Mornar Bar vs Ulcinj Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 May 2019

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 90-74

20-16 23-24 26-13 21-21

Position#3

Record4-2

FormWWLLW

Points / game90.8

Allowed / game81.3

Mornar Bar 🏆

Ulcinj

Position#6

Record11-11

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game76.6

Prva A LigaRound 7

Other2018-19

Meetings · Mornar Bar v Ulcinj

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ulcinj winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

57-90

-33

H09/02

ABA League

Igokea

60-81

-21

A02/03

ABA League

FMP Beograd

79-69

+10

H10/03

ABA League

Cedevita

80-94

-14

A15/03

ABA League

Jedinstvo

102-80

102

+22

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

85-78

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

106-87

106

+19

H29/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

95-96

-1

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

71-76

-5

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

86-71

+15

A05/05

Prva A Liga

14-25

12-25

19-30

12-10

10-18

20-19

21-24

9-20

23-13

18-23

20-13

18-20

20-26

17-18

22-28

21-22

19-17

30-17

29-19

24-27

16-21

23-22

26-14

20-21

26-21

31-27

28-20

21-19

29-20

18-23

23-29

25-24

30-17

17-23

10-24

14-12

31-16

13-21

23-13

19-21

164.3Avg total

82.1Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	90.8	81.3	172.2	+9.5	67%
Season at home (3)	101.0	87.7	188.7	+13.3	67%
Season away (3)	80.7	75.0	155.7	+5.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	82.2	164.3	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	81.6	170.2	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	78.4	92.6	171.1	-14.2	7%
vs Similar (12)	80.8	81.0	161.8	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	94.8	79.0	173.8	+15.8	100%

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ulcinj

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lovcen Cetinje

75-83

-8

A23/02

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

#10

87-68

+19

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

73-86

-13

A16/03

Prva A Liga

Vukovi Zeta

#11

99-63

+36

H23/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

77-79

-2

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

78-85

-7

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

63-110

110

-47

A29/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

77-80

-3

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

96-82

+14

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

68-76

-8

A05/05

Prva A Liga

20-22

13-19

25-25

17-17

20-11

31-15

20-17

16-25

19-21

19-23

17-20

18-22

31-13

24-11

23-25

21-14

18-15

14-19

18-29

27-16

21-16

22-23

14-26

21-20

17-33

8-21

15-31

23-25

16-23

19-17

11-15

31-25

24-21

26-23

17-14

29-24

14-17

17-22

17-13

20-24

160.5Avg total

79.3Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	79.5	76.6	156.1	+2.9	50%
Season at home (11)	82.3	73.4	155.6	+8.9	64%
Season away (11)	76.7	79.8	156.5	-3.1	36%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	81.2	160.5	-1.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	86.6	163.0	-10.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	71.1	87.5	158.6	-16.4	10%
vs Similar (9)	77.7	83.3	161.0	-5.7	11%
vs Weaker (11)	84.7	70.2	154.9	+14.5	82%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mornar BarUlcinj

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	22.6	44.9	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	19.0	45.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.4	23.9	43.2	-4.5	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.3	41.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.5	22.7	41.2	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.5	17.5	41.1	+6.0	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.4	43.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	21.3	38.5	-4.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	14.4	22.7	37.1	-8.3	10%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.6	16.5	37.2	+4.1	55%	-

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

26-50

-24

H09/02

ABA League

Igokea

30-37

-7

A02/03

ABA League

FMP Beograd

41-36

H10/03

ABA League

Cedevita

37-44

-7

A15/03

ABA League

Jedinstvo

49-34

+15

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

39-43

-4

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

57-48

H29/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

47-43

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

47-40

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

44-37

A05/05

Prva A Liga

82.9Avg total

41.7Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	43.1	84.0	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.7	44.0	88.7	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	42.0	78.7	-5.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	41.2	82.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	42.2	89.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.0	46.9	85.9	-7.9	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	47.2	40.5	87.8	+6.8	75%	-

This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lovcen Cetinje

33-41

-8

A23/02

Prva A Liga

Danilovgrad

#10

51-26

+25

H02/03

Prva A Liga

Ibar Rozaje

38-44

-6

A16/03

Prva A Liga

Vukovi Zeta

#11

55-24

+31

H23/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

32-34

-2

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

43-39

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

25-54

-29

A29/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

35-40

-5

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

50-44

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

31-39

-8

A05/05

Prva A Liga

77.8Avg total

39.3Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.4	79.7	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	38.3	79.5	+2.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	42.6	79.9	-5.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	38.5	77.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	43.2	80.0	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	32.9	45.4	78.3	-12.5	10%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.2	42.7	82.9	-2.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.2	34.1	78.3	+10.1	73%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.8	42.5	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	22.1	43.9	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.5	24.2	43.7	-4.7	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	26.5	16.5	43.0	+10.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.5	39.2	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.8	34.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.2	21.5	38.7	-4.3	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	22.3	40.8	-3.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.3	41.2	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	20.8	40.4	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.0	39.3	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.6	48.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	43.1	83.7	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	42.5	85.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	43.8	82.1	-5.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	41.0	81.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.4	81.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.4	45.7	85.1	-6.3	14%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.7	41.6	81.2	-1.9	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	47.5	38.5	86.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	38.5	75.7	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	42.7	82.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.4	83.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	38.2	42.1	80.3	-3.9	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.4	40.7	78.1	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.7	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.0	50.8%	58.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.5	29.4%	31.5%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.3	71.2%	69.7%	15.3

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	19.4	50.3%	58.8%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.1	35.0%	31.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.8%	69.7%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.3	50.7%	58.8%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.1	33.5%	31.5%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	21.6	15.5	71.7%	69.7%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.9	52.6%	58.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.6	38.2%	31.5%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.2	74.0%	69.7%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mornar Bar wins

Ulcinj wins

Date	Game	Score
27/04/19	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	78-85
06/05/18	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	96-62
21/04/18	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	72-80
08/04/17	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	0-20
01/04/17	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	85-68
06/04/11	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	77-69
30/03/11	Ulcinj v Mornar Bar	80-68
23/03/11	Mornar Bar v Ulcinj	69-60

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/05/19	A	Jedinstvo	86-71
03/05/19	A	Lovcen Cetinje	71-76
01/05/19	H	Buducnost	95-96
29/04/19	H	Sutjeska	106-87
27/04/19	A	Ulcinj	85-78
25/04/19	H	Jedinstvo	102-80
15/03/19	A	Cedevita	80-94
10/03/19	H	FMP Beograd	79-69
02/03/19	A	Igokea	60-81
09/02/19	H	Crvena zvezda	57-90

Ulcinjlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/05/19	A	Sutjeska	68-76
03/05/19	A	Jedinstvo	96-82
01/05/19	H	Lovcen Cetinje	77-80
29/04/19	A	Buducnost	63-110
27/04/19	H	Mornar Bar	78-85
25/04/19	H	Sutjeska	77-79
23/03/19	H	Vukovi Zeta	99-63
16/03/19	A	Ibar Rozaje	73-86
02/03/19	H	Danilovgrad	87-68
23/02/19	A	Lovcen Cetinje	75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	67%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	90.8	101.0	80.7
Allowed / game	81.3	87.7	75.0
Point differential	+9.5	+13.3	+5.7
Avg total	172.2	188.7	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ulcinj

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	50%
Home	WWLLL	64%
Away	LLLWL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	50%	64%	36%
Points / game	79.5	82.3	76.7
Allowed / game	76.6	73.4	79.8
Point differential	+2.9	+8.9	-3.1
Avg total	156.1	155.6	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	45%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	33% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	6	6	0	100%	97.3	76.8	+20.5
2	Lovcen Cetinje	22	19	3	86%	84.7	71.0	+13.7
3	Sutjeska	22	15	7	68%	80.2	75.5	+4.7
4	Mornar Bar	6	4	2	67%	90.8	81.3	+9.5
5	Ibar Rozaje	24	15	9	62%	80.0	73.8	+6.2
6	Ulcinj	22	11	11	50%	79.5	76.6	+2.9
7	Jedinstvo	22	9	13	41%	74.8	83.0	-8.3
8	Studentski Centar	24	9	15	38%	72.9	76.5	-3.6
9	Primorje	24	8	16	33%	75.3	78.7	-3.4
10	Danilovgrad	24	7	17	29%	71.0	79.9	-8.8
11	Vukovi Zeta	24	7	17	29%	74.0	84.0	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mornar Bar	20	23	26	21	90
Ulcinj	16	24	13	21	74

← all games of the day

Mornar Bar vs Ulcinj Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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