PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brescia vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-84 (OT)
19-28 21-11 22-28 14-9 11-8
Position#20
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game93.0
Brescia 🏆
vs
Ulm
Position#13
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2
European cup2020
Meetings · Brescia v Ulm
25 Jan 2023
BRE72
ULM85
07 Oct 2020
BRE87
ULM84
19 Dec 2018
BRE80
ULM97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
68avg 78
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
100-102
100
102
-2
no box
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
no box
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 78
A29/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
H04/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
18-20
14-25
28-12
15-14
17-32
20-11
24-18
22-31
25-20
19-22
23-15
12-24
23-20
18-22
14-15
23-24
16-26
20-15
20-26
19-17
21-25
26-22
22-14
29-33
24-17
30-32
17-20
23-17
20-16
16-26
22-22
23-19
20-23
22-23
16-28
24-23
24-24
12-12
20-22
168.2Avg total
82.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)82.585.7168.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)87.689.6177.2-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.886.5163.2-9.80%
vs Similar (7)78.680.4159.0-1.929%
vs Weaker (19)84.275.2159.3+9.079%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
no box
H08/03
BBL
Bayern
#2
W
95-85
95
85
+10
no box
A06/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
A08/06
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
H10/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
89-66
89
66
+23
no box
H14/06
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
101-61
101
61
+40
no box
A17/06
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
96-69
96
69
+27
no box
H19/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
71-71
71
71
+0
no box
A21/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H23/06
BBL
Mornar Bar
#17
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 82
H30/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
18-32
21-15
14-26
18-20
23-20
21-18
33-27
19-17
23-18
20-15
23-16
28-30
24-22
24-13
16-15
17-14
22-19
27-19
23-14
36-15
21-15
31-16
13-15
23-20
24-28
26-15
23-6
14-21
20-15
22-16
15-19
24-16
22-26
23-29
16-23
15-26
17-20
30-11
22-19
163.6Avg total
87.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.476.2163.6+11.270%
Last 5 (5)87.474.2161.6+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.499.2186.6-11.820%
vs Similar (5)77.688.6166.2-11.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.077.2167.2+12.775%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
BresciaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H04/10
Lega A
85.6Avg total
41.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.581.2+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.041.282.2-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.980.1+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.285.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.888.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.245.887.0-4.550%-
vs Similar (7)38.038.076.0+0.057%-
vs Weaker (19)41.540.481.8+1.153%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/03
BBL
Bayern
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A06/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/06
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H10/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/06
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A17/06
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H23/06
BBL
Mornar Bar
#17
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H30/09
Eurocup
84.6Avg total
43.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.987.7+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.842.487.2+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.388.1+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.584.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.483.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.650.095.6-4.460%-
vs Similar (5)41.046.687.6-5.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.540.185.7+5.465%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.9
47.7%
51.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.7
39.9%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.413.7
78.7%
75.4%13.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.3
48.9%
51.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.4
39.3%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.118.7
81.0%
75.4%18.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLLLWLLWWW
Ulm
WLLWWWWWWL
#20
League position
#13
+3.8
Net rating
+6.9
114.5
Offensive rating
111.0
110.7
Defensive rating
104.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
39.9%
3-point %
39.3%
63.8%
Assist %
63.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 111.0Defence110.7 · 104.1Shooting52.5% · 52.4%3-point %39.9% · 39.3%Ball care16.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds32.6% · 25.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
2
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
19/12/18Brescia v Ulm80-97
30/10/18Ulm v Brescia83-82
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/20HVirtus Bologna80-81
29/09/20ABuducnost81-93
27/09/20AVarese89-94 OT
13/09/20AVarese100-102
10/09/20HCantu88-78
07/09/20HOlimpia Milano79-91
04/09/20AOlimpia Milano67-81
01/09/20HVarese89-88
29/08/20ACantu76-75
09/02/20HTrieste76-74
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/20HMornar Bar84-76
23/06/20HLudwigsburg85-94
21/06/20ALudwigsburg71-71
19/06/20HFrankfurt96-69
17/06/20AFrankfurt101-61
14/06/20HGottingen89-66
10/06/20HCrailsheim Merlins92-80
08/06/20AOldenburg85-66
06/06/20ABayern95-85
08/03/20HLudwigsburg76-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-12.0--12.0
Avg total174.0-174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total160.0160.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg110100%99.082.0+17.0
2 Lokomotiv Kuban110100%89.072.0+17.0
3 Trento220100%85.568.5+17.0
4 Monaco220100%82.066.5+15.5
5 Virtus Bologna110100%76.061.0+15.0
6 Gran Canaria110100%86.075.0+11.0
7 Buducnost220100%91.082.0+9.0
8 Ulm110100%84.076.0+8.0
9 Nanterre110100%80.076.0+4.0
10 Joventut Badalona110100%85.082.0+3.0
11 Partizan21150%88.579.0+9.5
12 MoraBanc Andorra21150%73.571.0+2.5
13 Mornar Bar21150%83.082.0+1.0
14 Unicaja21150%88.089.0-1.0
15 Unics Kazan21150%83.586.5-3.0
16 Venezia21150%79.086.5-7.5
17 Cedevita Olimpija1010%76.080.0-4.0
18 Bursaspor1010%86.093.0-7.0
19 Levallois2020%85.592.5-7.0
20 Bahcesehir Kol.2020%85.094.0-9.0
21 Brescia1010%81.093.0-12.0
22 Antwerp Giants2020%66.080.0-14.0
23 Promitheas2020%63.082.0-19.0
24 Lietkabelis2020%59.079.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brescia192122141187
Ulm2811289884
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.