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Penn State vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 52-73
26-41 26-32
Position#226
Record8-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game74.2
Penn State
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#97
Record15-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game66.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Penn State v Purdue
20 Jan 2027
PENN v PURD
upcoming
05 Dec 2024
PENN81
PURD70
08 Jan 2023
PENN63
PURD76
08 Jan 2022
PENN67
PURD74
26 Feb 2021
PENN52
PURD73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#265
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A03/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H06/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
43-45
39-43
40-40
31-34
50-37
31-33
25-39
23-23
32-27
24-32
34-28
35-35
26-27
43-47
39-45
41-36
27-38
39-38
47-45
143.2Avg total
70.7Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.474.2147.7-0.840%
Season at home (10)76.675.0151.6+1.660%
Season away (10)70.273.5143.7-3.320%
Last 10 (10)70.772.5143.2-1.840%
Last 5 (5)71.074.2145.2-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.874.1145.9-2.333%
vs Similar (13)73.672.8146.5+0.854%
vs Weaker (2)73.070.5143.5+2.550%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#220
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A15/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A19/01
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H23/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
41-33
33-32
47-40
31-37
36-28
21-34
32-36
30-35
51-27
27-24
33-37
35-32
40-38
32-30
36-41
30-27
45-38
40-37
35-21
137.8Avg total
71.5Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.866.3137.1+4.665%
Season at home (11)74.764.7139.5+10.091%
Season away (12)67.267.7134.9-0.442%
Last 10 (10)71.566.3137.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)70.665.0135.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.867.5128.2-6.825%
vs Similar (15)68.869.3138.1-0.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)73.863.5137.4+10.382%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +5.7+5.7
Penn StatePurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#265
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.469.0+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.131.768.7+5.460%-
Last 30 away (15)34.235.169.3-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.435.469.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.674.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.335.771.9+0.640%-
vs Similar (13)34.531.265.7+3.454%-
vs Weaker (2)38.031.069.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#220
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A19/01
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H23/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A02/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
31.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.931.963.8-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.731.864.5+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)31.132.163.1-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.464.3-0.570%-
Last 5 (5)32.830.062.8+2.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.534.061.5-6.525%-
vs Similar (15)31.932.164.0-0.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)33.431.064.4+2.473%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
1
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
17/01/21Purdue v Penn State80-72
11/02/20Purdue v Penn State76-88
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/21ANebraska86-83
21/02/21AIowa68-74
19/02/21HOhio State82-92
14/02/21HNebraska61-62
10/02/21AMichigan State58-60
06/02/21HMaryland55-50
03/02/21AWisconsin56-72
30/01/21HWisconsin81-71
28/01/21AOhio State79-83
24/01/21HNorthwestern81-78
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21ANebraska75-58
17/02/21HMichigan State75-65
11/02/21AMinnesota68-71
06/02/21HNorthwestern75-70
02/02/21AMaryland60-61
31/01/21HMinnesota81-62
23/01/21HMichigan53-70
19/01/21AOhio State67-65
17/01/21HPenn State80-72
15/01/21AIndiana81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game73.476.670.2
Allowed / game74.275.073.5
Point differential-0.8+1.6-3.3
Avg total147.7151.6143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Purdue
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%91%42%
Points / game70.874.767.2
Allowed / game66.364.767.7
Point differential+4.6+10.0-0.4
Avg total137.1139.5134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1817194%79.265.7+13.5
2 USC2419579%75.164.8+10.3
3 UCLA2217577%73.567.4+6.1
4 Ohio State2418675%78.069.7+8.4
5 Oregon2015575%73.266.6+6.5
6 Illinois2317674%81.569.2+12.3
7 Iowa2417771%85.273.0+12.1
8 Wisconsin2416867%69.862.7+7.1
9 Purdue2315865%70.866.3+4.6
10 Rutgers2213959%71.067.8+3.2
11 Michigan State2213959%71.371.5-0.2
12 Maryland24141058%69.765.3+4.4
13 Minnesota24131154%73.773.3+0.4
14 Indiana23121152%72.169.9+2.2
15 Penn State2081240%73.474.2-0.8
16 Northwestern2171433%71.571.3+0.2
17 Nebraska2251723%69.673.9-4.3
18 Washington2451921%66.276.6-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State262652
Purdue413273
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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