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UMass vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-73 (OT)
31-30 34-35 12-8
Position#220
Record6-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game78.5
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Position#230
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#122
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A13/11
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A18/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A19/11
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H21/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Harvard
#195
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#323
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A08/12
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-43
41-48
37-33
44-23
34-36
39-52
35-35
43-43
41-47
45-42
37-27
55-54
34-46
51-37
43-42
44-35
36-41
40-41
27-39
30-27
160.4Avg total
80.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.878.5158.3+1.455%
Season at home (6)84.774.3159.0+10.383%
Season away (5)74.083.4157.4-9.420%
Last 10 (10)80.180.3160.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)79.477.8157.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.277.6149.9-5.436%
vs Similar (9)80.676.7157.2+3.956%
vs Weaker (7)80.365.1145.4+15.186%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#270
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A14/11
NCAA
Medgar Evers
#643
W
110-55
110
55
+55
H17/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A21/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
H24/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Canisius
#299
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A04/12
NCAA
Niagara
#222
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A05/12
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H09/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#357
W
70-47
70
47
+23
A12/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
37-39
68-20
42-35
34-28
37-33
34-40
37-31
41-33
29-42
37-36
37-32
35-33
46-38
28-33
46-26
35-20
35-27
44-27
28-27
140.9Avg total
76.9Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.565.5142.0+11.173%
Season at home (4)84.266.8151.0+17.575%
Season away (7)72.164.7136.9+7.471%
Last 10 (10)76.964.0140.9+12.980%
Last 5 (5)74.259.8134.0+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)60.562.7123.2-2.345%
vs Similar (13)70.270.2140.5+0.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.557.3135.8+21.2100%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
UMassFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#122
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A13/11
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A18/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H21/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H27/11
NCAA
Harvard
#195
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#323
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/12
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/12
NCAA
74.3Avg total
35.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.470.9+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.834.472.2+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)33.036.569.5-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.974.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.074.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.738.671.4-5.929%-
vs Similar (9)35.035.970.9-0.944%-
vs Weaker (7)42.028.170.1+13.986%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#270
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A14/11
NCAA
Medgar Evers
#643
W
68-20
68
20
+48
H17/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#305
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H24/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Canisius
#299
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/12
NCAA
Niagara
#222
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A05/12
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H09/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#357
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A12/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A16/12
NCAA
68.6Avg total
38.3Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.163.7+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.631.764.4+0.936%-
Last 30 away (16)32.630.663.2+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)38.330.368.6+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.865.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.330.558.8-2.336%-
vs Similar (13)32.433.465.8-1.046%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.027.368.3+13.783%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
0
Fairfield wins
No previous meetings.
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21ANorth Texas57-66
08/12/21ANortheastern76-82
04/12/21HHarvard87-77
27/11/21HRutgers85-83
25/11/21HUMass Lowell92-81
21/11/21HBall State86-89
19/11/21ANC Greensboro93-90 OT
18/11/21AWeber State73-88
16/11/21HPenn State81-56
13/11/21AYale71-91
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21AFairleigh Dickinson72-54
12/12/21AWilliam & Mary70-47
09/12/21HHoly Cross74-59
05/12/21ANiagara81-71
04/12/21ACanisius74-68
28/11/21HLoyola Maryland70-75
24/11/21HStony Brook83-78 OT
21/11/21ASacred Heart71-61
17/11/21HMedgar Evers110-55
14/11/21ABoston College64-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%83%20%
Points / game79.884.774.0
Allowed / game78.574.383.4
Point differential+1.4+10.3-9.4
Avg total158.3159.0157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Fairfield
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game76.584.272.1
Allowed / game65.566.864.7
Point differential+11.1+17.5+7.4
Avg total142.0151.0136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio108280%72.366.2+6.1
2 Akron107370%73.059.3+13.7
3 Toledo107370%76.469.1+7.3
4 Buffalo106460%81.669.5+12.1
5 Kent State95456%69.959.4+10.4
6 Bowling Green95456%77.274.7+2.6
7 UMass116555%79.878.5+1.4
8 Miami (Ohio)105550%78.267.4+10.8
9 Eastern Michigan105550%73.777.8-4.1
10 Ball State104640%74.380.2-5.9
11 Western Michigan104640%67.878.6-10.8
12 Northern Illinois93633%56.367.7-11.3
13 Central Michigan101910%63.583.6-20.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iona119282%76.569.7+6.7
2 Fairfield118373%76.565.5+11.1
3 Manhattan96367%71.669.2+2.3
4 Quinnipiac106460%74.868.2+6.6
5 Marist105550%71.470.5+0.9
6 Niagara115645%68.663.9+4.7
7 Siena104640%64.471.8-7.4
8 Sacred Heart114736%73.072.9+0.1
9 St. Peters93633%66.266.3-0.1
10 Mount St. Mary's124833%66.772.8-6.2
11 Merrimack Warriors124833%56.263.3-7.2
12 Rider113827%64.872.8-8.0
13 Canisius123925%69.073.0-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UMass31341277
Fairfield3035873
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