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Ulm vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 67-90
24-16 9-25 22-21 12-28
Position#12
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#7
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game77.0
GermanyBBLRound 3· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Ulm v Wurzburg
27 Sep 2026
ULM67
WUR90
29 Dec 2025
ULM66
WUR61
12 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR84
07 Jun 2025
ULM99
WUR86
01 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR87
28 Sep 2024
ULM85
WUR76
20 May 2024
ULM100
WUR64
18 May 2024
ULM65
WUR78
23 Mar 2024
ULM87
WUR79
14 Jan 2023
ULM84
WUR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
75-68
75
68
+7
58avg 74
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
67avg 74
H22/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 74
H25/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
84-98
84
98
-14
81avg 74
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
103-64
103
64
+39
104avg 74
A10/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
69avg 74
A16/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
83avg 74
A18/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
78avg 74
H23/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 74
H20/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
87avg 74
A25/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
30-20
12-19
22-14
5-23
34-25
26-21
12-20
29-20
13-12
19-19
20-21
26-23
22-26
15-30
21-19
31-24
30-8
19-16
23-16
26-16
15-19
16-18
17-27
18-22
24-19
18-32
27-17
28-27
19-20
19-32
21-17
18-15
17-12
23-30
28-20
27-21
16-16
27-21
23-20
165.9Avg total
84.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.577.5167.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)93.078.0171.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.781.2165.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)85.484.2169.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.581.8161.3-2.350%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.784.4163.1-5.730%
vs Weaker (14)87.176.5163.6+10.664%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
W
98-84
98
84
+14
93avg 72
H02/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
90-73
90
73
+17
87avg 72
A07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
75-58
75
58
+17
70avg 72
H10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
69-54
69
54
+15
57avg 72
A16/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
65avg 72
A18/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 72
H22/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
72avg 72
H24/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
63-66
63
66
-3
52avg 72
A27/05
BBL
Manchester Basketball
#31
L
73-74
73
74
-1
62avg 72
H14/09
Champions League
Oldenburg
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
70avg 72
H25/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
26-22
30-15
19-21
22-14
26-21
20-21
22-17
23-10
18-15
11-15
23-18
14-23
16-7
24-15
15-9
24-20
19-21
17-24
21-23
22-17
22-19
7-19
25-25
20-12
16-19
25-17
21-22
19-15
11-7
16-27
17-17
19-18
18-24
15-22
21-10
12-21
21-19
21-13
14-24
149.9Avg total
77.5Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.077.0145.0-9.00%
Season at home (1)68.077.0145.0-9.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.572.4149.9+5.150%
Last 5 (5)72.473.4145.8-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.386.3165.6-7.014%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.377.3156.6+2.050%
vs Weaker (8)78.075.8153.8+2.262%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
UlmWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H22/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H25/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A02/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
61-32
61
32
+29
A10/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A25/09
BBL
82.2Avg total
43.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.980.4+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.338.581.9+4.860%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.278.9+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.382.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.339.577.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.440.681.0-0.250%-
vs Weaker (14)43.737.481.1+6.471%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A16/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H22/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A27/05
BBL
Manchester Basketball
#31
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/09
Champions League
Oldenburg
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H25/09
BBL
74.1Avg total
39.1Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.978.2+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.338.979.2+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)38.039.077.0-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.074.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.270.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.142.383.4-1.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.338.078.3+2.364%-
vs Weaker (8)36.037.273.2-1.250%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.9
54.6%
55.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.1
30.0%
33.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.716.2
74.7%
73.4%16.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.3
48.9%
55.6%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.1
32.5%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.316.9
75.8%
73.4%16.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLLLWLWLW
Wurzburg
LLLWLLWWWW
#12
League position
#7
+3.9
Net rating
+5.7
93.1
Offensive rating
91.2
89.2
Defensive rating
85.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.0%
3-point %
32.5%
62.3%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 91.2Defence89.2 · 85.5Shooting50.7% · 48.9%3-point %30.0% · 32.5%Ball care16.0% · 14.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ulm wins
5
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
02/05/26Wurzburg v Ulm98-84
29/12/25Ulm v Wurzburg66-61
12/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-84
10/06/25Wurzburg v Ulm78-77
07/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg99-86
04/06/25Wurzburg v Ulm87-77
01/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-87 OT
14/04/25Wurzburg v Ulm89-72
28/09/24Ulm v Wurzburg85-76
24/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm75-72
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/26APhoenix Hagen93-78
20/09/26HLudwigsburg86-77
23/05/26HBamberg87-96
18/05/26ABamberg87-90
16/05/26ABamberg74-80
10/05/26AFrankfurt103-64
02/05/26AWurzburg84-98
25/04/26HHamburg81-72
22/04/26HAlba Berlin77-89
19/04/26ARostock75-68
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/26HOldenburg68-77
14/09/26HManchester Basketball73-74
27/05/26ABonn63-66
24/05/26HBonn82-70
22/05/26HBonn76-80
18/05/26ABonn81-88
16/05/26ABonn69-54
10/05/26HLudwigsburg75-58
07/05/26AHamburg90-73
02/05/26HUlm98-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.586.093.0
Allowed / game77.577.078.0
Point differential+12.0+9.0+15.0
Avg total167.0163.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game68.068.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential-9.0-9.0-
Avg total145.0145.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern220100%101.566.5+35.0
2 Ulm220100%89.577.5+12.0
3 Oldenburg330100%82.774.3+8.3
4 Basketball Braunschweig220100%99.594.5+5.0
5 Trier32167%103.793.7+10.0
6 Bonn32167%84.383.3+1.0
7 Ludwigsburg32167%87.086.7+0.3
8 Alba Berlin32167%81.386.7-5.3
9 Frankfurt21150%88.087.5+0.5
10 Rostock31233%87.385.3+2.0
11 Bamberg31233%92.092.7-0.7
12 Syntainics MBC31233%76.778.3-1.7
13 Chemnitz31233%88.792.0-3.3
14 Hamburg31233%80.087.0-7.0
15 Phoenix Hagen3030%87.796.3-8.7
16 Wurzburg1010%68.077.0-9.0
17 Jena2020%73.587.5-14.0
18 Vechta2020%74.0100.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm249221267
Wurzburg1625212890
← all games of the day
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