Ukmerges Stekas host Rytas 2 on 12 November 2026 in the NKL, with the model favouring Rytas 2 and predicting a close 82-84 finish. Ukmerges Stekas come into the game with a 3-9 record, averaging 77.8 points and conceding 89.5, and have won only 2 of 7 home outings, scoring 77.4 and allowing 85.9; their last five games yielded a single win, including a 58-73 loss to Alytaus Patriotai at home, a 74-97 defeat to Vilkaviskis away and a 64-87 loss to Neptunas 2 at home. Rytas 2, meanwhile, are 1-11 overall, 73.4 points and 83.2 allowed on the road, with a 0-5 road record; they have managed one win in their last five, notably a 91-79 victory over Kretinga at home, but also suffered a 90-95 loss to Zalgiris Kaunas 2 away and a 91-101 defeat to Alytaus Patriotai at home. The two sides have met ten times, with Ukmerges Stekas leading 6-4, the most recent encounter ending 80-62 in favour of Rytas 2. Pythia assigns a 44% chance to the home team and 56% to the visitors, a home line of -2.0 with a 38% probability of covering, a total line of 166.0 with a 49% over probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. Rytas 2's recent win over Kretinga suggests they may edge the game.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 77.8 | 89.5 | 167.2 | -11.8 | 25% |
| Season at home (7) | 77.4 | 85.9 | 163.3 | -8.4 | 29% |
| Season away (5) | 78.2 | 94.6 | 172.8 | -16.4 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.2 | 90.4 | 167.6 | -13.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.2 | 84.8 | 154.0 | -15.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (25) | 77.8 | 89.8 | 167.6 | -12.0 | 20% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 80.6 | 89.2 | 169.8 | -8.6 | 40% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 77.7 | 87.2 | 164.9 | -9.6 | 8% |
| Season at home (7) | 80.7 | 90.1 | 170.9 | -9.4 | 14% |
| Season away (5) | 73.4 | 83.2 | 156.6 | -9.8 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.3 | 88.1 | 166.4 | -9.8 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.2 | 84.6 | 165.8 | -3.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 76.6 | 90.5 | 167.1 | -13.9 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (16) | 79.8 | 81.6 | 161.4 | -1.9 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 89.0 | 66.8 | 155.8 | +22.2 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.6 | 45.9 | 82.5 | -9.2 | 13% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 36.1 | 44.6 | 80.6 | -8.5 | 18% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 37.4 | 47.5 | 84.9 | -10.2 | 8% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.7 | 48.7 | 85.4 | -12.0 | 10% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.2 | 46.4 | 76.6 | -16.2 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (25) | 36.4 | 45.5 | 82.0 | -9.1 | 16% | 52% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 37.6 | 47.6 | 85.2 | -10.0 | 0% | 60% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.2 | 41.3 | 80.5 | -2.1 | 40% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.3 | 42.4 | 83.7 | -1.1 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 37.2 | 40.2 | 77.4 | -3.0 | 40% | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.5 | 43.7 | 83.2 | -4.2 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 42.2 | 84.0 | -0.4 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 37.9 | 45.9 | 83.8 | -8.0 | 10% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (16) | 38.8 | 40.0 | 78.8 | -1.2 | 50% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 44.5 | 35.0 | 79.5 | +9.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rytas 2 +6 | 75.2% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Lost |
| Rytas 2 +7.5 | 78.7% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +15.3pp | Won |
| Rytas 2 +5.5 | 73.0% | 1.44 | 1.49 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Lost |
| Rytas 2 +5 | 72.1% | 1.51 | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Lost |
| Rytas 2 +6.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Lost |
| Ukmerges Stekas under 89.5 | 76.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Ukmerges Stekas under 88.5 | 73.5% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Ukmerges Stekas under 87.5 | 70.3% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Rytas 2 over 76.5 | 76.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| Rytas 2 over 77.5 | 72.9% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.5 | 21.5 | 54.5% | 43.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.2 | 9.3 | 31.3% | 27.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.4 | 13.1 | 67.1% | 13.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.6 | 21.2 | 54.5% | 42.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.2 | 5.8 | 31.3% | 17.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.8 | 15.1 | 67.1% | 15.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 | Ukmerges Stekas v Rytas 2 | 62-80 |
| 22/12/25 | Rytas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas | 111-103 OT |
| 22/02/25 | Rytas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas | 84-97 |
| 14/12/24 | Ukmerges Stekas v Rytas 2 | 68-59 |
| 19/10/24 | Rytas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas | 101-85 |
| 15/02/24 | Ukmerges Stekas v Rytas 2 | 82-76 |
| 18/01/24 | Rytas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas | 76-97 |
| 25/11/23 | Ukmerges Stekas v Rytas 2 | 88-84 |
| 07/10/23 | Rytas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas | 86-95 |
| 23/03/23 | Rytas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas | 92-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Alytaus Patriotai | 58-73 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Vilkaviskis | 74-97 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Neptunas 2 | 64-87 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Kedainiai BC | 76-97 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Mazeikiai | 74-70 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Telsiai | 70-104 |
| 17/10/26 | H | BC Olimpas Palanga | 76-107 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Omega-Tauras | 73-87 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Kretinga | 99-95 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 108-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Kretinga | 91-79 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 90-95 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Alytaus Patriotai | 91-101 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Vilkaviskis | 72-74 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Neptunas 2 | 62-74 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Kedainiai BC | 69-83 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Plunges Olimpas | 64-89 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Jurbarkas | 72-84 |
| 10/10/26 | H | BC Olimpas Palanga | 81-103 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Omega-Tauras | 91-99 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 25% |
| Home | LLWLL | 29% |
| Away | LWLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 7 | 5 |
| Win % | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Points / game | 77.8 | 77.4 | 78.2 |
| Allowed / game | 89.5 | 85.9 | 94.6 |
| Point differential | -11.8 | -8.4 | -16.4 |
| Avg total | 167.2 | 163.3 | 172.8 |
| Over 166 | 58% | 43% | 80% |
| Win by 10+ | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 8% |
| Home | LLLLW | 14% |
| Away | LLLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 7 | 5 |
| Win % | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Points / game | 77.7 | 80.7 | 73.4 |
| Allowed / game | 87.2 | 90.1 | 83.2 |
| Point differential | -9.6 | -9.4 | -9.8 |
| Avg total | 164.9 | 170.9 | 156.6 |
| Over 166 | 50% | 71% | 20% |
| Win by 10+ | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (3) | - | 0% (3) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 90.5 | 73.6 | +16.9 | |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 11 | 10 | 1 | 91% | 90.2 | 77.6 | +12.5 |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 94.8 | 84.9 | +9.9 | |
| 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 91.4 | 77.7 | +13.8 | |
| 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 97.4 | 90.4 | +7.0 | |
| 6 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 78.2 | 75.0 | +3.2 | |
| 7 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.3 | 82.2 | +2.2 | |
| 8 | Plunges Olimpas | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 82.6 | 78.8 | +3.8 |
| 9 | Omega-Tauras | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 90.5 | 86.2 | +4.2 |
| 10 | Alytaus Patriotai | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 83.7 | 85.2 | -1.5 |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 94.2 | 96.8 | -2.7 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 82.1 | 86.6 | -4.5 | |
| 13 | Kedainiai BC | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 77.0 | 84.7 | -7.7 |
| 14 | Ukmerges Stekas | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25% | 77.8 | 89.5 | -11.8 |
| 15 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 23% | 78.8 | 89.2 | -10.5 | |
| 16 | Kretinga | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 81.5 | 90.7 | -9.2 |
| 17 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 79.0 | 92.8 | -13.8 | |
| 18 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 8% | 77.7 | 87.2 | -9.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukmerges Stekas | 19 | 25 | 11 | 21 | 76 |
| 16 | 20 | 20 | 13 | 69 |
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