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UMass vs Harvard Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-71
36-21 42-50
Position#189
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game72.9
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Position#133
Record5-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMass v Harvard
03 Dec 2025
UMAS78
HARV71
17 Nov 2023
UMAS75
HARV78
04 Dec 2021
UMAS87
HARV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Harvard winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
51-74
51
74
-23
H08/03
NCAA
La Salle
#272
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H04/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H14/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
33-35
21-34
30-40
30-39
41-39
37-38
35-40
38-32
45-30
48-38
46-42
51-28
33-49
28-29
37-40
25-33
50-46
34-31
39-34
147.5Avg total
74.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.072.9150.9+5.157%
Season at home (5)81.675.2156.8+6.460%
Season away (2)69.067.0136.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)74.073.5147.5+0.540%
Last 5 (5)78.274.0152.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.577.7147.2-8.223%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.173.9151.0+3.353%
vs Weaker (2)79.558.5138.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Harvard) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#203
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H08/03
NCAA
MIT
#462
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H07/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H09/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H12/11
NCAA
Army
#318
W
75-52
75
52
+23
A15/11
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A16/11
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A19/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
26-27
34-18
45-32
32-48
54-27
27-34
33-43
36-31
39-21
23-24
33-30
38-35
42-49
35-32
39-43
30-38
30-35
26-25
30-28
134.3Avg total
69.2Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)69.665.9135.4+3.756%
Season at home (4)70.263.8134.0+6.575%
Season away (5)69.067.6136.6+1.440%
Last 10 (10)69.265.1134.3+4.160%
Last 5 (5)65.267.8133.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.071.6136.6-6.633%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.768.1138.9+2.657%
vs Weaker (9)70.670.7141.2-0.156%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +3.6+3.6
UMassHarvard
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H08/03
NCAA
La Salle
#272
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H12/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/11
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.134.868.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.534.870.3+0.742%-
Last 30 away (11)31.834.766.5-2.945%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.069.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.869.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.839.171.8-6.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.532.066.5+2.560%-
vs Weaker (2)40.527.568.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Harvard) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#203
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H08/03
NCAA
MIT
#462
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H07/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H09/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Army
#318
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A19/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H29/11
NCAA
63.7Avg total
32.1Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.066.1+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.731.765.4+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)32.534.166.6-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)32.131.663.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)30.430.861.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.733.867.5-0.258%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.331.164.4+2.143%-
vs Weaker (9)32.134.166.2-2.056%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UMass wins
2
Harvard wins
DateGameScore
27/11/24Harvard v UMass54-62
18/11/23UMass v Harvard75-78 OT
03/12/22Harvard v UMass68-71
04/12/21UMass v Harvard87-77
07/12/19Harvard v UMass89-55
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25AOregon State73-65
22/11/25HWisc. Green Bay75-79
21/11/25ACharleston65-69
16/11/25HCentral Connecticut State84-77
14/11/25HLe Moyne94-80
08/11/25HAlbany Great Danes83-62
04/11/25HMarshall72-78
12/03/25HLa Salle71-78
08/03/25HLoyola Chicago51-74
06/03/25ASt. Bonaventure72-73
Harvardlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HBryant University56-53
26/11/25ABoston College60-73
22/11/25ABoston University74-75
19/11/25APenn State80-84
16/11/25AMarist56-54
15/11/25AArmy75-52
12/11/25HNortheastern60-77
09/11/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats86-75
07/11/25HMIT79-50
08/03/25HDartmouth66-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game78.081.669.0
Allowed / game72.975.267.0
Point differential+5.1+6.4+2.0
Avg total150.9156.8136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Harvard
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game69.670.269.0
Allowed / game65.963.867.6
Point differential+3.7+6.5+1.4
Avg total135.4134.0136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)770100%95.767.6+28.1
2 Buffalo880100%78.869.5+9.2
3 Akron86275%96.175.0+21.1
4 Bowling Green86275%85.165.8+19.4
5 Kent State86275%96.483.0+13.4
6 Toledo85362%82.475.4+7.0
7 UMass74357%78.072.9+5.1
8 Eastern Michigan95456%71.172.4-1.3
9 Central Michigan83538%75.475.1+0.2
10 Ball State83538%66.870.2-3.5
11 Northern Illinois83538%75.879.2-3.5
12 Western Michigan83538%74.579.5-5.0
13 Ohio71614%71.184.4-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Yale98189%88.371.6+16.8
2 Columbia87188%81.065.1+15.9
3 Cornell85362%92.684.0+8.6
4 Penn85362%81.977.1+4.8
5 Harvard95456%69.665.9+3.7
6 Dartmouth52340%81.674.2+7.4
7 Brown93633%64.667.6-3.0
8 Princeton103730%70.975.4-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass364278
Harvard215071
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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