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Ukmerges Stekas vs Rytas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-84
21-17 23-15 22-25 22-27
Position#5
Record5-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#13
Record5-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game87.1
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Rytas 2
12 Nov 2026
UKME76
RYTA69
07 Feb 2026
UKME62
RYTA80
14 Dec 2024
UKME68
RYTA59
15 Feb 2024
UKME82
RYTA76
25 Nov 2023
UKME88
RYTA84
21 Mar 2023
UKME101
RYTA84
16 Mar 2023
UKME79
RYTA84
18 Feb 2023
UKME101
RYTA81
13 Oct 2022
UKME89
RYTA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
55avg 65
A14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
67-72
67
72
-5
60avg 65
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
79-62
79
62
+17
68avg 65
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
58avg 65
A26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
82-64
82
64
+18
82avg 65
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
65avg 65
A02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 65
H04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 65
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
58-75
58
75
-17
51avg 65
A11/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
61-79
61
79
-18
54avg 65
H18/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
20-15
15-21
14-22
10-22
19-10
24-15
14-25
22-12
16-19
15-17
26-14
17-20
14-16
11-24
21-22
21-20
26-13
18-13
17-18
23-27
12-17
14-18
23-27
28-17
25-22
11-26
25-31
17-19
26-8
21-23
16-27
11-20
19-23
19-18
9-14
17-24
19-21
12-16
13-18
149.8Avg total
71.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.878.7151.5-5.838%
Season at home (5)78.275.6153.8+2.660%
Season away (8)69.580.6150.1-11.125%
Last 10 (10)71.977.9149.8-6.030%
Last 5 (5)72.083.2155.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.080.0143.0-17.00%
vs Similar (8)73.281.0154.2-7.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.876.4161.3+8.463%
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rytas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
56avg 74
A19/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
79avg 74
H21/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 74
H26/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
72-92
72
92
-20
61avg 74
A28/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
101-85
101
85
+16
98avg 74
A02/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
97-96
97
96
+1
90avg 74
H04/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
116-80
116
80
+36
121avg 74
H11/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 74
A16/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
92-87
92
87
+5
92avg 74
H18/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
69-96
69
96
-27
49avg 74
H23/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
19-18
14-21
18-19
25-23
14-22
20-25
21-30
22-21
23-21
24-14
16-22
14-27
22-22
17-18
19-25
24-15
21-29
30-21
26-20
30-28
29-24
20-27
18-17
27-12
33-17
35-25
21-26
14-24
18-22
19-20
27-16
31-17
27-27
16-25
18-18
14-21
23-24
11-26
21-25
173.1Avg total
85.5Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.287.1169.4-4.936%
Season at home (8)87.289.9177.1-2.650%
Season away (6)75.583.5159.0-8.017%
Last 10 (10)85.587.6173.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)90.488.2178.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)81.690.0171.6-8.535%
vs Similar (8)90.685.6176.2+5.062%
vs Weaker (2)90.575.5166.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
Ukmerges StekasRytas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H18/11
NKL
75.1Avg total
38.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.477.6+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.235.580.7+9.685%-
Last 30 away (17)36.438.875.2-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.075.1+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.339.773.0-6.30%-
vs Similar (8)35.839.675.4-3.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.236.179.3+7.179%-
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rytas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A19/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H21/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A28/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H04/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
60-29
60
29
+31
H11/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H18/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H23/11
NKL
88.0Avg total
44.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.045.887.8-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.344.891.1+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)37.147.084.1-9.921%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.688.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)49.243.292.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.146.087.2-4.925%-
vs Similar (8)43.146.489.5-3.250%-
vs Weaker (2)46.041.587.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.0
48.1%
51.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.6
32.7%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.812.5
66.5%
70.3%12.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas 2: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.1
51.2%
51.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.8
36.1%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.812.4
69.7%
70.3%12.4
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLWLLWLWLL
Rytas 2
LWLWWWLWLL
#5
League position
#13
-8.2
Net rating
-2.7
100.7
Offensive rating
113.3
108.9
Defensive rating
116.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
39.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.7%
3-point %
36.1%
74.8%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 113.3Defence108.9 · 116.0Shooting48.5% · 52.2%3-point %32.7% · 36.1%Ball care17.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds28.2% · 39.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Rytas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ukmerges Stekas wins
4
Rytas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 261-79
11/11/23ATelsiai58-75
09/11/23HSilute80-77
04/11/23HVytis VDU89-96
02/11/23ADelikatesas Joniskis72-89
28/10/23HKretinga82-64
26/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga63-82
21/10/23HKauno Atletas79-62
19/10/23ANeptunas 267-72
14/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga68-83
Rytas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 269-96
18/11/23HJurbarkas92-87
16/11/23AJurbarkas78-82
11/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis116-80
04/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga97-96
02/11/23ANeptunas 2101-85
28/10/23AVilkaviskis72-92
26/10/23HSilute85-78
21/10/23HTelsiai80-100
19/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%60%25%
Points / game72.878.269.5
Allowed / game78.775.680.6
Point differential-5.8+2.6-11.1
Avg total151.5153.8150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL36%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%50%17%
Points / game82.287.275.5
Allowed / game87.189.983.5
Point differential-4.9-2.6-8.0
Avg total169.4177.1159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%12%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1311285%84.373.5+10.8
2 Telsiai1512380%83.673.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1612475%81.471.5+9.9
4 Vilkaviskis149564%83.579.6+3.9
5 Vytis VDU138562%87.784.0+3.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2159660%78.474.1+4.3
7 Jurbarkas148657%81.679.4+2.2
8 Delikatesas Joniskis147750%77.983.8-5.9
9 Ukmerges Stekas135838%72.878.7-5.8
10 Rytas 2145936%82.287.1-4.9
11 Silute1651131%79.884.0-4.2
12 Kretinga1651131%77.582.4-4.9
13 Kauno Atletas1431121%74.982.9-8.1
14 Neptunas 21521313%76.787.7-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas2123222288
Rytas 21715252784
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