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Ulm vs Heidelberg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 98-89
25-25 29-24 24-16 20-24
Position#5
Record8-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game89.7
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#16
Record2-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game92.5
GermanyBBLRound 12· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ulm v Heidelberg
24 Jan 2026
ULM77
HEI79
14 Dec 2024
ULM67
HEI69
22 Dec 2023
ULM98
HEI89
11 Feb 2023
ULM92
HEI84
12 Apr 2022
ULM90
HEI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heidelberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 81
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
W
99-88 OT
99
88
+11
108avg 81
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
47avg 81
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
81avg 81
H29/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
89-107
89
107
-18
87avg 81
H03/12
BBL
Trento
#16
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 81
A06/12
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
79avg 81
A09/12
German Cup
Gran Canaria
#6
W
103-99 OT
103
99
+4
99avg 81
H12/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 81
A17/12
BBL
Lietkabelis
#17
L
90-94
90
94
-4
86avg 81
A19/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-22
19-15
24-27
19-21
22-21
14-17
26-22
25-29
23-18
19-21
27-19
17-17
16-36
20-15
31-21
18-28
34-27
18-29
19-23
21-13
22-29
20-21
22-20
22-20
17-19
30-21
18-18
20-24
24-25
24-17
18-20
17-25
28-18
18-23
17-29
19-18
28-25
18-25
25-26
180.2Avg total
89.9Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.589.7181.3+1.873%
Season at home (6)91.392.2183.5-0.867%
Season away (5)91.886.8178.6+5.080%
Last 10 (10)89.990.3180.2-0.460%
Last 5 (5)89.089.8178.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)86.289.2175.4-3.056%
vs Similar (13)88.283.7171.9+4.585%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)96.490.1186.5+6.275%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#6
L
94-98
94
98
-4
88avg 77
A15/10
German Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
94-84
94
84
+10
93avg 77
A21/10
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
73-88
73
88
-15
58avg 77
H28/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
90-109
90
109
-19
79avg 77
H05/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
54-87
54
87
-33
45avg 77
H11/11
BBL
Akron
#59
L
56-114
56
114
-58
no box
A15/11
NCAA
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
93-86
93
86
+7
92avg 77
A20/11
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
69-92
69
92
-23
57avg 77
A26/11
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
72-75
72
75
-3
68avg 77
H02/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
54avg 77
A16/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
17-26
25-25
30-23
28-29
25-12
20-23
21-20
15-20
18-28
20-22
20-18
20-27
22-25
27-32
21-25
9-26
14-15
19-27
12-19
0-0
19-65
0-0
37-49
22-26
24-18
19-22
28-20
19-28
14-24
21-17
15-23
21-20
15-14
17-23
19-18
20-25
14-28
18-25
17-15
169.0Avg total
76.4Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.092.5173.5-11.518%
Season at home (6)75.590.2165.7-14.70%
Season away (5)87.695.4183.0-7.840%
Last 10 (10)76.492.6169.0-16.220%
Last 5 (5)71.892.0163.8-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.891.1171.8-10.315%
vs Similar (14)88.288.4176.6-0.250%
vs Weaker (1)102.096.0198.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
UlmHeidelberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H03/12
BBL
Trento
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A06/12
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A09/12
German Cup
Gran Canaria
#6
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/12
BBL
Lietkabelis
#17
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A19/12
Eurocup
89.1Avg total
43.7Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.987.1+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.243.689.8+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)42.242.384.5-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.489.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.444.184.6-3.744%-
vs Similar (13)43.140.984.0+2.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)50.244.995.1+5.488%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/10
German Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A21/10
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H28/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H05/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H11/11
BBL
Akron
#59
L
19-65
19
65
-46
A15/11
NCAA
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A20/11
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A26/11
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H02/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A16/12
BBL
83.8Avg total
35.8Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.446.387.7-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.344.183.4-4.823%-
Last 30 away (17)43.048.091.0-5.041%-
Last 10 (10)35.848.083.8-12.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.649.683.2-16.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.144.683.7-5.538%-
vs Similar (14)44.046.690.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.724.0
62.0%
54.6%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.8
74.4%
76.0%14.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.9
52.3%
54.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.59.1
28.0%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.015.0
78.9%
76.0%15.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLWWWLLWWW
Heidelberg
LLLWLLLLWL
#5
League position
#16
-0.5
Net rating
-15.0
113.0
Offensive rating
103.9
113.5
Defensive rating
118.9
57.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.4%
3-point %
28.0%
64.8%
Assist %
67.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 103.9Defence113.5 · 118.9Shooting57.9% · 47.3%3-point %34.4% · 28.0%Ball care19.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.3% · 35.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Ulm   ■ Heidelberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ulm wins
0
Heidelberg wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Ulm v Heidelberg92-84
20/11/22Heidelberg v Ulm96-106 OT
12/04/22Ulm v Heidelberg90-74
27/12/21Heidelberg v Ulm79-84
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23ALietkabelis90-94
17/12/23ABayern80-95
12/12/23HGran Canaria103-99 OT
09/12/23AChemnitz87-78
06/12/23ATrento85-83
03/12/23HRostock89-107
29/11/23HJL Bourg84-89
25/11/23HCrailsheim Merlins94-87
22/11/23AAris99-88 OT
19/11/23AWurzburg88-83
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AChemnitz69-93
02/12/23HLudwigsburg72-75
26/11/23ABonn69-92
20/11/23ACrailsheim Merlins93-86
15/11/23AAkron56-114
11/11/23HWurzburg54-87
05/11/23HBamberg90-109
28/10/23HHamburg73-88
21/10/23ATubingen94-84
15/10/23ASyntainics MBC94-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game91.591.391.8
Allowed / game89.792.286.8
Point differential+1.8-0.8+5.0
Avg total181.3183.5178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Heidelberg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%0%40%
Points / game81.075.587.6
Allowed / game92.590.295.4
Point differential-11.5-14.7-7.8
Avg total173.5165.7183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1211192%86.873.6+13.2
2 Ulm118373%91.589.7+1.8
3 Alba Berlin107370%93.383.8+9.5
4 Bayern107370%87.378.5+8.8
5 Ludwigsburg117464%88.079.5+8.5
6 Hamburg117464%87.288.7-1.5
7 Wurzburg106460%80.673.6+7.0
8 Vechta127558%87.880.6+7.2
9 Bonn127558%88.383.7+4.7
10 Oldenburg115645%84.483.7+0.6
11 Rostock115645%93.193.2-0.1
12 Bamberg115645%90.192.2-2.1
13 Syntainics MBC114736%84.086.4-2.4
14 Basketball Braunschweig124833%82.288.8-6.6
15 Tubingen113827%85.094.1-9.1
16 Gottingen102820%88.099.1-11.1
17 Heidelberg112918%81.092.5-11.5
18 Crailsheim Merlins112918%78.495.5-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2529242098
Heidelberg2524162489
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