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Penn State vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 82-92
43-47 39-45
Position#226
Record7-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#70
Record17-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Penn State v Ohio State
04 Mar 2026
PENN62
OHIO94
30 Jan 2025
PENN64
OHIO83
09 Dec 2023
PENN83
OHIO80
05 Dec 2021
PENN64
OHIO76
18 Feb 2021
PENN82
OHIO92
18 Jan 2020
PENN90
OHIO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#97
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A20/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H22/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A03/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H06/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
40-47
28-42
37-37
34-24
41-43
38-33
43-45
39-43
40-40
31-34
50-37
31-33
25-39
23-23
32-27
24-32
34-28
35-35
26-27
138.5Avg total
68.3Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.572.7145.2-0.241%
Season at home (9)76.073.1149.1+2.967%
Season away (8)68.572.2140.8-3.812%
Last 10 (10)68.370.2138.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)62.263.0125.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.372.7144.0-1.438%
vs Similar (14)71.969.7141.6+2.257%
vs Weaker (3)74.068.3142.3+5.767%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H19/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A23/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-30
37-38
42-33
39-38
43-28
44-53
37-31
28-36
32-25
42-37
43-39
40-40
42-30
37-32
42-45
47-40
35-30
38-35
38-28
40-31
148.7Avg total
78.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.568.0145.4+9.581%
Season at home (12)78.863.8142.6+14.992%
Season away (9)75.873.4149.2+2.367%
Last 10 (10)78.869.9148.7+8.990%
Last 5 (5)80.470.0150.4+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (14)71.166.1137.2+4.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.667.1145.7+11.486%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
Penn StateOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#97
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A20/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H22/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
31.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.367.3+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.130.466.5+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)33.934.368.1-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)31.533.264.7-1.720%-
Last 5 (5)28.831.460.2-2.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.434.870.2+0.638%-
vs Similar (14)33.930.264.1+3.750%-
vs Weaker (3)38.031.769.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A16/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H19/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A23/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H13/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
39.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.768.9+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.830.467.2+6.582%-
Last 30 away (13)35.535.771.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.631.971.5+7.790%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.474.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.536.579.0+6.050%-
vs Similar (14)34.032.966.9+1.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)37.631.969.6+5.764%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
2
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
28/01/21Ohio State v Penn State83-79
18/01/20Penn State v Ohio State90-76
07/12/19Ohio State v Penn State106-74
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21HNebraska61-62
10/02/21AMichigan State58-60
06/02/21HMaryland55-50
03/02/21AWisconsin56-72
30/01/21HWisconsin81-71
28/01/21AOhio State79-83
24/01/21HNorthwestern81-78
22/01/21HRutgers75-67
20/01/21AIllinois65-79
17/01/21APurdue72-80
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HIndiana78-59
09/02/21AMaryland73-65
05/02/21AIowa89-85
31/01/21HMichigan State79-62
28/01/21HPenn State83-79
23/01/21AWisconsin74-62
19/01/21HPurdue65-67
16/01/21AIllinois87-81
14/01/21HNorthwestern81-71
09/01/21ARutgers79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%67%12%
Points / game72.576.068.5
Allowed / game72.773.172.2
Point differential-0.2+2.9-3.8
Avg total145.2149.1140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Ohio State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %81%92%67%
Points / game77.578.875.8
Allowed / game68.063.873.4
Point differential+9.5+14.9+2.3
Avg total145.4142.6149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%67%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1514193%78.964.9+13.9
2 USC2118386%76.063.6+12.4
3 Ohio State2117481%77.568.0+9.5
4 Illinois2015575%81.268.8+12.3
5 Oregon1612475%75.467.0+8.4
6 UCLA1914574%73.067.5+5.5
7 Iowa2216673%87.073.0+14.0
8 Wisconsin2315865%69.963.2+6.7
9 Purdue2214864%70.666.6+4.0
10 Rutgers1912763%71.867.9+3.9
11 Minnesota2213959%74.872.6+2.2
12 Indiana2112957%72.669.3+3.3
13 Maryland23131057%69.765.6+4.2
14 Michigan State1910953%70.471.7-1.3
15 Penn State1771041%72.572.7-0.2
16 Northwestern1961332%72.872.1+0.7
17 Nebraska1951426%69.572.6-3.1
18 Washington2041620%66.576.6-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State433982
Ohio State474592
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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