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Ulm vs Unicaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 76-81
22-20 19-21 16-21 19-19
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Unicaja 🏆
Position#10
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#14
W
96-69
96
69
+27
no box
H19/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
71-71
71
71
+0
no box
A21/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H23/06
BBL
Mornar Bar
#17
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 74
H30/09
Eurocup
Brescia
#20
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
A07/10
Eurocup
Levallois
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
H14/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#7
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
H17/10
German Cup
Buducnost
#12
L
68-73
68
73
-5
65avg 74
A21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
92-72
92
72
+20
no box
H24/10
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H25/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-28
26-15
23-6
14-21
20-15
22-16
15-19
24-16
22-26
23-29
16-23
15-26
17-20
30-11
22-19
28-19
11-21
28-22
9-14
18-22
25-18
20-22
17-24
17-15
12-20
20-20
16-19
11-23
22-14
15-19
20-17
24-18
18-15
26-26
24-13
22-15
14-13
15-24
29-23
158.2Avg total
80.5Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.080.5159.5-1.525%
Season at home (2)82.081.0163.0+1.050%
Season away (2)76.080.0156.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)80.577.7158.2+2.840%
Last 5 (5)77.076.0153.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.093.3183.3-3.333%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.280.2157.5-3.025%
vs Weaker (19)90.577.5168.0+12.979%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
59avg 72
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 72
A27/09
ACB
Levallois
#8
W
96-88
96
88
+8
91avg 72
H29/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#11
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 72
H03/10
ACB
Mornar Bar
#17
L
80-90
80
90
-10
65avg 72
A06/10
Eurocup
Valencia
#4
W
71-66
71
66
+5
58avg 72
A11/10
ACB
Buducnost
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
81avg 72
H14/10
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
77avg 72
A18/10
ACB
Brescia
#20
W
86-69
86
69
+17
76avg 72
H21/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 72
H25/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
17-16
11-22
21-25
17-25
21-11
16-28
27-14
30-18
24-22
22-24
20-24
15-25
19-23
24-25
28-17
22-28
17-30
17-13
24-19
18-20
10-13
21-18
22-15
15-22
24-25
23-17
29-23
16-21
25-11
23-28
20-20
24-12
17-23
16-19
29-15
19-19
25-21
15-24
20-22
163.7Avg total
82.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.283.5171.8+4.875%
Season at home (3)91.081.3172.3+9.7100%
Season away (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)82.481.3163.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)82.277.6159.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.687.6164.2-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.083.8166.8-0.857%
vs Weaker (10)80.973.9154.8+7.060%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.6+4.6
UlmUnicaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H23/06
BBL
Mornar Bar
#17
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H30/09
Eurocup
Brescia
#20
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/10
Eurocup
Levallois
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H17/10
German Cup
Buducnost
#12
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/10
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H25/10
German Cup
76.6Avg total
38.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.783.9+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.841.385.1+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)42.539.882.3+2.646%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.576.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.671.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.346.790.0-3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.040.278.2-2.238%-
vs Weaker (19)45.439.985.3+5.558%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/09
ACB
Levallois
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H29/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#11
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H03/10
ACB
Mornar Bar
#17
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A06/10
Eurocup
Valencia
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A11/10
ACB
Buducnost
#12
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H14/10
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A18/10
ACB
Brescia
#20
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H25/10
ACB
79.7Avg total
39.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.379.0-1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.178.6+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.479.3-3.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.179.7-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.239.876.0-3.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.141.680.6-2.557%-
vs Weaker (10)39.237.977.1+1.360%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.1
47.6%
51.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.38.8
41.3%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.817.8
81.7%
75.4%17.8
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.9
52.2%
51.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.2
36.8%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.811.2
75.7%
75.4%11.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLLLLWLLW
Unicaja
LWWWWLLWWL
#13
League position
#10
+4.8
Net rating
-6.9
110.3
Offensive rating
110.4
105.5
Defensive rating
117.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
63.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.22
41.3%
3-point %
36.8%
67.3%
Assist %
56.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 110.4Defence105.5 · 117.3Shooting52.8% · 53.5%3-point %41.3% · 36.8%Ball care17.0% · 15.2%Off. rebounds25.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Unicaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
0
Unicaja wins
No previous meetings.
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg80-75
24/10/20HLudwigsburg92-72
21/10/20ABuducnost68-73
17/10/20HBamberg65-74
14/10/20HLevallois80-86
07/10/20ABrescia84-87 OT
30/09/20HMornar Bar84-76
23/06/20HLudwigsburg85-94
21/06/20ALudwigsburg71-71
19/06/20HFrankfurt96-69
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/20HTenerife79-86
21/10/20HBrescia86-69
18/10/20AGran Canaria84-80
14/10/20HBuducnost91-87
11/10/20AValencia71-66
06/10/20AMornar Bar80-90
03/10/20HManresa86-90
29/09/20HLevallois96-88
27/09/20AMoraBanc Andorra81-78
24/09/20HBarcelona70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game79.082.076.0
Allowed / game80.581.080.0
Point differential-1.5+1.0-4.0
Avg total159.5163.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Unicaja
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game88.291.080.0
Allowed / game83.581.390.0
Point differential+4.8+9.7-10.0
Avg total171.8172.3170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%86.473.4+13.0
2 Trento440100%75.863.2+12.5
3 Joventut Badalona550100%89.080.0+9.0
4 Lokomotiv Kuban54180%87.473.2+14.2
5 Gran Canaria43175%85.579.2+6.2
6 Unicaja43175%88.283.5+4.8
7 Monaco53260%83.475.8+7.6
8 Buducnost53260%84.881.6+3.2
9 Mornar Bar53260%82.280.0+2.2
10 JL Bourg21150%88.083.0+5.0
11 Unics Kazan42250%87.884.0+3.8
12 Levallois42250%83.882.5+1.2
13 Partizan42250%82.281.8+0.5
14 Promitheas42250%76.880.0-3.2
15 MoraBanc Andorra52340%70.073.2-3.2
16 Cedevita Olimpija31233%70.369.7+0.7
17 Venezia31233%78.788.3-9.7
18 Ulm41325%79.080.5-1.5
19 Nanterre41325%74.882.2-7.5
20 Brescia41325%78.289.5-11.2
21 Lietkabelis51420%68.082.4-14.4
22 Bahcesehir Kol.4040%79.590.2-10.8
23 Bursaspor3030%82.093.3-11.3
24 Antwerp Giants5050%69.086.2-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2219161976
Unicaja2021211981
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