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Ulm vs Trier Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 26 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
6.4/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game86.1
GermanyBBLRound 13· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Ulm v Trier
26 Dec 2026
ULM v TRI
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
ULM97
TRI67
29 Nov 2014
ULM93
TRI77
26 Oct 2013
ULM79
TRI84
06 Feb 2013
ULM99
TRI70
26 Dec 2012
ULM73
TRI58
21 Apr 2012
ULM78
TRI77
20 Mar 2011
ULM90
TRI85
05 Dec 2009
ULM97
TRI76
19 Dec 2008
ULM82
TRI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
L
89-101
89
101
-12
83avg 75
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 75
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 75
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 75
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#10
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 75
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#22
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 75
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 75
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#5
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#19
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
21-31
24-20
20-19
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
174.2Avg total
85.7Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.586.4168.9-3.938%
Season at home (3)78.077.3155.3+0.767%
Season away (5)85.291.8177.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)85.788.5174.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)82.881.8164.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.694.0175.6-12.40%
vs Similar (16)82.685.5168.1-2.938%
vs Weaker (9)87.678.7166.2+8.967%
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrier
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-80
94
80
+14
88avg 84
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
92-59
92
59
+33
90avg 84
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 84
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 84
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#19
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 84
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 84
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
103-80
103
80
+23
99avg 84
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#8
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
122-57
122
57
+65
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
18-14
23-33
24-20
18-16
31-14
28-13
15-16
31-24
19-23
26-15
19-13
25-19
24-22
24-29
14-13
22-32
31-10
26-16
21-22
22-23
21-12
22-27
32-26
26-17
22-15
28-20
27-28
23-11
27-14
21-15
25-19
26-18
21-17
16-18
29-26
31-15
30-14
33-11
28-17
171.8Avg total
97.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.486.1184.6+12.386%
Season at home (4)97.879.8177.5+18.0100%
Season away (3)99.394.7194.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)97.874.0171.8+23.8100%
Last 5 (5)102.072.6174.6+29.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.598.8180.3-17.418%
vs Similar (6)91.789.2180.8+2.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)99.278.5177.7+20.692%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
UlmTrier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#22
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#5
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#19
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
43.8Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.785.6+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.941.785.6+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.689.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.286.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.851.693.4-9.820%-
vs Similar (16)41.839.681.4+2.256%-
vs Weaker (9)48.640.088.6+8.689%-
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#19
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
61-29
61
29
+32
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.0Avg total
49.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.589.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.588.4+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)45.945.491.3+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)49.734.384.0+15.4100%-
Last 5 (5)49.831.281.0+18.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.649.791.4-8.127%-
vs Similar (6)44.843.588.3+1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)51.138.289.2+12.992%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.4%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.1
61.2%
55.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
33.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.4%14.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLLWWLLWLL
Trier
WWWWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-2.8
Net rating
+17.6
93.5
Offensive rating
106.0
96.3
Defensive rating
88.4
54.6%
Effective FG%
58.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.3%
3-point %
37.4%
59.4%
Assist %
66.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 106.0Defence96.3 · 88.4Shooting54.6% · 58.9%3-point %34.3% · 37.4%Ball care17.0% · 15.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 100%
■ Ulm   ■ Trier
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ulm wins
2
Trier wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Ulm v Trier97-67
04/01/26Trier v Ulm100-89
24/04/15Trier v Ulm78-83
29/11/14Ulm v Trier93-77
01/05/14Trier v Ulm72-84
26/10/13Ulm v Trier79-84
06/02/13Ulm v Trier99-70
03/02/13Trier v Ulm82-86
26/12/12Ulm v Trier73-58
21/04/12Ulm v Trier78-77
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
07/10/26AManresa89-101
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABatumi122-57
07/11/26HBamberg92-79
04/11/26HTrepca96-59
28/10/26AOpava103-80
24/10/26AVechta97-88
21/10/26HSplit100-80
14/10/26APromitheas87-83
10/10/26HAlba Berlin95-75
07/10/26HBatumi92-59
04/10/26ALudwigsburg94-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game82.578.085.2
Allowed / game86.477.391.8
Point differential-3.9+0.7-6.6
Avg total168.9155.3177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Trier
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game98.497.899.3
Allowed / game86.179.894.7
Point differential+12.3+18.0+4.7
Avg total184.6177.5194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
5 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
6 Bonn85362%88.082.5+5.5
7 Wurzburg74357%81.482.1-0.7
8 Bamberg84450%86.985.8+1.1
9 Ludwigsburg84450%85.286.0-0.8
10 Alba Berlin84450%86.287.8-1.5
11 Oldenburg84450%74.482.0-7.6
12 Ulm83538%82.586.4-3.9
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
16 Phoenix Hagen82625%84.091.9-7.9
17 Hamburg82625%82.491.6-9.2
18 Jena82625%77.988.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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