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Ulm vs Monaco Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 13 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 3· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A16/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A18/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H23/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H20/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
A25/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H27/09
BBL
Balkan
#32
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H30/09
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A03/10
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#16
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
A10/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
15-19
16-18
17-27
18-22
24-19
18-32
27-17
28-27
19-20
19-32
21-17
18-15
17-12
23-30
28-20
27-21
16-16
27-21
23-20
24-16
9-25
22-21
12-28
31-17
23-22
21-20
23-25
24-20
17-18
16-23
15-28
24-31
21-31
24-20
20-19
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
172.7Avg total
84.5Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.592.5186.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)98.084.0182.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)89.0101.0190.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)84.588.2172.7-3.730%
Last 5 (5)83.692.2175.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.484.9160.3-9.429%
vs Similar (12)82.387.3169.7-5.025%
vs Weaker (11)90.377.7168.0+12.573%
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#7
W
114-103
114
103
+11
A27/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H01/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H03/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A06/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A08/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A14/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
102-90
102
90
+12
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H19/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H21/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
101-92
101
92
+9
A23/06
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
33-27
21-27
28-27
24-27
25-23
26-21
28-17
23-19
30-22
18-21
18-36
20-20
23-8
21-18
19-15
17-24
32-13
18-19
22-22
28-22
24-29
24-16
15-28
28-15
25-26
24-25
25-24
26-17
18-23
17-18
16-30
27-16
27-17
29-22
13-29
27-24
28-28
18-29
28-11
182.2Avg total
94.5Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.587.7182.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)93.489.8183.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.096.7168.7-24.70%
vs Similar (23)91.589.3180.9+2.261%
vs Weaker (4)95.294.2189.5+1.075%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
UlmMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A25/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H27/09
BBL
Balkan
#32
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/09
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
82.8Avg total
42.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.283.1+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.984.4+4.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.540.481.9+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.082.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.686.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.939.376.1-2.443%-
vs Similar (12)41.942.284.1-0.250%-
vs Weaker (11)47.938.586.5+9.482%-
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#7
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A27/05
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H01/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H03/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A06/06
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A08/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A14/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H21/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A23/06
LNB
93.9Avg total
51.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.044.291.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.142.290.3+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)45.846.191.9-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)51.742.293.9+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)51.643.495.0+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.755.090.7-19.30%-
vs Similar (23)48.343.191.4+5.170%-
vs Weaker (4)48.042.090.0+6.075%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
54.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.7
32.2%
34.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.6
70.0%
75.6%12.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.8
59.1%
54.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.9
39.4%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws26.618.8
70.7%
75.6%18.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLLWLWWLLL
Monaco
WWLWLWWLWW
-4.1
Net rating
+4.9
93.7
Offensive rating
103.2
97.9
Defensive rating
98.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
59.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.43
32.2%
3-point %
39.4%
59.9%
Assist %
68.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 103.2Defence97.9 · 98.3Shooting52.5% · 59.1%3-point %32.2% · 39.4%Ball care15.2% · 14.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
2
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
20/11/18Monaco v Ulm84-81
16/10/18Ulm v Monaco65-75
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
07/10/26AManresa89-101
03/10/26ASyntainics MBC72-89
30/09/26HBalkan98-84
27/09/26HWurzburg67-90
25/09/26APhoenix Hagen93-78
20/09/26HLudwigsburg86-77
23/05/26HBamberg87-96
18/05/26ABamberg87-90
16/05/26ABamberg74-80
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/26AParis101-92
21/06/26HParis96-84
19/06/26HParis77-88
17/06/26AParis102-90
14/06/26AParis91-95
08/06/26ANanterre89-78
06/06/26ANanterre83-61
03/06/26HNanterre89-98
01/06/26HNanterre103-88
27/05/26AJL Bourg114-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game93.598.089.0
Allowed / game92.584.0101.0
Point differential+1.0+14.0-12.0
Avg total186.0182.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%96.069.0+27.0
2 Hapoel Jerusalem220100%84.568.5+16.0
3 Aris220100%90.077.0+13.0
4 Basket Napoli220100%88.575.5+13.0
5 Tofas220100%85.575.5+10.0
6 PAOK220100%84.075.0+9.0
7 Venezia21150%98.085.0+13.0
8 Maxima Roma21150%83.073.5+9.5
9 London Lions21150%80.075.5+4.5
10 Turk Telekom21150%83.579.5+4.0
11 Buducnost21150%87.084.0+3.0
12 Tortona21150%86.584.5+2.0
13 Ulm21150%93.592.5+1.0
14 Rigas Zelli21150%86.085.5+0.5
15 Lietkabelis21150%81.082.0-1.0
16 Manresa21150%89.591.0-1.5
17 Chemnitz21150%81.083.0-2.0
18 Siauliai21150%72.575.0-2.5
19 Tenerife21150%79.582.0-2.5
20 BC Roma21150%85.089.0-4.0
21 San Pablo Burgos21150%82.587.0-4.5
22 Trento21150%78.583.5-5.0
23 Slask Wroclaw21150%84.590.0-5.5
24 Rostock21150%80.090.0-10.0
25 Frankfurt21150%75.587.5-12.0
26 Cluj-Napoca21150%76.590.5-14.0
27 KK Bosna2020%72.075.0-3.0
28 Neptunas2020%78.584.5-6.0
29 Cedevita Olimpija2020%72.580.0-7.5
30 JL Bourg2020%79.086.5-7.5
31 Le Mans2020%78.588.0-9.5
32 Balkan2020%72.099.5-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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