Ulm vs Bonn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 96-85

22-25 31-17 21-18 22-25

Position#6

Record2-5

FormWLLWL

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game88.6

Ulm 🏆

Bonn

Position#7

Record5-3

FormLWLWW

Points / game84.4

Allowed / game84.0

BBLRound 9

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Ulm v Bonn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bonn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ulm

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUlm

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

74-92

-18

no box

H20/10

BBL

MoraBanc Andorra

95-103

103

-8

116avg 103

A24/10

Eurocup

Giessen

#13

91-92

-1

no box

H27/10

BBL

Brescia

#19

83-82

110avg 103

H30/10

Eurocup

Bayreuth

#12

88-79

no box

A04/11

BBL

Crvena zvezda

95-80

+15

no box

H07/11

Eurocup

Ludwigsburg

#10

82-91

-9

no box

H10/11

BBL

Galatasaray

#20

69-77

-8

91avg 103

A14/11

Eurocup

Jena

#18

85-80

no box

A17/11

BBL

Monaco

81-84

-3

109avg 103

A20/11

Eurocup

17-24

20-20

15-24

22-24

25-20

15-29

23-24

32-30

21-23

23-22

20-19

27-28

24-29

16-16

27-18

16-19

16-23

19-25

25-17

28-14

21-17

29-16

23-24

22-23

21-24

14-19

17-31

30-17

11-15

16-19

22-23

20-20

19-19

23-23

24-21

19-17

27-16

19-24

19-18

16-26

170.3Avg total

84.3Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	85.1	88.6	173.7	-3.4	29%
Season at home (4)	81.0	89.5	170.5	-8.5	0%
Season away (3)	90.7	87.3	178.0	+3.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	86.0	170.3	-1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	82.4	164.8	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	80.1	90.4	170.5	-10.3	20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.1	85.3	165.4	-5.2	20%
vs Weaker (9)	84.1	83.0	167.1	+1.1	56%

This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bonn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBonn

Date

Competition

Bayern

91-102

102

-11

no box

A21/10

BBL

Nanterre

#10

57-81

-24

no box

H23/10

Champions League

Jena

#18

70-82

-12

no box

A27/10

BBL

Fribourg Olympic

#34

83-79

no box

A30/10

Champions League

Frankfurt

#11

79-83

-4

no box

A04/11

BBL

Venezia

84-94

-10

no box

H06/11

Champions League

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

89-87

no box

H11/11

BBL

Hapoel Holon

#20

74-94

-20

no box

A13/11

Champions League

s.Oliver Wurzburg

91-86

no box

H18/11

BBL

Opava

#44

114-77

114

+37

no box

H20/11

Champions League

22-25

17-25

27-29

25-23

17-11

18-19

15-23

7-28

21-23

16-22

20-21

13-16

14-21

18-19

25-22

26-17

19-19

11-26

24-16

25-22

20-34

27-15

18-21

19-24

23-14

28-24

17-24

21-25

19-22

22-27

16-21

17-24

13-23

32-18

22-17

24-28

32-18

26-22

39-20

17-17

169.7Avg total

83.2Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	84.4	84.0	168.4	+0.4	62%
Season at home (4)	87.2	81.5	168.8	+5.8	100%
Season away (4)	81.5	86.5	168.0	-5.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	86.5	169.7	-3.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	87.6	178.0	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.8	90.0	167.8	-12.2	12%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	80.6	81.0	161.6	-0.4	45%
vs Weaker (10)	90.4	75.0	165.4	+15.4	90%

This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

UlmBonn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	22.9	42.1	-3.8	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.5	23.7	42.2	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.2	21.3	41.6	-1.1	22%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.6	22.3	39.9	-4.7	20%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.0	41.9	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	18.8	40.3	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	22.9	43.4	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	21.2	48.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	60%	-

UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

37-44

-7

H20/10

BBL

MoraBanc Andorra

40-49

-9

A24/10

Eurocup

Giessen

#13

44-45

-1

H27/10

BBL

Brescia

#19

40-45

-5

H30/10

Eurocup

Bayreuth

#12

35-48

-13

A04/11

BBL

Crvena zvezda

50-33

+17

H07/11

Eurocup

Ludwigsburg

#10

35-43

-8

H10/11

BBL

Galatasaray

#20

27-34

-7

A14/11

Eurocup

Jena

#18

42-42

A17/11

BBL

Monaco

46-40

A20/11

Eurocup

81.9Avg total

39.6Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	42.6	81.1	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	42.5	81.1	-3.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	42.7	81.1	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.3	81.9	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.2	44.3	81.5	-7.1	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.9	43.8	81.7	-5.9	20%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.3	40.3	80.7	+0.0	44%	-

This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayern

39-50

-11

A21/10

BBL

Nanterre

#10

35-30

H23/10

Champions League

Jena

#18

37-45

-8

A27/10

BBL

Fribourg Olympic

#34

32-40

-8

A30/10

Champions League

Frankfurt

#11

30-45

-15

A04/11

BBL

Venezia

47-49

-2

H06/11

Champions League

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

51-38

+13

H11/11

BBL

Hapoel Holon

#20

41-49

-8

A13/11

Champions League

s.Oliver Wurzburg

45-41

H18/11

BBL

Opava

#44

58-40

+18

H20/11

Champions League

84.2Avg total

41.5Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.9	83.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.2	37.7	80.9	+5.5	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	43.7	84.9	-2.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.7	84.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	43.4	91.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.8	44.4	85.1	-3.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.8	41.0	82.8	+0.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.3	38.1	81.4	+5.2	70%	-

This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	21.1	40.1	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.9	21.7	41.6	-1.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	19.8	40.8	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.1	18.5	37.5	+0.6	73%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.7	18.7	43.4	+6.0	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	22.6	43.3	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.2	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	23.3	42.4	-4.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	23.4	40.6	-6.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	21.5	41.3	-1.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	17.8	39.1	+3.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	41.8	82.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	41.1	82.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	42.4	82.8	-2.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	43.7	88.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	44.0	86.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.3	42.4	82.7	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.2	41.5	83.7	+0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.0	41.1	82.1	-0.1	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	40.0	80.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	42.3	83.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	37.9	78.7	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	43.8	85.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	44.2	86.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.0	45.6	82.6	-8.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.8	40.0	78.8	-1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	46.0	36.5	82.5	+9.5	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀24%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 24% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	18.7	44.4%	54.1%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	7.6	33.1%	33.9%	22.7
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.4	77.7%	73.6%	19.4

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	21.4	54.9%	54.1%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.9	35.4%	33.9%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.9	70.3%	73.6%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	21.4	54.9%	54.1%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.9	35.4%	33.9%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.9	70.3%	73.6%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ulm wins

Bonn wins

Date	Game	Score
01/04/18	Ulm v Bonn	87-94 OT
04/10/17	Bonn v Ulm	86-74
12/03/17	Bonn v Ulm	69-87
05/11/16	Ulm v Bonn	93-70
17/01/16	Bonn v Ulm	79-95
24/10/15	Ulm v Bonn	82-97
20/05/15	Bonn v Ulm	79-86
17/05/15	Ulm v Bonn	86-73
15/05/15	Bonn v Ulm	99-95
09/05/15	Ulm v Bonn	88-93

Ulmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/18	A	Monaco	81-84
17/11/18	A	Jena	85-80
14/11/18	A	Galatasaray	69-77
10/11/18	H	Ludwigsburg	82-91
07/11/18	H	Crvena zvezda	95-80
04/11/18	A	Bayreuth	88-79
30/10/18	H	Brescia	83-82
27/10/18	H	Giessen	91-92
24/10/18	A	MoraBanc Andorra	95-103
20/10/18	H	Alba Berlin	74-92

Bonnlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/18	H	Opava	114-77
18/11/18	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	91-86
13/11/18	A	Hapoel Holon	74-94
11/11/18	H	Crailsheim Merlins	89-87
06/11/18	H	Venezia	84-94
04/11/18	A	Frankfurt	79-83
30/10/18	A	Fribourg Olympic	83-79
27/10/18	A	Jena	70-82
23/10/18	H	Nanterre	57-81
21/10/18	A	Bayern	91-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	29%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	29%	0%	67%
Points / game	85.1	81.0	90.7
Allowed / game	88.6	89.5	87.3
Point differential	-3.4	-8.5	+3.3
Avg total	173.7	170.5	178.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	14%	0%	33%

Bonn

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	62%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	100%	25%
Points / game	84.4	87.2	81.5
Allowed / game	84.0	81.5	86.5
Point differential	+0.4	+5.8	-5.0
Avg total	168.4	168.8	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	8	8	0	100%	89.0	72.2	+16.8
2	Alba Berlin	7	6	1	86%	94.4	74.4	+20.0
3	Giessen	8	6	2	75%	92.0	90.2	+1.8
4	Oldenburg	7	5	2	71%	88.9	79.0	+9.9
5	Bamberg	7	5	2	71%	88.7	88.1	+0.6
6	Bonn	8	5	3	62%	84.4	84.0	+0.4
7	Bayreuth	7	4	3	57%	85.3	80.7	+4.6
8	Vechta	9	5	4	56%	78.4	79.0	-0.6
9	Gottingen	8	4	4	50%	80.1	78.1	+2.0
10	Ludwigsburg	8	4	4	50%	78.0	76.5	+1.5
11	Jena	7	3	4	43%	78.7	87.3	-8.6
12	Basketball Braunschweig	8	3	5	38%	74.4	78.4	-4.0
13	Bremerhaven	9	3	6	33%	80.3	87.8	-7.4
14	s.Oliver Wurzburg	7	2	5	29%	79.7	81.9	-2.1
15	Ulm	7	2	5	29%	85.1	88.6	-3.4
16	Frankfurt	7	2	5	29%	78.7	84.3	-5.6
17	Crailsheim Merlins	8	1	7	12%	81.6	90.8	-9.1
18	Mitteldeutscher	8	1	7	12%	74.2	87.9	-13.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ulm	22	31	21	22	96
Bonn	25	17	18	25	85

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Ulm vs Bonn Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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