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Ulm vs Tubingen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-97
23-31 25-25 21-26 7-15
Position#5
Record13-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#18
Record4-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game97.9
GermanyBBLRound 18· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Tubingen
27 Jan 2024
ULM76
TUB97
17 Mar 2018
ULM95
TUB82
01 May 2017
ULM87
TUB72
27 Dec 2015
ULM75
TUB59
21 Mar 2015
ULM103
TUB96
29 Nov 2013
ULM92
TUB55
27 Apr 2013
ULM95
TUB84
07 Apr 2012
ULM93
TUB87
26 Feb 2011
ULM81
TUB84
01 May 2010
ULM80
TUB79
04 Apr 2009
ULM95
TUB98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tubingen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 82
H22/12
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
L
79-85
79
85
-6
70avg 82
H26/12
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-75
107
75
+32
107avg 82
A29/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
90-73
90
73
+17
89avg 82
H02/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 82
A06/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
88-100
88
100
-12
90avg 82
A10/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
H13/01
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 82
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 82
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
75avg 82
A23/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
29-24
24-16
20-24
19-19
22-21
15-21
23-24
33-19
27-20
13-21
34-15
15-11
23-21
28-21
24-20
26-23
24-24
16-24
34-19
19-21
18-31
25-18
26-30
23-22
19-24
23-27
27-19
24-17
27-19
15-19
15-30
21-18
22-18
19-27
22-13
17-16
21-14
21-18
13-24
177.2Avg total
91.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)93.488.0181.4+5.476%
Season at home (9)93.191.2184.3+1.967%
Season away (8)93.884.4178.1+9.488%
Last 10 (10)91.385.9177.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)87.889.4177.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.590.2178.8-1.850%
vs Similar (13)86.184.5170.6+1.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)95.387.7183.0+7.677%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
A18/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 74
H26/11
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
81avg 74
A02/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
71avg 74
A15/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
88avg 74
H22/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
58avg 74
H26/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
94-104
94
104
-10
86avg 74
A30/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
H08/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
78-114
78
114
-36
64avg 74
A14/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
95-116
95
116
-21
93avg 74
H21/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
20-24
16-17
22-21
32-23
26-22
12-20
23-19
26-16
19-12
25-29
14-30
20-20
28-21
25-29
13-24
27-20
24-21
21-22
27-29
13-28
19-18
22-28
20-22
31-24
17-26
26-24
20-30
19-19
22-19
24-24
22-25
12-20
24-34
18-28
24-32
24-30
26-27
21-31
24-28
187.7Avg total
89.6Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.897.9184.7-11.124%
Season at home (9)86.699.0185.6-12.422%
Season away (8)87.196.6183.8-9.525%
Last 10 (10)89.698.1187.7-8.530%
Last 5 (5)88.4107.4195.8-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)87.298.9186.1-11.727%
vs Similar (4)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (10)88.673.5162.1+15.180%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -5.1-5.1
UlmTubingen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H22/12
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/12
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A29/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A06/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A10/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/01
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/01
Eurocup
86.1Avg total
45.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.086.5+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.443.689.0+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)43.940.584.4+3.475%-
Last 10 (10)45.440.786.1+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.082.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.246.086.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (13)41.839.281.0+2.762%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.643.592.2+5.185%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H26/11
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A02/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A15/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H22/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H26/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A30/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A14/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H21/01
BBL
88.7Avg total
44.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.084.8+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.142.487.5+2.859%-
Last 30 away (13)39.741.681.3-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.988.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.449.090.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)43.345.889.1-2.533%-
vs Similar (4)42.840.283.0+2.550%-
vs Weaker (10)43.037.580.5+5.580%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.5
61.7%
54.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.2
75.2%
76.0%15.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.1
53.5%
54.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.9
35.6%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.216.5
81.7%
76.0%16.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLLLWWWLW
Tubingen
LLLLLWLLWW
#5
League position
#18
+6.5
Net rating
-17.0
116.2
Offensive rating
107.1
109.7
Defensive rating
124.1
56.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
60.7%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.3%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.3%
3-point %
35.6%
70.4%
Assist %
63.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 107.1Defence109.7 · 124.1Shooting56.9% · 53.5%3-point %33.3% · 35.6%Ball care19.0% · 19.3%Off. rebounds34.4% · 27.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Ulm   ■ Tubingen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Ulm wins
0
Tubingen wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Tubingen v Ulm84-99
17/03/18Ulm v Tubingen95-82
04/11/17Tubingen v Ulm74-81
01/05/17Ulm v Tubingen87-72
04/12/16Tubingen v Ulm79-89
13/02/16Tubingen v Ulm64-82
27/12/15Ulm v Tubingen75-59
21/03/15Ulm v Tubingen103-96
09/11/14Tubingen v Ulm83-92
01/03/14Tubingen v Ulm77-81
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24ABuducnost84-80 OT
19/01/24ABamberg84-76
17/01/24HCluj-Napoca81-85
13/01/24HVechta102-106 OT
10/01/24ASlask Wroclaw88-100
06/01/24AGottingen100-90
02/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig90-73
29/12/23ASyntainics MBC107-75
26/12/23HTurk Telekom79-85
22/12/23HHeidelberg98-89
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HGottingen95-116
14/01/24ASyntainics MBC78-114
08/01/24HWurzburg101-107 OT
30/12/23ALudwigsburg94-104
26/12/23HBayern74-96
22/12/23HBamberg99-92
15/12/23AHamburg86-94
02/12/23ACrailsheim Merlins84-87
26/11/23HOldenburg93-84
18/11/23ABasketball Braunschweig92-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%67%88%
Points / game93.493.193.8
Allowed / game88.091.284.4
Point differential+5.4+1.9+9.4
Avg total181.4184.3178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWWLLL22%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%22%25%
Points / game86.886.687.1
Allowed / game97.999.096.6
Point differential-11.1-12.4-9.5
Avg total184.7185.6183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %18%11%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1714382%86.475.3+11.1
2 Bayern1512380%88.076.2+11.8
3 Ulm1713476%93.488.0+5.4
4 Alba Berlin1410471%92.685.3+7.3
5 Wurzburg1611569%84.478.6+5.8
6 Ludwigsburg1711665%88.679.4+9.2
7 Vechta1711665%90.181.0+9.1
8 Hamburg1610662%88.489.1-0.7
9 Bonn1911858%90.585.5+5.0
10 Oldenburg178947%85.685.4+0.2
11 Basketball Braunschweig1871139%82.786.4-3.7
12 Rostock1661038%91.293.4-2.2
13 Bamberg1761135%86.990.4-3.5
14 Syntainics MBC1861233%85.488.9-3.6
15 Gottingen1541127%91.1100.7-9.7
16 Tubingen1741324%86.897.9-11.1
17 Heidelberg1731418%82.195.2-13.1
18 Crailsheim Merlins1731418%77.993.8-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm232521776
Tubingen3125261597
← all games of the day
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