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Tubingen vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-99
26-27 22-25 22-19 14-28
Position#18
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Tubingen
Germany
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game85.0
GermanyBBLRound 2· Paul Horn Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tubingen v Ulm
01 Oct 2023
TUB84
ULM99
04 Nov 2017
TUB74
ULM81
04 Dec 2016
TUB79
ULM89
13 Feb 2016
TUB64
ULM82
09 Nov 2014
TUB83
ULM92
01 Mar 2014
TUB77
ULM81
30 Dec 2012
TUB67
ULM82
30 Oct 2011
TUB77
ULM92
30 Oct 2010
TUB83
ULM100
30 Dec 2009
TUB94
ULM78
29 Nov 2008
TUB77
ULM84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#5
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A07/05
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
103-80
103
80
+23
no box
H10/05
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
A12/05
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H14/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
95-51
95
51
+44
no box
H18/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A20/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H23/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
78-78
78
78
+0
no box
H02/06
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A04/06
Pro A
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 54
H23/09
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
17-32
27-21
19-27
30-23
30-19
24-11
19-27
15-26
20-26
27-23
31-25
19-17
24-20
22-9
16-12
29-15
22-12
18-12
26-12
15-16
26-23
17-14
25-17
25-20
16-15
24-24
21-21
26-26
28-17
10-16
14-19
19-15
12-22
12-14
23-22
17-22
15-16
13-19
19-21
160.3Avg total
83.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.676.7160.3+6.950%
Last 5 (5)75.475.8151.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)74.373.0147.3+1.333%
vs Weaker (26)88.276.4164.7+11.877%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
93-81
93
81
+12
91avg 79
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
73avg 79
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
81avg 79
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
83avg 79
A30/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
no box
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 79
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 79
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
112-84
112
84
+28
114avg 79
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 79
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 79
H27/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
33-19
22-23
18-12
26-22
24-29
18-16
15-14
18-20
24-21
23-17
22-11
27-20
17-19
27-17
22-32
29-22
17-21
28-19
18-30
20-20
22-15
13-17
24-21
16-26
13-19
15-30
31-29
26-18
27-12
27-25
32-29
21-23
22-18
8-18
23-11
31-24
20-18
13-16
26-27
172.7Avg total
89.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.083.7172.7+5.390%
Last 5 (5)86.083.2169.2+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.582.7166.3+0.855%
vs Similar (9)88.982.4171.3+6.489%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)96.787.4184.1+9.370%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
TubingenUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A07/05
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H10/05
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A12/05
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H14/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H18/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A20/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H23/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H02/06
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A04/06
Pro A
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H23/09
German Cup
83.0Avg total
42.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.282.4+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.636.080.6+8.676%-
Last 30 away (13)41.343.484.7-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.183.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.478.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)44.737.081.7+7.767%-
vs Weaker (26)43.439.582.9+3.958%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A30/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H02/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/06
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
BBL
86.6Avg total
45.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.786.1+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.341.989.2+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.582.6-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.386.6+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.682.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.341.383.5+1.055%-
vs Similar (9)44.040.884.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.243.090.2+4.270%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws3.0 pts a game · 5% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.020.0
60.6%
54.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.0
25.0%
35.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws7.03.0
42.9%
76.0%3.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.315.9
54.3%
54.6%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.1
35.8%
35.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws22.917.4
76.0%
76.0%17.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tubingen
LLLWWWWLWL
Ulm
WWWLWWWWWW
#18
League position
#5
-16.9
Net rating
+4.9
90.1
Offensive rating
114.2
107.0
Defensive rating
109.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.11
Free-throw rate
0.36
25.0%
3-point %
35.8%
55.6%
Assist %
75.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 114.2Defence107.0 · 109.2Shooting50.0% · 54.0%3-point %25.0% · 35.8%Ball care17.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds22.9% · 29.0%Free throws0.11 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Tubingen   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tubingen wins
10
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
17/03/18Ulm v Tubingen95-82
04/11/17Tubingen v Ulm74-81
01/05/17Ulm v Tubingen87-72
04/12/16Tubingen v Ulm79-89
13/02/16Tubingen v Ulm64-82
27/12/15Ulm v Tubingen75-59
21/03/15Ulm v Tubingen103-96
09/11/14Tubingen v Ulm83-92
01/03/14Tubingen v Ulm77-81
29/11/13Ulm v Tubingen92-55
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23HBasketball Braunschweig64-78
04/06/23AVechta66-73
02/06/23HVechta78-78
23/05/23HPS Karlsruhe86-80
20/05/23APS Karlsruhe83-70
18/05/23HPS Karlsruhe95-51
14/05/23HBremerhaven81-58
12/05/23ABremerhaven93-100
10/05/23HBremerhaven103-80
07/05/23ABremerhaven87-99
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23HChemnitz90-85
16/06/23HBonn74-70
14/06/23HBonn112-84
11/06/23ABonn75-104
09/06/23ABonn79-73
02/06/23HBayern104-102 OT
30/05/23ABayern93-88
28/05/23ABayern87-69
24/05/23HAlba Berlin83-81
19/05/23AAlba Berlin93-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total175.0175.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wurzburg110100%88.058.0+30.0
2 Vechta220100%92.579.0+13.5
3 Alba Berlin110100%90.081.0+9.0
4 Bayern110100%96.087.0+9.0
5 Basketball Braunschweig220100%88.081.5+6.5
6 Ulm110100%90.085.0+5.0
7 Crailsheim Merlins110100%85.081.0+4.0
8 Hamburg21150%72.583.5-11.0
9 Rostock1010%81.085.0-4.0
10 Bonn1010%79.084.0-5.0
11 Chemnitz1010%85.090.0-5.0
12 Oldenburg1010%86.091.0-5.0
13 Ludwigsburg1010%79.087.0-8.0
14 Syntainics MBC2020%82.090.5-8.5
15 Heidelberg1010%81.090.0-9.0
16 Bamberg1010%79.0101.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tubingen2622221484
Ulm2725192899
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