Ulcinj vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 May 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 84-92

25-23 23-29 9-22 27-18

Position#6

Record11-12

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game77.2

Ulcinj

Buducnost 🏆

Position#1

Record7-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game98.7

Allowed / game75.3

Prva A LigaRound 8

Other2018-19

Meetings · Ulcinj v Buducnost

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulcinj winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Buducnost winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ulcinj

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Danilovgrad

#10

87-68

+19

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

73-86

-13

A16/03

Prva A Liga

Vukovi Zeta

#11

99-63

+36

H23/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

77-79

-2

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

78-85

-7

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

63-110

110

-47

A29/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

77-80

-3

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

96-82

+14

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

68-76

-8

A05/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

74-90

-16

A07/05

Prva A Liga

20-11

31-15

20-17

16-25

19-21

19-23

17-20

18-22

31-13

24-11

23-25

21-14

18-15

14-19

18-29

27-16

21-16

22-23

14-26

21-20

17-33

8-21

15-31

23-25

16-23

19-17

11-15

31-25

24-21

26-23

17-14

29-24

14-17

17-22

17-13

20-24

16-20

24-23

13-26

21-21

161.1Avg total

79.2Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.3	77.2	156.4	+2.1	48%
Season at home (11)	82.3	73.4	155.6	+8.9	64%
Season away (12)	76.5	80.7	157.2	-4.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	81.9	161.1	-2.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	87.6	163.2	-12.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	71.4	87.7	159.1	-16.4	9%
vs Similar (8)	79.2	85.0	164.2	-5.8	12%
vs Weaker (11)	84.7	70.2	154.9	+14.5	82%

This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

80-72

H17/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

84-80

H19/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

54-97

-43

A22/04

ABA League

Lovcen Cetinje

104-78

104

+26

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

105-77

105

+28

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

110-63

110

+47

H29/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

96-95

A01/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

94-84

+10

H03/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

75-64

+11

A05/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

107-66

107

+41

H07/05

Prva A Liga

18-25

27-25

21-8

14-14

20-25

15-13

22-20

27-22

13-18

8-29

16-27

17-23

30-18

24-19

22-23

28-18

31-20

19-21

25-19

30-17

33-17

21-8

31-15

25-23

20-29

23-18

29-23

24-25

23-23

23-16

28-24

20-21

19-18

18-15

17-13

21-18

28-10

33-16

24-19

22-21

168.5Avg total

90.9Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	98.7	75.3	174.0	+23.4	100%
Season at home (4)	103.8	72.8	176.5	+31.0	100%
Season away (3)	92.0	78.7	170.7	+13.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.9	77.6	168.5	+13.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	96.4	74.4	170.8	+22.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	73.9	89.1	163.0	-15.3	13%
vs Similar (6)	82.3	75.5	157.8	+6.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	95.2	75.2	170.4	+20.0	100%

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

UlcinjBuducnost

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.8	40.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.3	22.5	40.7	-4.2	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.5	17.5	41.1	+6.0	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	21.4	43.9	+1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.3	43.8	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.4	44.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.6	23.1	41.7	-4.5	13%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.5	18.7	36.2	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.8	19.2	44.0	+5.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.3	38.8	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	21.5	39.2	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	15.3	22.7	38.0	-7.5	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.6	16.5	37.2	+4.1	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	18.5	40.9	+3.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	14.6	38.2	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	53%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	16.5	37.7	+4.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.8	17.3	40.1	+5.4	78%	-

UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Danilovgrad

#10

51-26

+25

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

38-44

-6

A16/03

Prva A Liga

Vukovi Zeta

#11

55-24

+31

H23/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

32-34

-2

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

43-39

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

25-54

-29

A29/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

35-40

-5

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

50-44

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

31-39

-8

A05/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

40-43

-3

A07/05

Prva A Liga

78.7Avg total

40.0Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.5	79.9	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	38.3	79.5	+2.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	42.7	80.3	-5.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	38.7	78.7	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	44.0	80.2	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	33.5	45.2	78.7	-11.6	9%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.0	42.8	83.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.2	34.1	78.3	+10.1	73%	-

This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

45-50

-5

H17/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

35-38

-3

H19/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

21-47

-26

A22/04

ABA League

Lovcen Cetinje

54-37

+17

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

50-41

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

54-25

+29

H29/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

43-47

-4

A01/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

46-39

H03/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

37-33

A05/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

61-26

+35

H07/05

Prva A Liga

82.9Avg total

44.6Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	40.8	82.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.0	39.9	84.9	+5.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	41.6	79.9	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	38.3	82.9	+6.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	34.0	82.2	+14.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.9	45.5	84.4	-6.7	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.7	35.2	73.8	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	47.6	36.6	84.1	+11.0	67%	-

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-2.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	21.6	38.1	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	19.8	34.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.8	21.9	38.7	-5.1	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.4	23.5	41.9	-5.1	12%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.2	40.2	-2.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.1	42.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	18.8	44.6	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.4	18.8	43.2	+5.7	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.2	39.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.6	44.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.8	48.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	45%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	18.8	38.6	+1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.1	41.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	22.4	40.1	-4.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.7	22.4	39.1	-5.7	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.2	19.9	43.1	+3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	39.7	78.3	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	39.7	77.1	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	43.2	82.4	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	43.6	83.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.8	42.5	80.4	-4.7	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.2	42.2	80.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.7	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.5	82.0	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	39.0	83.9	+5.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	43.6	80.3	-6.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	39.3	85.6	+7.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	40.4	88.6	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.0	43.6	78.6	-8.6	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.7	40.3	84.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	47.7	38.7	86.3	+9.0	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	19.0	49.1%	58.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	7.4	32.6%	31.5%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	21.8	14.3	65.6%	69.7%	14.3

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	18.5	55.4%	58.8%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	9.6	40.7%	31.5%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	28.1	20.2	71.9%	69.7%	20.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	19.6	49.5%	58.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	7.4	34.1%	31.5%	22.3
🏀 Free throws	20.5	14.7	71.5%	69.7%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	18.9	53.5%	58.8%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.9	36.1%	31.5%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.2	73.3%	69.7%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ulcinj wins

Buducnost wins

Date	Game	Score
29/04/19	Buducnost v Ulcinj	110-63
15/05/18	Buducnost v Ulcinj	93-72
30/04/18	Ulcinj v Buducnost	71-97

Ulcinjlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/19	A	Mornar Bar	74-90
05/05/19	A	Sutjeska	68-76
03/05/19	A	Jedinstvo	96-82
01/05/19	H	Lovcen Cetinje	77-80
29/04/19	A	Buducnost	63-110
27/04/19	H	Mornar Bar	78-85
25/04/19	H	Sutjeska	77-79
23/03/19	H	Vukovi Zeta	99-63
16/03/19	A	Ibar Rozaje	73-86
02/03/19	H	Danilovgrad	87-68

Buducnostlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/19	H	Jedinstvo	107-66
05/05/19	A	Lovcen Cetinje	75-64
03/05/19	H	Sutjeska	94-84
01/05/19	A	Mornar Bar	96-95
29/04/19	H	Ulcinj	110-63
27/04/19	A	Jedinstvo	105-77
25/04/19	H	Lovcen Cetinje	104-78
22/04/19	A	Crvena zvezda	54-97
19/04/19	H	Crvena zvezda	84-80
17/04/19	H	Crvena zvezda	80-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulcinj

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	48%
Home	WWLLL	64%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	48%	64%	33%
Points / game	79.3	82.3	76.5
Allowed / game	77.2	73.4	80.7
Point differential	+2.1	+8.9	-4.2
Avg total	156.4	155.6	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	45%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	33% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Buducnost

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	98.7	103.8	92.0
Allowed / game	75.3	72.8	78.7
Point differential	+23.4	+31.0	+13.3
Avg total	174.0	176.5	170.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	86%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	7	7	0	100%	98.7	75.3	+23.4
2	Lovcen Cetinje	23	20	3	87%	84.4	70.6	+13.9
3	Mornar Bar	7	5	2	71%	90.7	80.3	+10.4
4	Sutjeska	23	15	8	65%	79.4	75.6	+3.8
5	Ibar Rozaje	24	15	9	62%	80.0	73.8	+6.2
6	Ulcinj	23	11	12	48%	79.3	77.2	+2.1
7	Jedinstvo	23	9	14	39%	74.4	84.1	-9.7
8	Studentski Centar	24	9	15	38%	72.9	76.5	-3.6
9	Primorje	24	8	16	33%	75.3	78.7	-3.4
10	Danilovgrad	24	7	17	29%	71.0	79.9	-8.8
11	Vukovi Zeta	24	7	17	29%	74.0	84.0	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ulcinj	25	23	9	27	84
Buducnost	23	29	22	18	92

← all games of the day

Ulcinj vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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