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Ukraine W vs Bulgaria W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 60-80
16-30 15-20 10-14 19-16
Position#20
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game141.0
Allowed / game48.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Rimi Olimpiskais centrs
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukraine W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukraine WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
88-109
88
109
-21
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
74-59
74
59
+15
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#19
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
L
40-82
40
82
-42
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
L
63-78
63
78
-15
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
98-49
98
49
+49
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
L
53-79
53
79
-26
no box
H10/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
L
57-60
57
60
-3
52avg 63
A06/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
74-72
74
72
+2
74avg 63
H09/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
30-22
26-32
12-23
15-16
31-20
21-10
7-13
21-12
19-30
23-8
8-15
8-26
10-23
8-17
14-16
20-17
10-12
19-14
14-35
26-13
26-13
27-7
19-16
18-27
14-23
19-11
2-18
17-16
12-13
11-13
17-18
22-12
15-18
21-18
16-24
18-16
15-18
21-13
17-18
140.7Avg total
68.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.065.0136.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.065.0136.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.971.8140.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)70.665.0135.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.979.3145.2-13.422%
vs Similar (2)66.573.0139.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (8)82.163.8145.9+18.4100%
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
L
51-79
51
79
-28
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
76-102
76
102
-26
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
65-75
65
75
-10
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
83-94
83
94
-11
78avg 85
H06/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
92avg 85
H09/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
141-48
141
48
+93
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-25
7-31
22-10
13-13
29-24
13-27
14-16
18-26
22-22
17-22
24-30
13-28
24-23
11-10
8-17
22-25
17-14
19-21
16-27
11-16
20-23
31-10
15-18
17-17
21-27
7-32
32-12
12-14
24-23
21-23
17-23
21-25
18-22
16-19
23-16
21-21
30-15
26-12
48-12
37-9
161.1Avg total
80.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)141.048.0189.0+93.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)141.048.0189.0+93.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.081.1161.1-1.130%
Last 5 (5)94.276.8171.0+17.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.583.0155.5-10.520%
vs Similar (2)60.573.0133.5-12.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.266.0153.2+21.260%
This opponent (Ukraine W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
Ukraine WBulgaria W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukraine WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A27/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H09/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H12/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
L
18-49
18
49
-31
A09/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
52-26
52
26
+26
A07/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H10/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A06/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/11
European Championship Women
74.6Avg total
36.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)39.536.976.4+2.658%-
Last 30 at home (9)41.337.378.7+4.067%-
Last 30 away (10)37.936.574.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.974.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.870.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.841.175.9-6.322%-
vs Similar (2)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (8)44.531.576.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
L
16-56
16
56
-40
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
56-27
56
27
+29
A12/11
European Championship Women
80.7Avg total
38.2Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)37.039.076.0-2.041%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.837.675.4+0.138%-
Last 30 away (9)36.340.276.6-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.580.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.284.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.742.679.3-5.930%-
vs Similar (2)29.534.564.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.633.674.2+7.080%-
This opponent (Ukraine W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukraine Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukraine W: 63.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.014.2
54.5%
-28.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.58.2
25.9%
-24.5
🏀 Free throws15.710.3
66.0%
-10.3
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgaria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria W: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀29%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.3
43.0%
-32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.8
32.3%
-20.5
🏀 Free throws26.822.2
82.6%
-22.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukraine W
WWLLWLLWWL
Bulgaria W
WWLLWLLLLL
#20
League position
#8
-7.8
Net rating
-6.5
84.6
Offensive rating
94.4
92.4
Defensive rating
100.8
45.9%
Effective FG%
44.9%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
30.2%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
17.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.45
25.9%
3-point %
32.3%
83.6%
Assist %
74.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Ukraine W   ■ Bulgaria W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukraine W wins
0
Bulgaria W wins
No previous meetings.
Ukraine Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AMontenegro W71-65
09/02/25HNorth Macedonia W74-72
06/02/25APortugal W57-60
10/11/24HSerbia W53-79
07/11/24ANorth Macedonia W98-49
12/11/23HPortugal W63-78
09/11/23ASerbia W40-82
12/02/23HLithuania W71-65
09/02/23HFinland W74-59
27/11/22AFrance W88-109
Bulgaria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AAzerbaijan W141-48
09/02/25HHungary W92-89 OT
06/02/25HSlovenia W83-94
10/11/24AFinland W72-85
07/11/24AHungary W83-68
12/11/23ASlovenia W63-78
09/11/23HFinland W65-75
12/02/23HSerbia W76-102
27/11/22ACroatia W74-93
24/11/22ASerbia W51-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukraine W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game65.0-65.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total136.0-136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Bulgaria W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game141.0-141.0
Allowed / game48.0-48.0
Point differential+93.0-+93.0
Avg total189.0-189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W110100%141.048.0+93.0
2 Serbia W110100%84.059.0+25.0
3 Belgium W110100%96.072.0+24.0
4 Lithuania W110100%87.065.0+22.0
5 Great Britain W110100%85.064.0+21.0
6 Slovenia W220100%82.065.5+16.5
7 Luxembourg W110100%69.053.0+16.0
8 Austria W110100%63.048.0+15.0
9 Romania W110100%75.062.0+13.0
10 Israel W110100%98.091.0+7.0
11 Poland W110100%62.055.0+7.0
12 Ukraine W110100%71.065.0+6.0
13 Croatia W110100%76.073.0+3.0
14 North Macedonia W110100%79.078.0+1.0
15 Montenegro W21150%84.566.5+18.0
16 Latvia W21150%77.569.5+8.0
17 Netherlands W21150%77.071.5+5.5
18 Slovakia W21150%62.560.5+2.0
19 Denmark W1010%78.079.0-1.0
20 Greece W1010%73.076.0-3.0
21 Bosnia & Herzegovina W1010%91.098.0-7.0
22 Cyprus W2020%60.572.5-12.0
23 Norway W1010%48.063.0-15.0
24 Ireland W1010%53.069.0-16.0
25 Switzerland W1010%64.085.0-21.0
26 Sweden W1010%65.087.0-22.0
27 Finland W1010%72.096.0-24.0
28 Iceland W1010%59.084.0-25.0
29 Estonia W2020%59.589.5-30.0
30 Azerbaijan W2020%55.0122.5-67.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukraine W1615101960
Bulgaria W3020141680
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