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Ulm vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 84-76
15-26 17-20 30-11 22-19
Position#13
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ulm 🏆
vs
Mornar Bar
Position#17
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A29/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H08/03
BBL
Bayern
#2
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A06/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
85-66
85
66
+19
A08/06
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H10/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H14/06
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
101-61
101
61
+40
A17/06
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H19/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
71-71
71
71
+0
A21/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H23/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
17-20
23-11
26-20
23-21
18-32
21-15
14-26
18-20
23-20
21-18
33-27
19-17
23-18
20-15
23-16
28-30
24-22
24-13
16-15
17-14
22-19
27-19
23-14
36-15
21-15
31-16
13-15
23-20
24-28
26-15
23-6
14-21
20-15
22-16
15-19
24-16
22-26
23-29
16-23
163.0Avg total
87.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.575.5163.0+12.070%
Last 5 (5)88.472.2160.6+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.499.2186.6-11.820%
vs Similar (6)81.089.5170.5-8.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.377.3167.6+12.974%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#1
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H01/05
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A03/05
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#8
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A05/05
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H07/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A09/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
A11/05
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H13/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H15/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A17/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H19/05
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
18-23
23-29
25-24
30-17
17-23
10-24
14-12
31-16
13-21
23-13
19-21
20-16
23-24
26-13
21-21
26-26
16-22
16-22
26-20
25-23
24-23
13-26
25-15
26-14
24-21
22-20
18-22
19-22
18-15
32-15
19-22
26-20
15-10
11-21
21-24
24-23
18-28
26-11
15-13
166.1Avg total
85.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.880.3166.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)86.479.2165.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.292.4172.6-12.210%
vs Similar (11)82.580.1162.5+2.464%
vs Weaker (9)88.678.2166.8+10.378%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
UlmMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A29/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/03
BBL
Bayern
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A06/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/06
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H10/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/06
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A17/06
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H23/06
BBL
84.2Avg total
43.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.088.3+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.688.5+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.388.1+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.784.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.882.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.650.095.6-4.460%-
vs Similar (6)42.247.089.2-4.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.339.886.1+6.468%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/05
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A03/05
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/05
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A09/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A11/05
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#2
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H13/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H15/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A17/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H19/05
Prva A Liga
84.9Avg total
44.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.383.1+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.441.886.1+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.779.6-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.784.9+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.883.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.345.284.5-5.940%-
vs Similar (11)42.538.080.5+4.564%-
vs Weaker (9)43.840.984.7+2.956%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.1
48.1%
51.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.6
36.0%
36.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.819.8
79.8%
75.4%19.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
51.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.5
29.4%
36.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.2%
75.4%15.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLWWWWWWLW
Mornar Bar
WLWWWLWWLL
#13
League position
#17
+4.1
Net rating
-8.0
108.0
Offensive rating
99.2
103.9
Defensive rating
107.2
50.2%
Effective FG%
48.1%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.0%
3-point %
29.4%
62.9%
Assist %
55.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 99.2Defence103.9 · 107.2Shooting50.2% · 48.1%3-point %36.0% · 29.4%Ball care16.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds25.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
No previous meetings.
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/20HLudwigsburg85-94
21/06/20ALudwigsburg71-71
19/06/20HFrankfurt96-69
17/06/20AFrankfurt101-61
14/06/20HGottingen89-66
10/06/20HCrailsheim Merlins92-80
08/06/20AOldenburg85-66
06/06/20ABayern95-85
08/03/20HLudwigsburg76-94
29/02/20ABayreuth85-69
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19HSutjeska83-75
17/05/19ASutjeska73-75
15/05/19HSutjeska88-74
13/05/19HLovcen Cetinje90-77
11/05/19ABuducnost98-95 OT
09/05/19ASutjeska84-90
07/05/19HUlcinj90-74
05/05/19AJedinstvo86-71
03/05/19ALovcen Cetinje71-76
01/05/19HBuducnost95-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mornar Bar
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg110100%99.082.0+17.0
2 Lokomotiv Kuban110100%89.072.0+17.0
3 Virtus Bologna110100%76.061.0+15.0
4 Buducnost110100%93.081.0+12.0
5 Gran Canaria110100%86.075.0+11.0
6 Unicaja110100%96.088.0+8.0
7 Trento110100%93.086.0+7.0
8 Bursaspor1010%86.093.0-7.0
9 Levallois1010%88.096.0-8.0
10 Promitheas1010%75.086.0-11.0
11 Brescia1010%81.093.0-12.0
12 Lietkabelis1010%61.076.0-15.0
13 Antwerp Giants1010%72.089.0-17.0
14 Bahcesehir Kol.1010%82.099.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1517302284
Mornar Bar2620111976
← all games of the day
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