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Wurzburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 62-82
20-12 11-27 12-20 19-23
Position#11
Record11-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record10-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game86.8
GermanyBBLRound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Wurzburg v Ulm
09 May 2027
WUR v ULM
upcoming
02 May 2026
WUR98
ULM84
10 Jun 2025
WUR78
ULM77
04 Jun 2025
WUR87
ULM77
14 Apr 2025
WUR89
ULM72
24 May 2024
WUR75
ULM72
22 May 2024
WUR82
ULM79
19 Nov 2023
WUR83
ULM88
14 Oct 2023
WUR72
ULM76
03 Mar 2023
WUR62
ULM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
73-96
73
96
-23
67avg 74
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 74
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-83
99
83
+16
95avg 74
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 74
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
63avg 74
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 74
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
66avg 74
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
90-56
90
56
+34
83avg 74
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-98
83
98
-15
75avg 74
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 74
H15/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-29
22-28
23-17
19-22
19-17
24-23
19-24
11-15
24-31
26-22
24-16
25-14
29-13
20-23
19-23
23-25
21-19
24-22
14-20
17-18
24-17
19-26
22-21
17-29
19-22
29-17
11-13
18-22
25-18
24-15
10-19
31-4
21-30
20-23
26-20
16-25
23-23
24-17
19-14
24-17
164.7Avg total
83.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.683.7168.3+1.052%
Season at home (11)86.281.6167.8+4.555%
Season away (10)82.985.9168.8-3.050%
Last 10 (10)83.481.3164.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)84.478.4162.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.083.8161.8-5.840%
vs Similar (15)85.983.7169.5+2.253%
vs Weaker (1)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
83avg 76
H14/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#9
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 76
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 76
A22/01
BBL
Brescia
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
W
107-87
107
87
+20
94avg 76
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 76
H01/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-64
80
64
+16
70avg 76
A05/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 76
A07/02
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 76
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
66avg 76
A14/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-29
23-20
23-19
25-23
27-13
16-25
22-11
13-20
26-31
22-25
16-16
27-15
15-18
21-21
22-16
27-17
24-25
20-20
37-28
26-14
18-26
26-24
22-16
26-20
23-21
25-12
18-11
14-20
18-13
17-11
26-24
15-34
24-20
20-25
22-25
26-14
20-23
21-19
19-29
17-26
168.1Avg total
86.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.886.8174.6+1.050%
Season at home (10)90.990.5181.4+0.450%
Season away (10)84.883.1167.9+1.750%
Last 10 (10)86.281.9168.1+4.370%
Last 5 (5)83.482.6166.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.293.2175.4-11.020%
vs Similar (10)84.784.6169.3+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.585.4174.9+4.173%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
WurzburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A30/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H15/02
BBL
88.1Avg total
44.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)43.543.186.6+0.459%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.641.285.8+3.475%-
Last 30 away (10)42.245.487.6-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.588.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.687.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.043.885.8-1.860%-
vs Similar (15)43.542.285.7+1.360%-
vs Weaker (1)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H14/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A22/01
BBL
Brescia
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H01/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A05/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A07/02
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/02
BBL
84.0Avg total
41.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.585.9-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.245.489.6-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)40.941.882.6-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.184.0-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.881.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.442.282.6-1.860%-
vs Similar (10)42.443.986.3-1.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.143.686.7-0.540%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.9
53.5%
54.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.77.8
39.6%
35.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.311.2
73.2%
75.8%11.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.819.7
64.0%
54.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.8
37.3%
35.4%38.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
75.8%14.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WLWWLLWWLL
Ulm
LWLWWWWWWL
#11
League position
#4
+2.9
Net rating
+14.6
113.7
Offensive rating
123.4
110.8
Defensive rating
108.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
59.8%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.6%
3-point %
37.3%
47.9%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 123.4Defence110.8 · 108.8Shooting55.3% · 59.8%3-point %39.6% · 37.3%Ball care18.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds34.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wurzburg wins
0
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23Ulm v Wurzburg84-91
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HHeidelberg90-71
12/02/23ASyntainics MBC83-98
06/02/23HHamburg90-56
03/02/23HChemnitz77-74
28/01/23AHeidelberg82-93
23/01/23HAlba Berlin76-79
14/01/23AUlm91-84
08/01/23ABayreuth99-83
04/01/23HBamberg73-79
30/12/22AHamburg73-96
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23ABamberg77-97
11/02/23HHeidelberg92-84
07/02/23AJoventut Badalona76-82
05/02/23ABayreuth80-64
01/02/23HBursaspor92-86
28/01/23HBamberg107-87
25/01/23ABrescia85-72
22/01/23ASyntainics MBC91-87
18/01/23HLietkabelis78-69
14/01/23HWurzburg84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game84.686.282.9
Allowed / game83.781.685.9
Point differential+1.0+4.5-3.0
Avg total168.3167.8168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.890.984.8
Allowed / game86.890.583.1
Point differential+1.1+0.4+1.7
Avg total174.7181.4167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%30%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1918195%91.179.8+11.3
2 Bonn2119290%90.174.2+16.0
3 Bayern2014670%82.576.9+5.5
4 Oldenburg2013765%85.082.1+3.0
5 Gottingen2013765%87.185.3+1.8
6 Ludwigsburg1912763%88.885.0+3.8
7 Chemnitz1910953%84.682.8+1.7
8 Wurzburg21111052%84.683.7+1.0
9 Ulm20101050%87.886.8+1.1
10 Bamberg22111150%87.086.0+1.0
11 Rostock21101148%84.788.6-3.9
12 Syntainics MBC2081240%82.588.2-5.7
13 Hamburg2281436%82.885.7-2.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins2171433%87.391.7-4.4
15 Heidelberg2171433%86.291.1-4.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig2151624%79.085.3-6.4
17 Frankfurt2151624%79.687.2-7.6
18 Bayreuth2031715%80.889.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2011121962
Ulm1227202382
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