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Ulm vs Manresa Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeEurocupRound 9· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Manresa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#14
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 74
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 74
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 74
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 74
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 74
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 74
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#4
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
33-11
17-28
30-16
17-23
172.7Avg total
86.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.687.4175.0+0.143%
Season at home (3)94.091.0185.0+3.067%
Season away (4)82.884.8167.5-2.025%
Last 10 (10)86.586.2172.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.694.0175.6-12.40%
vs Similar (14)82.087.5169.5-5.529%
vs Weaker (11)87.876.3164.1+11.573%
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
82avg 82
A13/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 82
H17/10
ACB
BC Roma
#18
W
108-88
108
88
+20
103avg 82
H20/10
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 82
H24/10
ACB
Balkan
#32
W
76-65
76
65
+11
75avg 82
A27/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#4
L
83-106
83
106
-23
79avg 82
A01/11
ACB
Lietkabelis
#21
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
no box
H07/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#23
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#18
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
24-21
22-23
22-24
16-22
19-26
22-16
15-20
32-21
25-25
25-24
26-18
20-34
17-18
26-29
18-18
25-17
14-19
15-14
22-15
22-30
18-20
24-33
19-23
24-14
21-14
22-17
13-21
19-19
16-17
20-12
18-25
24-20
16-22
24-25
22-15
32-25
22-21
23-25
21-21
175.3Avg total
87.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.183.3171.4+4.971%
Season at home (3)98.386.3184.7+12.0100%
Season away (4)80.581.0161.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)87.288.1175.3-0.960%
Last 5 (5)89.489.0178.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)87.795.9183.5-8.233%
vs Similar (9)88.188.7176.8-0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.380.3168.7+8.083%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
UlmManresa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/11
BBL
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.783.9+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.851.693.4-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)41.640.481.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)46.837.884.6+9.091%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A13/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#9
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H17/10
ACB
BC Roma
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H20/10
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H24/10
ACB
Balkan
#32
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A01/11
ACB
Lietkabelis
#21
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A04/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#23
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/11
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A15/11
ACB
86.3Avg total
42.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.487.6-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.544.488.9+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.386.2-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.786.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.483.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.547.589.0-6.127%-
vs Similar (9)44.042.986.9+1.178%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.338.785.0+7.767%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
54.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
34.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
75.6%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.8
60.4%
54.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
34.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
75.6%16.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLLLWWLLWL
Manresa
WWWWLWLWLL
#15
League position
#8
-2.8
Net rating
-8.7
93.5
Offensive rating
94.2
96.3
Defensive rating
103.0
54.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.3%
3-point %
31.7%
59.4%
Assist %
65.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 94.2Defence96.3 · 103.0Shooting54.6% · 54.8%3-point %34.3% · 31.7%Ball care17.0% · 18.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Manresa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
1
Manresa wins
DateGameScore
07/10/26Manresa v Ulm101-89
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJena97-78
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AForca Lleida98-92
10/11/26HKK Bosna86-82
07/11/26HObradoiro CAB100-99 OT
04/11/26ALietkabelis80-66
01/11/26ABaskonia83-106
27/10/26ABalkan76-65
24/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-99
20/10/26HBC Roma108-88
17/10/26HUnicaja72-84
13/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.88-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game87.694.082.8
Allowed / game87.491.084.8
Point differential+0.1+3.0-2.0
Avg total175.0185.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manresa
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game88.198.380.5
Allowed / game83.386.381.0
Point differential+4.9+12.0-0.5
Avg total171.4184.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem770100%88.474.0+14.4
2 Basket Napoli770100%94.984.0+10.9
3 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.676.6+16.0
4 Aris76186%90.677.0+13.6
5 Tenerife76186%91.479.0+12.4
6 Tofas76186%91.782.9+8.9
7 PAOK75271%87.782.0+5.7
8 Manresa75271%88.183.3+4.9
9 London Lions74357%81.175.3+5.9
10 Buducnost74357%88.484.4+4.0
11 Maxima Roma74357%88.484.7+3.7
12 Le Mans74357%80.778.1+2.6
13 Chemnitz74357%87.985.4+2.4
14 Venezia73443%86.380.6+5.7
15 Ulm73443%87.687.4+0.1
16 Turk Telekom73443%80.680.9-0.3
17 Tortona73443%80.683.3-2.7
18 BC Roma73443%87.090.6-3.6
19 Siauliai73443%80.086.3-6.3
20 Rigas Zelli73443%78.685.3-6.7
21 Lietkabelis73443%73.781.7-8.0
22 Frankfurt73443%86.694.7-8.1
23 KK Bosna72529%79.981.9-2.0
24 JL Bourg72529%81.184.7-3.6
25 Cedevita Olimpija72529%74.979.0-4.1
26 Neptunas72529%84.790.3-5.6
27 Trento72529%82.189.0-6.9
28 Rostock72529%78.486.4-8.0
29 Cluj-Napoca72529%81.394.3-13.0
30 San Pablo Burgos71614%76.985.9-9.0
31 Slask Wroclaw71614%79.789.9-10.1
32 Balkan71614%67.480.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.
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