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Ukmerges Stekas vs Rytas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-59
21-16 19-10 17-19 11-14
Position#8
Record8-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#11
Record8-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game82.8
LithuaniaNKL· Jeep arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Rytas 2
12 Nov 2026
UKME v RYTA
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
UKME62
RYTA80
14 Dec 2024
UKME68
RYTA59
15 Feb 2024
UKME82
RYTA76
25 Nov 2023
UKME88
RYTA84
21 Mar 2023
UKME101
RYTA84
16 Mar 2023
UKME79
RYTA84
18 Feb 2023
UKME101
RYTA81
13 Oct 2022
UKME89
RYTA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
87-77
87
77
+10
77avg 71
A09/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
66-83
66
83
-17
52avg 71
H14/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
67-72
67
72
-5
56avg 71
A16/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
78avg 71
H21/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 71
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 71
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 71
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 71
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 71
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
110avg 71
H10/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-13
18-26
18-11
18-27
20-15
7-22
21-23
18-23
22-18
12-19
12-19
21-16
20-25
21-18
20-13
20-22
24-25
16-16
15-24
22-27
17-11
18-16
22-27
22-30
16-25
20-21
23-20
12-17
14-25
18-22
17-19
21-19
24-26
13-23
23-21
14-16
21-19
24-20
31-13
25-27
159.2Avg total
77.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.981.1159.0-3.238%
Season at home (10)80.881.4162.2-0.650%
Season away (11)75.280.8156.0-5.627%
Last 10 (10)77.381.9159.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)79.083.4162.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.092.0186.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (21)75.779.5155.2-3.829%
vs Weaker (8)85.577.9163.4+7.675%
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rytas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
58avg 74
A09/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
101-80
101
80
+21
93avg 74
A14/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
65avg 74
H16/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
82-90
82
90
-8
70avg 74
A21/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
86-96
86
96
-10
75avg 74
H23/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
78avg 74
H28/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
68-72
68
72
-4
63avg 74
A30/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 74
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
63avg 74
A07/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
64-95
64
95
-31
50avg 74
A12/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
13-22
15-16
28-24
23-31
28-16
23-15
27-18
22-24
15-22
19-15
17-23
23-24
7-17
19-25
33-24
19-33
29-22
20-19
18-22
18-22
27-18
19-20
12-16
21-25
18-10
12-23
17-14
16-26
22-18
19-21
28-16
10-27
22-17
20-22
19-17
16-25
19-16
16-32
13-22
162.5Avg total
78.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.482.8162.2-3.438%
Season at home (11)83.481.9165.3+1.555%
Season away (10)75.083.8158.8-8.820%
Last 10 (10)78.683.9162.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)74.682.4157.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.587.5165.9-9.020%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.881.9165.8+1.958%
vs Weaker (3)82.785.3168.0-2.733%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Ukmerges StekasRytas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A09/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A16/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/12
NKL
78.3Avg total
37.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.877.6-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.637.775.3-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)38.042.580.5-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.578.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.678.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.040.069.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)37.441.178.5-3.833%-
vs Weaker (8)39.936.276.1+3.662%-
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rytas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A14/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H16/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A21/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H23/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A30/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A07/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A12/12
NKL
81.3Avg total
38.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.784.4-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.643.187.7+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)38.842.381.1-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.081.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.943.383.1-3.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.641.284.8+2.358%-
vs Weaker (3)43.345.789.0-2.333%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.3
50.6%
52.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.0
33.2%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.710.4
70.7%
70.5%10.4
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas 2: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.7
50.9%
52.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.7
30.9%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.411.1
72.1%
70.5%11.1
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WLLLLLWLLW
Rytas 2
LLWLWLLLWL
#8
League position
#11
-5.8
Net rating
-7.2
103.4
Offensive rating
101.9
109.1
Defensive rating
109.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.3%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.2%
3-point %
30.9%
68.2%
Assist %
58.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 101.9Defence109.1 · 109.1Shooting50.2% · 49.3%3-point %33.2% · 30.9%Ball care18.9% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 32.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Rytas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ukmerges Stekas wins
4
Rytas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis101-79
07/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga74-86
05/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga70-85
30/11/24ASilute71-83
28/11/24HAlytaus Alytus79-84
23/11/24AOmega-Tauras77-92
21/11/24HOmega-Tauras81-78
16/11/24ASuduva-Mantinga67-72
14/11/24HBC Olimpas Palanga66-83
09/11/24AAlytaus Alytus87-77
Rytas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga64-95
07/12/24ATelsiai71-83
05/12/24HKretinga85-81
30/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas 268-72
28/11/24HJurbarkas85-81 OT
23/11/24HAlytaus Alytus86-96
21/11/24AAlytaus Alytus82-90
16/11/24HTelsiai73-84
14/11/24AKretinga101-80
09/11/24AJurbarkas71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game77.980.875.2
Allowed / game81.181.480.8
Point differential-3.2-0.6-5.6
Avg total159.0162.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Rytas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game79.483.475.0
Allowed / game82.881.983.8
Point differential-3.4+1.5-8.8
Avg total162.2165.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas1914574%81.578.8+2.7
2 Telsiai2115671%85.078.2+6.8
3 Omega-Tauras2014670%80.576.8+3.6
4 BC Olimpas Palanga2114767%80.872.6+8.1
5 Vilkaviskis2113862%83.376.8+6.5
6 Vytis VDU2012860%89.884.7+5.2
7 Suduva-Mantinga2112957%81.877.8+4.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 22011955%79.577.0+2.5
9 Neptunas 22011955%78.077.1+0.9
10 Alytaus Alytus2091145%82.787.8-5.2
11 Silute2191243%79.780.7-1.0
12 Ukmerges Stekas2181338%77.981.1-3.2
13 Rytas 22181338%79.482.8-3.4
14 Kretinga2171433%79.685.2-5.6
15 Plunges Olimpas2061430%77.182.3-5.2
16 Delikatesas Joniskis211205%76.292.7-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas2119171168
Rytas 21610191459
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