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Ulm vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 97-85
30-26 23-15 19-20 25-24
Position#6
Record8-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game85.7
Ulm 🏆
vs
Cedevita Olimpija
Position#19
Record3-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game90.4
EuropeEurocupRound 16
European cup2022
Meetings · Ulm v Cedevita Olimpija
15 Mar 2023
ULM97
COL85
09 Feb 2022
ULM96
COL104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Brescia
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
W
107-87
107
87
+20
94avg 76
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 76
H01/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-64
80
64
+16
70avg 76
A05/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 76
A07/02
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 76
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
66avg 76
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
82-62
82
62
+20
81avg 76
A03/03
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 76
H08/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
90avg 76
H11/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
21-21
22-16
27-17
24-25
20-20
37-28
26-14
18-26
26-24
22-16
26-20
23-21
25-12
18-11
14-20
18-13
17-11
26-24
15-34
24-20
20-25
22-25
26-14
20-23
21-19
19-29
17-26
12-20
27-11
20-12
23-19
21-20
18-20
17-24
22-19
24-28
22-25
25-16
23-10
165.9Avg total
86.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.185.7168.8-2.553%
Season at home (7)83.383.1166.4+0.157%
Season away (8)83.087.9170.9-4.950%
Last 10 (10)86.379.6165.9+6.770%
Last 5 (5)84.681.0165.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.591.5173.0-10.017%
vs Similar (7)86.983.9170.7+3.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.483.6173.0+5.776%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Venezia
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 81
H01/02
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 81
A04/02
ABA League
Prometey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
60avg 81
A08/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 81
A11/02
ABA League
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H13/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A17/02
Slovenian Cup
Igokea
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
87avg 81
H05/03
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
78avg 81
H08/03
Eurocup
Zadar
#9
L
59-81
59
81
-22
42avg 81
A12/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
14-24
21-15
16-14
21-19
14-22
17-15
22-23
24-25
19-27
15-26
10-16
27-24
20-13
20-16
19-26
23-25
23-20
23-20
22-19
16-19
23-15
29-16
22-19
17-14
21-19
20-19
23-18
25-15
24-22
22-14
12-22
25-23
20-19
22-23
20-29
13-22
13-21
15-21
18-17
159.2Avg total
79.6Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.890.4174.2-6.620%
Season at home (8)84.086.4170.4-2.425%
Season away (7)83.695.0178.6-11.414%
Last 10 (10)79.679.6159.2+0.060%
Last 5 (5)80.077.4157.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)87.890.9178.8-3.133%
vs Similar (5)81.077.2158.2+3.860%
vs Weaker (13)87.576.7164.2+10.885%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
UlmCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H01/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A05/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A07/02
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/03
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H11/03
BBL
81.8Avg total
41.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.386.0-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.545.689.1-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.982.9+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.281.8+1.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.241.882.0-1.750%-
vs Similar (7)44.044.188.1-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.143.486.5-0.441%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H01/02
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/02
ABA League
Prometey
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/02
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/02
ABA League
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H13/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A17/02
Slovenian Cup
Igokea
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H05/03
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/03
Eurocup
Zadar
#9
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A12/03
ABA League
81.6Avg total
40.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.584.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.640.984.5+2.762%-
Last 30 away (17)41.941.983.8-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.881.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.877.2+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.746.890.5-3.233%-
vs Similar (5)39.636.075.6+3.660%-
vs Weaker (13)42.838.781.5+4.269%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.419.2
63.2%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.9
37.2%
35.1%38.7
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
74.2%15.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.2
51.7%
53.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.913.7
81.1%
74.2%13.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLWLWLWWWW
Cedevita Olimpija
LLWWWWWLLW
#6
League position
#19
+17.9
Net rating
-8.9
123.9
Offensive rating
104.6
106.0
Defensive rating
113.6
59.2%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.2%
3-point %
36.6%
56.4%
Assist %
55.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.9 · 104.6Defence106.0 · 113.6Shooting59.2% · 53.1%3-point %37.2% · 36.6%Ball care16.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.3% · 25.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
2
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateGameScore
06/12/22Cedevita Olimpija v Ulm108-78
09/02/22Ulm v Cedevita Olimpija96-104
10/11/21Cedevita Olimpija v Ulm96-101 OT
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HFrankfurt94-79
08/03/23HPrometey78-83
03/03/23AWurzburg82-62
14/02/23ABamberg77-97
11/02/23HHeidelberg92-84
07/02/23AJoventut Badalona76-82
05/02/23ABayreuth80-64
01/02/23HBursaspor92-86
28/01/23HBamberg107-87
25/01/23ABrescia85-72
Cedevita Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AZadar59-81
08/03/23HLietkabelis87-94
05/03/23HIgokea83-73
17/02/23AHelios Domzale81-70
16/02/23ASencur90-69
13/02/23HKK Triglav Kranj91-84
11/02/23AFMP Beograd86-79
08/02/23APrometey68-94
04/02/23AMZT Skopje74-79
01/02/23HVenezia77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game83.183.383.0
Allowed / game85.783.187.9
Point differential-2.5+0.1-4.9
Avg total168.8166.4170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWLLWL25%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%25%14%
Points / game83.884.083.6
Allowed / game90.486.495.0
Point differential-6.6-2.4-11.4
Avg total174.2170.4178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1512380%85.479.8+5.6
2 Prometey1612475%87.883.4+4.3
3 Turk Telekom1511473%84.777.8+6.9
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1611569%87.679.0+8.6
5 Joventut Badalona1611569%85.079.6+5.4
6 Paris1610662%86.284.9+1.2
7 Promitheas159660%82.982.7+0.3
8 Venezia169756%81.475.9+5.5
9 Buducnost169756%79.875.0+4.8
10 Lietkabelis158753%80.281.8-1.6
11 Ulm158753%83.185.7-2.5
12 JL Bourg168850%82.984.6-1.7
13 Brescia157847%80.979.6+1.3
14 London Lions157847%79.079.1-0.1
15 Bursaspor167944%84.385.1-0.8
16 Hamburg1651131%81.985.6-3.6
17 Cluj-Napoca1651131%84.988.8-3.8
18 Cedevita Olimpija1531220%83.890.4-6.6
19 Trento1631319%72.282.6-10.3
20 Slask Wroclaw161156%73.485.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm3023192597
Cedevita Olimpija2615202485
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