PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ulm vs Phoenix Hagen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#17
Record2-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game92.0
GermanyBBLRound 27· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Ulm v Phoenix Hagen
28 Mar 2027
ULM v PHA
upcoming
19 Nov 2016
ULM116
PHA64
10 Oct 2015
ULM95
PHA73
01 Nov 2014
ULM74
PHA90
04 Jan 2014
ULM105
PHA90
27 Oct 2012
ULM90
PHA78
26 Nov 2011
ULM86
PHA72
20 Nov 2010
ULM96
PHA89
30 Jan 2010
ULM87
PHA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Hagen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#14
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 77
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 77
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 77
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 77
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 77
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 77
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#4
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
33-11
17-28
30-16
17-23
172.7Avg total
86.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.185.4169.6-1.344%
Season at home (4)82.877.5160.2+5.275%
Season away (5)85.291.8177.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)86.586.2172.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.694.0175.6-12.40%
vs Similar (14)82.087.5169.5-5.529%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.876.3164.1+11.573%
This opponent (Phoenix Hagen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix HagenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHagen
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#5
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H07/06
Pro A
Rostock
#4
L
92-102
92
102
-10
83avg 79
A19/09
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
78-93
78
93
-15
74avg 79
H25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
82avg 79
A27/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
88-93
88
93
-5
79avg 79
H04/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 79
A10/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
88-73
88
73
+15
86avg 79
H25/10
BBL
Vechta
#14
L
74-100
74
100
-26
65avg 79
H30/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
72-102
72
102
-30
no box
A06/11
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
H13/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
15-21
22-13
30-23
11-39
22-22
26-17
33-24
21-27
16-16
21-27
20-23
24-19
23-20
20-22
14-20
18-22
22-19
26-24
22-28
29-20
24-19
13-18
21-21
20-25
28-12
16-24
24-12
25-25
13-31
15-25
21-19
26-26
21-30
11-27
14-19
18-21
29-24
18-22
14-26
175.4Avg total
84.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.492.0175.4-8.622%
Season at home (5)81.490.4171.8-9.020%
Season away (4)86.094.0180.0-8.025%
Last 10 (10)84.491.0175.4-6.630%
Last 5 (5)80.089.2169.2-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)83.796.2179.8-12.50%
vs Similar (4)84.886.0170.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (20)90.783.0173.6+7.775%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
UlmPhoenix Hagen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/11
BBL
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.783.9+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.851.693.4-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)41.640.481.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.837.884.6+9.091%-
This opponent (Phoenix Hagen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix HagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H07/06
Pro A
Rostock
#4
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A19/09
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H04/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A10/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H25/10
BBL
Vechta
#14
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H30/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A06/11
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H13/11
BBL
89.4Avg total
43.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.644.288.8+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.684.9+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)45.947.293.1-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.146.389.4-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.693.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.847.589.3-5.733%-
vs Similar (4)46.244.590.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (20)45.043.188.2+1.960%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.4%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Hagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Hagen: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.6
55.1%
55.6%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.0
33.6%
33.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.412.9
78.4%
73.4%12.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLLLWWLLWL
Phoenix Hagen
LLLWWLLLLW
#11
League position
#17
-2.8
Net rating
-7.2
93.5
Offensive rating
99.6
96.3
Defensive rating
106.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.3%
3-point %
33.6%
59.4%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 99.6Defence96.3 · 106.9Shooting54.6% · 53.0%3-point %34.3% · 33.6%Ball care17.0% · 15.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Ulm   ■ Phoenix Hagen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ulm wins
3
Phoenix Hagen wins
DateGameScore
25/09/26Phoenix Hagen v Ulm78-93
19/11/16Ulm v Phoenix Hagen116-64
31/01/16Phoenix Hagen v Ulm75-101
10/10/15Ulm v Phoenix Hagen95-73
23/01/15Phoenix Hagen v Ulm96-98
01/11/14Ulm v Phoenix Hagen74-90
25/04/14Phoenix Hagen v Ulm104-91
04/01/14Ulm v Phoenix Hagen105-90
17/02/13Phoenix Hagen v Ulm90-78
27/10/12Ulm v Phoenix Hagen90-78
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJena97-78
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HLudwigsburg79-93
06/11/26AAlba Berlin72-102
30/10/26HVechta74-100
25/10/26HBasketball Braunschweig88-73
10/10/26AOldenburg87-78
04/10/26HFrankfurt88-93
27/09/26AChemnitz93-94 OT
25/09/26HUlm78-93
19/09/26ARostock92-102
07/06/26HKirchheim93-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game84.182.885.2
Allowed / game85.477.591.8
Point differential-1.3+5.2-6.6
Avg total169.6160.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Phoenix Hagen
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL22%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game83.481.486.0
Allowed / game92.090.494.0
Point differential-8.6-9.0-8.0
Avg total175.4171.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.