Ulcinj vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 78-85

21-16 22-23 14-26 21-20

Position#6

Record10-7

FormLWLWL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game73.6

Ulcinj

Mornar Bar 🏆

Position#3

Record1-0

FormLLWLW

Points / game102.0

Allowed / game80.0

Prva A LigaRound 2

Other2018-19

Meetings · Ulcinj v Mornar Bar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulcinj winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ulcinj

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vukovi Zeta

#11

84-87

-3

A23/12

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

86-67

+19

A19/01

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

90-64

+26

H26/01

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

83-88

-5

A02/02

Prva A Liga

Primorje

80-74

H09/02

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

75-83

-8

A23/02

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

#10

87-68

+19

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

73-86

-13

A16/03

Prva A Liga

Vukovi Zeta

#11

99-63

+36

H23/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

77-79

-2

H25/04

Prva A Liga

25-21

17-23

14-20

28-23

25-18

21-13

23-19

17-17

23-19

23-13

19-17

25-15

30-18

25-21

13-29

15-20

26-15

11-13

23-17

20-29

20-22

13-19

25-25

17-17

20-11

31-15

20-17

16-25

19-21

19-23

17-20

18-22

31-13

24-11

23-25

21-14

18-15

14-19

18-29

27-16

159.3Avg total

83.4Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	80.4	73.6	154.1	+6.8	59%
Season at home (9)	83.3	71.3	154.7	+12.0	78%
Season away (8)	77.1	76.2	153.4	+0.9	38%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	75.9	159.3	+7.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	75.8	158.0	+6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	70.6	85.0	155.6	-14.4	12%
vs Similar (11)	81.5	85.0	166.5	-3.5	27%
vs Weaker (11)	84.0	68.3	152.3	+15.7	82%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

73-75

-2

A05/01

ABA League

Zadar

#11

89-81

H13/01

ABA League

Mega Bemax

80-82

-2

A19/01

ABA League

Cibona

91-78

+13

H28/01

ABA League

Buducnost

71-102

102

-31

A04/02

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

57-90

-33

H09/02

ABA League

Igokea

60-81

-21

A02/03

ABA League

FMP Beograd

79-69

+10

H10/03

ABA League

Cedevita

80-94

-14

A15/03

ABA League

Jedinstvo

102-80

102

+22

H25/04

Prva A Liga

14-18

15-20

24-17

20-20

22-25

25-14

25-22

17-20

21-14

15-23

22-16

22-29

24-19

26-19

21-18

20-22

15-22

17-26

15-28

24-26

14-25

12-25

19-30

12-10

10-18

20-19

21-24

9-20

23-13

18-23

20-13

18-20

20-26

17-18

22-28

21-22

19-17

30-17

29-19

24-27

161.4Avg total

78.2Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	102.0	80.0	182.0	+22.0	100%
Season at home (1)	102.0	80.0	182.0	+22.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	78.2	83.2	161.4	-5.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	82.8	158.4	-7.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	79.1	92.3	171.4	-13.2	18%
vs Similar (12)	82.7	81.6	164.2	+1.1	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	102.0	80.0	182.0	+22.0	100%

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

UlcinjMornar Bar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	17.3	41.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.4	38.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.4	17.2	40.5	+6.2	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	22.6	44.4	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	22.9	39.4	-6.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.5	24.4	43.9	-4.8	18%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.2	39.7	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	14.9	23.1	38.0	-8.2	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.6	16.5	37.1	+4.2	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.2	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	30.0	17.0	47.0	+13.0	100%	-

UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vukovi Zeta

#11

42-44

-2

A23/12

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

46-31

+15

A19/01

Prva A Liga

Studentski Centar

46-32

+14

H26/01

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

55-39

+16

A02/02

Prva A Liga

Primorje

37-28

H09/02

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

33-41

-8

A23/02

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

#10

51-26

+25

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

38-44

-6

A16/03

Prva A Liga

Vukovi Zeta

#11

55-24

+31

H23/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

32-34

-2

H25/04

Prva A Liga

77.8Avg total

43.5Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	40.5	81.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.7	38.9	81.6	+3.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	42.3	80.4	-4.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	34.3	77.8	+9.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	33.8	75.6	+8.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	33.6	45.4	79.0	-11.8	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.1	43.8	85.9	-1.7	27%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.0	33.6	77.6	+10.4	73%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

29-38

-9

A05/01

ABA League

Zadar

#11

47-39

H13/01

ABA League

Mega Bemax

36-37

-1

A19/01

ABA League

Cibona

50-38

+12

H28/01

ABA League

Buducnost

32-48

-16

A04/02

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

26-50

-24

H09/02

ABA League

Igokea

30-37

-7

A02/03

ABA League

FMP Beograd

41-36

H10/03

ABA League

Cedevita

37-44

-7

A15/03

ABA League

Jedinstvo

49-34

+15

H25/04

Prva A Liga

77.8Avg total

37.7Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	43.7	84.4	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	43.5	87.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.5	43.9	81.4	-6.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	40.1	77.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	40.2	76.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	40.0	47.1	87.1	-7.1	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.2	39.7	80.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	49.0	34.0	83.0	+15.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.2	43.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	22.2	41.7	-2.6	27%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.3	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.8	41.9	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.9	23.1	42.0	-4.1	24%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	20.3	41.2	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	29.0	19.0	48.0	+10.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.9	16.5	36.5	+3.4	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.7	21.6	42.2	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	24.0	27.0	51.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.9	76.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.3	37.9	77.2	+1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	38.0	75.9	-0.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.6	81.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	42.0	82.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.4	41.2	80.5	-1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.1	33.5	72.5	+5.6	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	43.9	84.4	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	43.4	85.9	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	44.5	82.7	-6.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	43.1	83.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	42.6	81.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	39.1	45.2	84.3	-6.2	18%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.5	41.9	83.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	53.0	46.0	99.0	+7.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.0	50.8%	58.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.5	29.4%	31.5%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.3	71.2%	69.7%	15.3

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	19.4	50.3%	58.8%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.1	35.0%	31.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.8%	69.7%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.3	50.7%	58.8%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.1	33.5%	31.5%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	21.6	15.5	71.7%	69.7%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.9	52.6%	58.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.6	38.2%	31.5%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.2	74.0%	69.7%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ulcinj wins

Mornar Bar wins

Date	Game	Score
06/05/18	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	96-62
21/04/18	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	72-80
08/04/17	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	0-20
01/04/17	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	85-68
06/04/11	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	77-69
30/03/11	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	80-68
23/03/11	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	69-60

Ulcinjlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/19	H	Sutjeska	77-79
23/03/19	H	Vukovi Zeta	99-63
16/03/19	A	Ibar Rozaje	73-86
02/03/19	H	Danilovgrad	87-68
23/02/19	A	Lovcen Cetinje	75-83
09/02/19	H	Primorje	80-74
02/02/19	A	Sutjeska	83-88
26/01/19	H	Studentski Centar	90-64
19/01/19	A	Jedinstvo	86-67
23/12/18	A	Vukovi Zeta	84-87

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/19	H	Jedinstvo	102-80
15/03/19	A	Cedevita	80-94
10/03/19	H	FMP Beograd	79-69
02/03/19	A	Igokea	60-81
09/02/19	H	Crvena zvezda	57-90
04/02/19	A	Buducnost	71-102
28/01/19	H	Cibona	91-78
19/01/19	A	Mega Bemax	80-82
13/01/19	H	Zadar	89-81
05/01/19	A	Partizan	73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulcinj

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	59%
Home	WWWWL	78%
Away	LWLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	59%	78%	38%
Points / game	80.4	83.3	77.1
Allowed / game	73.6	71.3	76.2
Point differential	+6.8	+12.0	+0.9
Avg total	154.1	154.7	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	56%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	50% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	102.0	102.0	-
Allowed / game	80.0	80.0	-
Point differential	+22.0	+22.0	-
Avg total	182.0	182.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	1	1	0	100%	104.0	78.0	+26.0
2	Mornar Bar	1	1	0	100%	102.0	80.0	+22.0
3	Lovcen Cetinje	17	16	1	94%	86.3	68.5	+17.8
4	Sutjeska	17	12	5	71%	78.5	73.8	+4.8
5	Ibar Rozaje	23	14	9	61%	79.0	73.7	+5.3
6	Ulcinj	17	10	7	59%	80.4	73.6	+6.8
7	Jedinstvo	17	9	8	53%	75.5	80.2	-4.6
8	Studentski Centar	22	9	13	41%	72.4	74.8	-2.4
9	Primorje	24	8	16	33%	75.3	78.7	-3.4
10	Danilovgrad	24	7	17	29%	71.0	79.9	-8.8
11	Vukovi Zeta	23	6	17	26%	73.5	84.1	-10.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ulcinj	21	22	14	21	78
Mornar Bar	16	23	26	20	85

← all games of the day

Ulcinj vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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