
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMississippi St.81-63
11/11/26HDetroit100-55
07/11/26HEastern Michigan76-53
03/11/26HMount St. Mary's97-52
12/03/26AUconn68-93
11/03/26AMarquette89-87
07/03/26AVillanova78-91
04/03/26HSeton Hall68-77
28/02/26HGeorgetown91-84
26/02/26AProvidence84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.584.385.0
Allowed / game58.051.777.0
Point differential+26.5+32.7+8.0
Avg total142.5136.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Xavier
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.591.081.0
Allowed / game55.853.363.0
Point differential+32.8+37.7+18.0
Avg total144.2144.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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