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UMass vs Harvard Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-77
43-42 44-35
Position#220
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game79.8
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Position#195
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · UMass v Harvard
03 Dec 2025
UMAS78
HARV71
17 Nov 2023
UMAS75
HARV78
04 Dec 2021
UMAS87
HARV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Harvard winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#318
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H04/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A05/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Yale
#122
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A13/11
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A18/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A19/11
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H21/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
59-36
41-30
33-46
39-40
32-36
45-24
30-43
41-48
37-33
44-23
34-36
39-52
35-35
43-43
41-47
45-42
37-27
55-54
34-46
51-37
162.0Avg total
83.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.279.8162.0+2.562%
Season at home (5)84.273.8158.0+10.480%
Season away (3)79.089.7168.7-10.733%
Last 10 (10)83.079.0162.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)85.886.2172.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.277.0148.2-5.836%
vs Similar (9)78.473.0151.4+5.467%
vs Weaker (7)80.365.1145.4+15.186%
This opponent (Harvard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#175
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H07/03
NCAA
Yale
#14
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Morehouse
#400
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H10/11
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A13/11
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A18/11
NCAA
MIT
#587
W
98-52
98
52
+46
H20/11
NCAA
Siena
#185
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Colgate
#80
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#323
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
25-31
36-32
47-37
52-28
34-42
46-44
32-34
26-22
34-31
44-24
54-28
25-26
44-46
30-37
46-39
31-41
46-16
22-38
35-26
143.6Avg total
76.1Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.967.8145.6+10.162%
Season at home (5)81.465.4146.8+16.080%
Season away (3)72.071.7143.7+0.333%
Last 10 (10)76.167.5143.6+8.660%
Last 5 (5)78.065.8143.8+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.280.0164.2+4.275%
vs Similar (9)69.371.7141.0-2.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)72.263.8136.0+8.480%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +6.7+6.7
UMassHarvard
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#318
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H04/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A05/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H10/11
NCAA
Yale
#122
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A13/11
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A18/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H21/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H27/11
NCAA
75.7Avg total
37.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.268.8+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.233.870.0+2.553%-
Last 30 away (13)32.534.867.3-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.575.7-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.274.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.637.669.1-6.021%-
vs Similar (9)33.733.767.3+0.056%-
vs Weaker (7)42.028.170.1+13.986%-
This opponent (Harvard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#175
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Yale
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Morehouse
#400
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H10/11
NCAA
Iona
#25
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A18/11
NCAA
MIT
#587
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H20/11
NCAA
Siena
#185
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A23/11
NCAA
Colgate
#80
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H25/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#323
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H02/12
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.2Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.565.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.530.364.7+4.247%-
Last 30 away (15)34.132.766.8+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)34.232.566.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.263.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.236.275.5+3.075%-
vs Similar (9)31.033.964.9-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)33.129.562.6+3.547%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
1
Harvard wins
DateGameScore
07/12/19Harvard v UMass89-55
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/21HRutgers85-83
25/11/21HUMass Lowell92-81
21/11/21HBall State86-89
19/11/21ANC Greensboro93-90 OT
18/11/21AWeber State73-88
16/11/21HPenn State81-56
13/11/21AYale71-91
10/11/21HUMBC Retrievers77-60
05/03/21ASt. Louis Billikens72-86
04/03/21HSaint Josephs Hawks100-66
Harvardlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/21HRhode Island57-64
27/11/21HNortheastern77-57
25/11/21HColgate89-84 OT
23/11/21ASiena69-72
20/11/21HMIT98-52
18/11/21AAlbany60-53
13/11/21AIona87-90 OT
10/11/21HMorehouse86-70
08/03/20HYale83-69
07/03/20HBrown55-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game82.284.279.0
Allowed / game79.873.889.7
Point differential+2.5+10.4-10.7
Avg total162.0158.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Harvard
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game77.981.472.0
Allowed / game67.865.471.7
Point differential+10.1+16.0+0.3
Avg total145.6146.8143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %25%20%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo76186%80.067.6+12.4
2 Miami (Ohio)75271%81.462.7+18.7
3 Ohio75271%73.668.1+5.4
4 Kent State64267%75.357.8+17.5
5 Buffalo64267%85.072.8+12.2
6 UMass85362%82.279.8+2.5
7 Akron74357%73.159.6+13.6
8 Bowling Green84450%77.875.0+2.8
9 Ball State73443%77.780.4-2.7
10 Western Michigan73443%69.682.3-12.7
11 Eastern Michigan72529%72.382.1-9.9
12 Northern Illinois72529%56.667.3-10.7
13 Central Michigan71614%60.183.4-23.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cornell87188%87.473.4+14.0
2 Harvard85362%77.967.8+10.1
3 Princeton85362%78.969.2+9.6
4 Brown106460%72.764.0+8.7
5 Dartmouth53260%73.670.2+3.4
6 Yale95456%75.067.7+7.3
7 Penn103730%68.176.2-8.1
8 Columbia82625%68.577.6-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass434487
Harvard423577
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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