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Ulm vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-82
24-29 16-16 27-18 16-19
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game89.5
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#19
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game83.8
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2018
Meetings · Ulm v Brescia
26 Oct 2022
ULM90
BRE98
10 Nov 2020
ULM88
BRE76
30 Oct 2018
ULM83
BRE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
73-102
73
102
-29
A01/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H28/09
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A02/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A06/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#20
W
103-92 OT
103
92
+11
H10/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
A13/10
BBL
Monaco
#8
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H16/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H20/10
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A24/10
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H27/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
18-26
15-22
16-29
19-27
19-19
19-16
20-21
21-28
22-18
16-16
14-26
17-16
25-18
16-21
16-23
19-25
27-18
6-23
26-12
20-24
21-22
19-19
17-12
15-24
17-22
11-13
22-16
17-24
20-20
15-24
22-24
25-20
15-29
23-24
32-30
21-23
23-22
20-19
27-28
173.2Avg total
82.4Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.089.5173.5-5.525%
Season at home (2)84.083.5167.5+0.550%
Season away (2)84.095.5179.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)82.490.8173.2-8.410%
Last 5 (5)84.893.0177.8-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.889.8169.5-10.015%
vs Similar (8)79.085.8164.8-6.812%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.983.9170.8+3.062%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H30/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H24/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
17-17
21-15
16-19
13-20
17-15
11-23
18-23
14-24
22-19
17-22
15-15
22-21
19-22
23-23
16-15
19-23
24-24
24-28
24-35
27-21
15-18
18-28
23-12
21-24
23-16
21-22
11-22
19-24
25-18
20-27
22-21
15-31
24-7
17-12
13-11
20-13
19-21
15-21
20-22
157.5Avg total
75.6Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.083.8159.8-7.825%
Season at home (2)68.570.5139.0-2.050%
Season away (2)83.597.0180.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)75.681.9157.5-6.320%
Last 5 (5)77.678.2155.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.983.4161.3-5.530%
vs Similar (12)74.574.4148.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (6)84.377.5161.8+6.883%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
UlmBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A01/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H28/09
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#20
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/10
BBL
Monaco
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H16/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/10
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A24/10
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/10
BBL
85.5Avg total
40.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.782.6-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.944.182.1-6.213%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.383.2-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.545.085.5-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.846.084.8-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.544.481.8-6.98%-
vs Similar (8)36.146.082.1-9.90%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.841.585.2+2.262%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/10
Lega A
79.4Avg total
39.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.378.2-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.938.578.4+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)38.139.978.1-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.379.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.680.2+3.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.643.282.8-3.650%-
vs Similar (12)36.437.473.8-1.050%-
vs Weaker (6)43.237.580.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.0
45.0%
51.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.0
38.1%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.717.7
81.5%
74.9%17.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.3
48.0%
51.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.6
35.2%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.9%15.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLLLLWLLLL
Brescia
LWLLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#19
-14.0
Net rating
-5.0
105.4
Offensive rating
104.4
119.4
Defensive rating
109.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
49.9%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.1%
3-point %
35.2%
56.4%
Assist %
58.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 104.4Defence119.4 · 109.4Shooting49.2% · 49.9%3-point %38.1% · 35.2%Ball care19.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds31.1% · 30.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Ulm   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
0
Brescia wins
No previous meetings.
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/18HGiessen91-92
24/10/18AMoraBanc Andorra95-103
20/10/18HAlba Berlin74-92
16/10/18HMonaco65-75
13/10/18AOldenburg99-103 OT
10/10/18HGalatasaray103-92 OT
06/10/18AFrankfurt74-78
02/10/18ACrvena zvezda73-88
28/09/18HBayern77-83
01/05/18AAlba Berlin73-102
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/18HAvellino74-77
24/10/18HCrvena zvezda69-61
21/10/18ATrieste86-90
16/10/18AGalatasaray76-84
14/10/18HReggiana83-79
10/10/18AMoraBanc Andorra91-110
07/10/18AVarese80-81
03/10/18HMonaco68-80
29/09/18AOlimpia Milano59-81
30/05/18HOlimpia Milano70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game84.084.084.0
Allowed / game89.583.595.5
Point differential-5.5+0.5-11.5
Avg total173.5167.5179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
Brescia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game76.068.583.5
Allowed / game83.870.597.0
Point differential-7.8-2.0-13.5
Avg total159.8139.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban440100%85.572.5+13.0
2 Crvena zvezda54180%77.468.2+9.2
3 Unics Kazan43175%88.876.8+12.0
4 Zenit Petersburg43175%92.580.5+12.0
5 Alba Berlin43175%91.081.8+9.2
6 Unicaja43175%85.277.2+8.0
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne43175%77.571.5+6.0
8 Valencia43175%82.076.0+6.0
9 Monaco43175%76.071.0+5.0
10 Frankfurt43175%80.078.0+2.0
11 MoraBanc Andorra42250%91.288.8+2.5
12 Cedevita42250%75.575.2+0.2
13 Limoges42250%82.083.2-1.2
14 Rytas42250%75.076.8-1.8
15 Galatasaray52340%80.485.0-4.6
16 Partizan41325%77.883.0-5.2
17 Ulm41325%84.089.5-5.5
18 Tofas41325%85.092.5-7.5
19 Brescia41325%76.083.8-7.8
20 Turk Telekom41325%72.881.0-8.2
21 Trento41325%70.080.5-10.5
22 Mornar Bar41325%79.592.8-13.2
23 Torino4040%80.587.5-7.0
24 Gdynia4040%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2416271683
Brescia2916181982
← all games of the day
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