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Ulm vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 70-76
19-10 23-17 13-25 15-24
Position#15
Record4-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#4
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeEurocupRound 9
European cup2021
Meetings · Ulm v Valencia
12 Jan 2022
ULM70
VAL76
16 Nov 2016
ULM60
VAL86
27 Oct 2015
ULM79
VAL82
26 Nov 2013
ULM92
VAL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Giessen
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
73avg 82
A03/12
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
W
96-81
96
81
+15
98avg 82
A08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
76avg 82
H12/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#17
W
96-86
96
86
+10
95avg 82
H14/12
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 82
A18/12
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
66-68
66
68
-2
61avg 82
A21/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 82
A27/12
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
84avg 82
H30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
75avg 82
H02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 82
A08/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-11
17-21
25-22
13-22
23-18
25-19
20-18
28-26
19-28
18-8
24-16
17-22
28-16
22-20
24-22
22-28
27-22
24-28
23-17
22-22
12-19
20-17
18-18
16-14
22-18
18-28
21-11
23-22
17-22
22-21
20-16
27-29
18-13
25-20
15-20
20-13
29-17
22-23
22-16
16-19
163.8Avg total
85.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.682.2165.9+1.450%
Season at home (4)82.581.5164.0+1.050%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)85.678.2163.8+7.480%
Last 5 (5)80.675.2155.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)85.083.6168.6+1.460%
vs Similar (17)81.478.1159.5+3.465%
vs Weaker (7)82.081.6163.6+0.443%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 79
A14/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
98-95
98
95
+3
105avg 79
H17/11
Eurocup
Bilbao
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
94avg 79
H20/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
87-88
87
88
-1
78avg 79
A04/12
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
80avg 79
A07/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 79
H19/12
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 79
H21/12
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 79
H23/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#11
W
86-68
86
68
+18
87avg 79
H06/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
88avg 79
A09/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
16-17
28-25
24-16
24-17
26-26
20-28
28-24
30-36
11-21
31-16
28-11
19-22
22-26
22-21
24-19
27-16
15-16
20-15
19-20
19-29
17-21
14-25
47-23
22-24
22-19
20-27
21-27
18-24
14-14
27-13
32-20
23-7
19-20
20-21
24-20
17-20
27-12
22-16
21-34
172.8Avg total
89.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.283.2170.5+4.062%
Season at home (5)90.086.4176.4+3.660%
Season away (3)82.778.0160.7+4.767%
Last 10 (10)89.982.9172.8+7.070%
Last 5 (5)89.283.2172.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.880.2158.0-2.525%
vs Similar (13)83.583.0166.5+0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.976.7160.6+7.275%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +5.4+5.4
UlmValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#18
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A03/12
BBL
Gran Canaria
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/12
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A18/12
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A21/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/12
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A08/01
BBL
82.9Avg total
44.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.079.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.538.176.6+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)42.139.881.8+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.982.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.680.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)43.036.479.4+6.680%-
vs Similar (17)39.139.678.6-0.547%-
vs Weaker (7)42.339.681.9+2.757%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/11
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H17/11
Eurocup
Bilbao
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H20/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H19/12
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H21/12
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H23/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H06/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/01
ACB
81.5Avg total
40.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.778.8-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.940.480.3-0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.338.977.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.881.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.077.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.039.279.2+0.825%-
vs Similar (13)37.940.378.2-2.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.238.779.8+2.575%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.8
52.2%
52.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.7
40.8%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.915.6
78.4%
74.8%15.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.620.3
58.7%
52.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.3
38.0%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.317.8
79.8%
74.8%17.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLWLWWWWW
Valencia
WWWLLWLWWW
#15
League position
#4
+9.3
Net rating
+9.8
114.1
Offensive rating
117.7
104.8
Defensive rating
107.9
55.7%
Effective FG%
57.9%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.8%
3-point %
38.0%
61.0%
Assist %
61.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 117.7Defence104.8 · 107.9Shooting55.7% · 57.9%3-point %40.8% · 38.0%Ball care20.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds34.9% · 34.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
16/11/16Ulm v Valencia60-86
12/10/16Valencia v Ulm95-58
02/12/15Valencia v Ulm93-88
27/10/15Ulm v Valencia79-82
26/11/13Ulm v Valencia92-84
23/10/13Valencia v Ulm88-74
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22ASyntainics MBC89-75
02/01/22HLudwigsburg78-66
30/12/21HGottingen86-88
27/12/21AHeidelberg84-79
21/12/21ABursaspor66-68
18/12/21AOldenburg96-89
14/12/21HJL Bourg96-86
12/12/21HHamburg78-74
08/12/21AGran Canaria96-81
03/12/21AGiessen87-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/22AUnicaja87-82
06/01/22HBursaspor86-68
23/12/21HObradoiro CAB91-71
21/12/21HCedevita Olimpija85-97
19/12/21HBreogan97-98
07/12/21AVenezia81-67
04/12/21AFuenlabrada87-88
20/11/21HBilbao100-84
17/11/21HJL Bourg98-95
14/11/21ABarcelona87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.682.584.8
Allowed / game82.281.583.0
Point differential+1.4+1.0+1.8
Avg total165.9164.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %25%25%25%
Valencia
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game87.290.082.7
Allowed / game83.286.478.0
Point differential+4.0+3.6+4.7
Avg total170.5176.4160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost97278%81.774.4+7.2
2 Joventut Badalona86275%80.268.8+11.5
3 Gran Canaria86275%84.978.0+6.9
4 Lokomotiv Kuban86275%92.587.0+5.5
5 Partizan86275%82.677.1+5.5
6 Valencia85362%87.283.2+4.0
7 Virtus Bologna85362%91.487.4+4.0
8 MoraBanc Andorra85362%82.279.9+2.4
9 Turk Telekom95456%74.078.4-4.4
10 Ulm84450%83.682.2+1.4
11 Venezia84450%74.574.8-0.2
12 Lietkabelis94544%80.377.9+2.4
13 Hamburg94544%88.088.8-0.8
14 Boulogne-Levallois94544%82.084.9-2.9
15 Cedevita Olimpija83538%84.888.4-3.6
16 Bursaspor93633%75.982.8-6.9
17 JL Bourg82625%80.081.1-1.1
18 Promitheas82625%72.484.0-11.6
19 Slask Wroclaw81712%74.182.1-8.0
20 Trento81712%75.886.2-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1923131570
Valencia1017252476
← all games of the day
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