Bayreuth vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 79-88

23-16 25-19 17-25 14-28

Position#12

Record2-2

FormLWLLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game77.8

Bayreuth

Ulm 🏆

Position#6

Record0-4

FormLLLLW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game92.5

BBLRound 6

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Bayreuth v Ulm

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ulm winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayreuth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBayreuth

Date

Competition

Torun

#37

73-73

no box

A01/10

Champions League

Torun

#37

86-73

+13

no box

H04/10

Champions League

Alba Berlin

68-88

-20

no box

A07/10

German Cup

Besiktas

#16

70-78

-8

no box

H09/10

Champions League

Bonn

84-94

-10

no box

A14/10

BBL

Strasbourg

#13

63-67

-4

no box

A16/10

Champions League

Basketball Braunschweig

78-77

no box

H21/10

BBL

Promitheas

#17

70-75

-5

no box

H24/10

Champions League

s.Oliver Wurzburg

69-73

-4

no box

A28/10

BBL

Virtus Bologna

67-74

-7

no box

A30/10

Champions League

20-18

14-16

17-21

22-18

23-20

17-21

22-16

24-16

19-19

15-31

17-14

17-24

20-19

18-20

15-20

17-19

18-31

28-23

12-18

26-22

19-14

20-19

13-16

11-18

22-18

17-15

25-19

14-25

16-25

14-18

18-14

22-18

26-13

20-20

10-22

13-18

19-19

12-15

20-19

16-21

150.0Avg total

72.8Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	78.5	77.8	156.2	+0.8	50%
Season at home (1)	78.0	77.0	155.0	+1.0	100%
Season away (3)	78.7	78.0	156.7	+0.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	77.2	150.0	-4.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	69.4	73.2	142.6	-3.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	76.5	82.8	159.2	-6.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	78.1	80.4	158.5	-2.2	31%
vs Weaker (5)	86.6	77.6	164.2	+9.0	80%

This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ulm

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUlm

Date

Competition

Bayern

77-83

-6

no box

H28/09

BBL

Crvena zvezda

73-88

-15

101avg 104

A02/10

Eurocup

Frankfurt

74-78

-4

no box

A06/10

German Cup

Galatasaray

#20

103-92 OT

103

+11

no box

H10/10

Eurocup

Oldenburg

99-103 OT

103

-4

no box

A13/10

BBL

Monaco

65-75

-10

90avg 104

H16/10

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

74-92

-18

no box

H20/10

BBL

MoraBanc Andorra

95-103

103

-8

116avg 104

A24/10

Eurocup

Giessen

#13

91-92

-1

no box

H27/10

BBL

Brescia

#19

83-82

110avg 104

H30/10

Eurocup

19-27

19-19

19-16

20-21

21-28

22-18

16-16

14-26

17-16

25-18

16-21

16-23

19-25

27-18

6-23

26-12

20-24

21-22

19-19

17-12

15-24

17-22

11-13

22-16

17-24

20-20

15-24

22-24

25-20

15-29

23-24

32-30

21-23

23-22

20-19

27-28

24-29

16-16

27-18

16-19

172.2Avg total

83.4Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	85.2	92.5	177.8	-7.2	0%
Season at home (3)	80.7	89.0	169.7	-8.3	0%
Season away (1)	99.0	103.0	202.0	-4.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	88.8	172.2	-5.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	88.8	170.4	-7.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	79.4	89.4	168.8	-10.0	17%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	79.0	85.8	164.8	-6.8	12%
vs Weaker (9)	86.4	83.7	170.1	+2.8	67%

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayreuthUlm

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.8	19.9	38.6	-1.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	23.0	42.7	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	23.8	41.9	-5.7	7%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.0	44.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.0	23.9	41.9	-5.9	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.2	22.9	42.1	-3.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.9	22.6	45.4	+0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.4	34.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.4	19.1	37.4	-0.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.6	18.6	44.2	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.1	39.7	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.6	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.9	23.1	40.0	-6.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.4	19.3	39.8	+1.1	56%	-

BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Torun

#37

34-34

A01/10

Champions League

Torun

#37

40-41

-1

H04/10

Champions League

Alba Berlin

34-50

-16

A07/10

German Cup

Besiktas

#16

38-39

-1

H09/10

Champions League

Bonn

46-54

-8

A14/10

BBL

Strasbourg

#13

39-33

A16/10

Champions League

Basketball Braunschweig

39-33

H21/10

BBL

Promitheas

#17

30-43

-13

H24/10

Champions League

s.Oliver Wurzburg

46-33

+13

A28/10

BBL

Virtus Bologna

31-34

-3

A30/10

Champions League

77.1Avg total

37.7Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.5	79.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	37.4	76.6	+1.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.1	41.1	81.2	-1.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	39.4	77.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	35.2	72.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.2	40.1	79.4	-0.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.7	39.2	77.9	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.0	37.4	82.4	+7.6	80%	-

This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayern

38-46

-8

H28/09

BBL

Crvena zvezda

43-46

-3

A02/10

Eurocup

Frankfurt

42-34

A06/10

German Cup

Galatasaray

#20

46-43

H10/10

Eurocup

Oldenburg

41-46

-5

A13/10

BBL

Monaco

32-46

-14

H16/10

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

37-44

-7

H20/10

BBL

MoraBanc Andorra

40-49

-9

A24/10

Eurocup

Giessen

#13

44-45

-1

H27/10

BBL

Brescia

#19

40-45

-5

H30/10

Eurocup

84.7Avg total

40.3Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	43.7	82.4	-4.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	44.1	81.6	-6.5	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	43.3	83.2	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	44.4	84.7	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	45.8	84.4	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.8	44.2	81.0	-7.5	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.1	46.0	82.1	-9.9	0%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.3	41.9	85.2	+1.4	56%	-

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	21.5	39.6	-3.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.7	40.7	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.9	37.7	-2.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.3	36.5	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	17.2	18.4	35.7	-1.2	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.5	40.2	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	19.3	38.2	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.0	35.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.9	41.1	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	23.4	47.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.1	21.8	44.9	+1.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	41.3	80.3	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.9	39.2	79.1	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.4	42.9	81.3	-4.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	37.8	72.9	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	38.0	70.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.2	42.6	79.9	-5.4	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.4	41.2	80.6	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.6	40.2	81.8	+1.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	39.6	81.8	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	42.3	81.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.5	42.1	82.6	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.9	39.8	82.6	+3.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.3	40.2	80.6	+0.1	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	19.0	45.5%	54.1%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	7.8	34.8%	34.0%	23.2
🏀 Free throws	21.2	17.8	83.5%	73.6%	17.8

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	22.0	55.3%	54.1%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	9.5	39.2%	34.0%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	20.0	13.5	67.5%	73.6%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	22.0	55.3%	54.1%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	9.5	39.2%	34.0%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	20.0	13.5	67.5%	73.6%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayreuth wins

Ulm wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/18	Bayreuth v Ulm	88-75
07/10/17	Ulm v Bayreuth	74-84
04/02/17	Ulm v Bayreuth	90-70
25/09/16	Bayreuth v Ulm	87-95 OT
12/03/16	Ulm v Bayreuth	77-80
05/12/15	Bayreuth v Ulm	76-90
07/02/15	Bayreuth v Ulm	94-82
23/12/14	Ulm v Bayreuth	84-80
21/04/14	Ulm v Bayreuth	92-74
02/11/13	Bayreuth v Ulm	78-88

Bayreuthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/18	A	Virtus Bologna	67-74
28/10/18	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	69-73
24/10/18	H	Promitheas	70-75
21/10/18	H	Basketball Braunschweig	78-77
16/10/18	A	Strasbourg	63-67
14/10/18	A	Bonn	84-94
09/10/18	H	Besiktas	70-78
07/10/18	A	Alba Berlin	68-88
04/10/18	H	Torun	86-73
01/10/18	A	Torun	73-73

Ulmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/18	H	Brescia	83-82
27/10/18	H	Giessen	91-92
24/10/18	A	MoraBanc Andorra	95-103
20/10/18	H	Alba Berlin	74-92
16/10/18	H	Monaco	65-75
13/10/18	A	Oldenburg	99-103 OT
10/10/18	H	Galatasaray	103-92 OT
06/10/18	A	Frankfurt	74-78
02/10/18	A	Crvena zvezda	73-88
28/09/18	H	Bayern	77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWL	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	50%	100%	33%
Points / game	78.5	78.0	78.7
Allowed / game	77.8	77.0	78.0
Point differential	+0.8	+1.0	+0.7
Avg total	156.2	155.0	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ulm

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	85.2	80.7	99.0
Allowed / game	92.5	89.0	103.0
Point differential	-7.2	-8.3	-4.0
Avg total	177.8	169.7	202.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	25%	0%	100%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alba Berlin	5	5	0	100%	100.0	70.6	+29.4
2	Bayern	5	5	0	100%	88.0	73.4	+14.6
3	Bamberg	4	4	0	100%	89.5	83.0	+6.5
4	Giessen	6	5	1	83%	90.7	87.2	+3.5
5	Oldenburg	5	4	1	80%	93.4	79.2	+14.2
6	Gottingen	6	4	2	67%	84.7	79.2	+5.5
7	Bonn	5	3	2	60%	83.2	83.2	+0.0
8	Bayreuth	4	2	2	50%	78.5	77.8	+0.8
9	Bremerhaven	6	3	3	50%	83.0	85.2	-2.2
10	Vechta	6	3	3	50%	79.8	82.8	-3.0
11	s.Oliver Wurzburg	5	2	3	40%	80.2	80.8	-0.6
12	Jena	5	2	3	40%	76.6	89.0	-12.4
13	Ludwigsburg	6	2	4	33%	78.5	79.7	-1.2
14	Frankfurt	4	1	3	25%	74.2	82.2	-8.0
15	Crailsheim Merlins	6	1	5	17%	82.5	90.2	-7.7
16	Ulm	4	0	4	0%	85.2	92.5	-7.2
17	Basketball Braunschweig	5	0	5	0%	70.0	85.4	-15.4
18	Mitteldeutscher	5	0	5	0%	76.8	94.2	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayreuth	23	25	17	14	79
Ulm	16	19	25	28	88

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Bayreuth vs Ulm Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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