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FMP Beograd vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-86
24-27 13-20 16-20 26-19
Position#5
Record12-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#4
Record12-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game79.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 19
Domestic2022
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Cedevita Olimpija
12 Dec 2026
FBE v COL
upcoming
22 Sep 2024
FBE75
COL62
11 Nov 2023
FBE84
COL96
06 May 2023
FBE102
COL96
11 Feb 2023
FBE79
COL86
22 Apr 2022
FBE75
COL77
30 Dec 2020
FBE91
COL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Zadar
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
no box
A02/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
111-75
111
75
+36
no box
H12/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
86avg 79
A19/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
90-73
90
73
+17
82avg 79
H24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
113-102
113
102
+11
111avg 79
A03/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
72-77
72
77
-5
66avg 79
A08/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
107-81
107
81
+26
108avg 79
H13/01
ABA League
Split
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
no box
A20/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
82avg 79
H29/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
58-84
58
84
-26
no box
A04/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
33-27
14-28
30-28
35-19
28-22
21-18
27-16
17-21
18-24
12-28
39-17
22-21
18-9
31-24
19-19
18-24
33-29
25-25
37-24
19-18
18-19
22-19
13-21
31-23
24-11
25-23
27-24
19-26
19-12
29-23
28-30
19-24
23-30
24-24
18-21
22-21
14-22
6-22
16-19
178.8Avg total
91.3Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.685.6176.2+5.067%
Season at home (9)95.382.4177.8+12.989%
Season away (9)85.988.8174.7-2.944%
Last 10 (10)91.387.5178.8+3.850%
Last 5 (5)83.286.4169.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.585.4160.9-9.90%
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.290.8176.0-5.550%
vs Weaker (14)93.282.9176.1+10.386%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
90-55
90
55
+35
no box
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
Bursaspor
#15
L
93-111
93
111
-18
95avg 82
A11/01
Eurocup
Split
#10
W
102-88
102
88
+14
100avg 82
H14/01
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
80-88
80
88
-8
63avg 82
H18/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
93avg 82
A23/01
ABA League
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 82
A25/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
58-80
58
80
-22
no box
H29/01
ABA League
Venezia
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 82
H01/02
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 82
A04/02
ABA League
Prometey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
60avg 82
A08/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
30-12
21-17
26-16
15-30
26-25
23-25
29-31
26-27
30-24
24-24
22-13
15-24
19-17
23-18
23-29
23-26
26-29
23-29
23-16
21-19
23-29
21-22
26-26
13-17
15-18
22-31
8-14
26-20
14-24
21-15
16-14
21-19
14-22
17-15
22-23
24-25
19-27
15-26
10-16
169.2Avg total
82.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.279.9168.1+8.271%
Season at home (8)88.880.5169.2+8.275%
Season away (9)87.779.4167.1+8.267%
Last 10 (10)82.886.4169.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)73.684.4158.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)84.789.6174.3-4.929%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.281.2158.3-4.017%
vs Weaker (10)91.777.7169.4+14.090%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
FMP BeogradCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A02/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H12/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A03/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H13/01
ABA League
Split
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H29/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A04/02
ABA League
87.2Avg total
45.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.584.2-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.385.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.683.5-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.287.2+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.282.8+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.045.382.3-8.310%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)46.244.090.2+2.275%-
vs Weaker (14)44.540.785.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
Bursaspor
#15
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A11/01
Eurocup
Split
#10
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H14/01
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H18/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A23/01
ABA League
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A25/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H29/01
ABA League
Venezia
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H01/02
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/02
ABA League
Prometey
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/02
Eurocup
85.7Avg total
41.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.183.5-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.882.4+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)41.343.284.5-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.485.7-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.082.0-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.445.987.3-4.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.838.073.8-2.217%-
vs Weaker (10)44.939.284.1+5.770%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.5
54.3%
55.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.410.8
48.2%
35.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.818.7
75.4%
75.8%18.7
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.5
50.1%
55.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.8
39.3%
35.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
75.8%13.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWWLWWLWL
Cedevita Olimpija
LLWLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#4
+4.2
Net rating
-8.6
118.8
Offensive rating
108.8
114.6
Defensive rating
117.4
61.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.28
48.2%
3-point %
39.3%
61.1%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 108.8Defence114.6 · 117.4Shooting61.2% · 54.0%3-point %48.2% · 39.3%Ball care19.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.9% · 28.4%Free throws0.43 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
FMP Beograd wins
3
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23ABuducnost58-84
29/01/23HCrvena zvezda84-99
20/01/23ASplit95-91
13/01/23HBorac Mozzart107-81
08/01/23AMega Basket72-77
03/01/23AMornar Bar113-102
24/12/22HStudentski Centar90-73
19/12/22APartizan86-90
12/12/22HCibona111-75
02/12/22AZadar97-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23APrometey68-94
04/02/23AMZT Skopje74-79
01/02/23HVenezia77-73
29/01/23HBuducnost58-80
25/01/23AJoventut Badalona91-96
23/01/23ACrvena zvezda95-100
18/01/23HCluj-Napoca80-88
14/01/23HSplit102-88
11/01/23ABursaspor93-111
07/01/23AKK Triglav Kranj90-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%89%44%
Points / game90.695.385.9
Allowed / game85.682.488.8
Point differential+5.0+12.9-2.9
Avg total176.2177.8174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%67%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL71%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game88.288.887.7
Allowed / game79.980.579.4
Point differential+8.2+8.2+8.2
Avg total168.1169.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%62%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1716194%87.570.5+17.0
2 Partizan1816289%93.875.9+17.9
3 Cedevita Olimpija1712571%88.279.9+8.2
4 Buducnost1812667%87.379.2+8.2
5 FMP Beograd1812667%90.685.6+5.0
6 Zadar189950%89.188.3+0.8
7 Studentski Centar1991047%85.490.3-4.8
8 Mega Basket1981142%85.386.7-1.4
9 Split1981142%80.485.6-5.2
10 Cibona1971237%79.290.6-11.5
11 Mornar Bar1861233%85.191.6-6.4
12 Igokea1751229%83.488.0-4.6
13 Borac Mozzart1841422%78.887.4-8.6
14 MZT Skopje1931616%79.290.7-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2413162679
Cedevita Olimpija2720201986
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