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Penn State vs Nebraska Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 72-66
23-37 49-29
Position#226
Record10-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#316
Record7-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Penn State v Nebraska
08 Dec 2026
PENN v NEBR
upcoming
19 Feb 2025
PENN89
NEBR72
21 Jan 2023
PENN76
NEBR65
27 Feb 2022
PENN70
NEBR93
10 Mar 2021
PENN72
NEBR66
14 Feb 2021
PENN61
NEBR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nebraska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#131
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A03/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H06/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A24/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H27/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
25-39
23-23
32-27
24-32
34-28
35-35
26-27
43-47
39-45
41-36
27-38
39-38
47-45
26-41
26-32
46-28
38-37
23-33
43-28
136.0Avg total
66.8Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.673.2145.8-0.643%
Season at home (12)75.274.0149.2+1.258%
Season away (11)69.872.4142.2-2.527%
Last 10 (10)66.869.2136.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)71.271.2142.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.374.3144.5-4.027%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.070.8142.8+1.254%
vs Weaker (2)73.070.5143.5+2.550%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#226
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A17/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H20/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H24/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A26/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
64-102
64
102
-38
A05/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
27-26
28-32
22-32
33-40
38-39
37-40
21-35
38-39
45-47
28-36
42-50
33-31
45-43
43-25
29-26
26-48
38-54
30-39
48-40
144.3Avg total
68.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.174.3144.4-4.227%
Season at home (15)75.370.7146.1+4.640%
Season away (11)63.079.2142.2-16.29%
Last 10 (10)68.675.7144.3-7.130%
Last 5 (5)72.478.4150.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)67.977.1145.0-9.218%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.475.9146.3-5.429%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -3.7-3.7
Penn StateNebraska
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#131
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H27/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A08/03
NCAA
67.7Avg total
33.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.868.6+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.032.669.6+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)32.235.267.4-3.021%-
Last 10 (10)33.134.667.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.270.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.135.971.1-0.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.831.865.7+2.046%-
vs Weaker (2)38.031.069.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#226
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A26/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A05/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/03
NCAA
69.6Avg total
33.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.636.269.8-2.623%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.033.970.9+3.144%-
Last 30 away (14)29.738.868.5-9.10%-
Last 10 (10)33.136.569.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.867.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)33.036.369.3-3.323%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.137.369.4-5.114%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penn State wins
1
Nebraska wins
DateGameScore
24/02/21Nebraska v Penn State83-86
14/02/21Penn State v Nebraska61-62
02/02/20Nebraska v Penn State64-76
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/21AMaryland66-61
04/03/21HMinnesota84-65
27/02/21HPurdue52-73
24/02/21ANebraska86-83
21/02/21AIowa68-74
19/02/21HOhio State82-92
14/02/21HNebraska61-62
10/02/21AMichigan State58-60
06/02/21HMaryland55-50
03/02/21AWisconsin56-72
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21ANorthwestern78-79
05/03/21AIowa64-102
02/03/21HRutgers72-51
28/02/21HMinnesota78-74
26/02/21AIllinois70-86
24/02/21HPenn State83-86
20/02/21HPurdue58-75
18/02/21AMaryland71-79
17/02/21AMaryland50-64
14/02/21APenn State62-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayLLLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%58%27%
Points / game72.675.269.8
Allowed / game73.274.072.4
Point differential-0.6+1.2-2.5
Avg total145.8149.2142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)75% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Nebraska
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL27%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %27%40%9%
Points / game70.175.363.0
Allowed / game74.370.779.2
Point differential-4.2+4.6-16.2
Avg total144.4146.1142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2219386%76.565.2+11.3
2 Oregon2419579%74.166.9+7.2
3 USC2721678%74.364.1+10.2
4 Illinois2620677%80.768.5+12.2
5 Iowa2720774%85.072.1+12.9
6 Ohio State2618869%76.869.9+6.9
7 Purdue2618869%70.865.5+5.3
8 UCLA2517868%72.667.9+4.7
9 Wisconsin27161159%69.964.0+5.9
10 Rutgers24141058%70.468.1+2.3
11 Michigan State26151158%69.570.7-1.2
12 Maryland27151256%68.964.7+4.2
13 Minnesota28141450%72.473.0-0.6
14 Indiana26121446%70.569.7+0.8
15 Penn State23101343%72.673.2-0.6
16 Northwestern2491538%70.270.0+0.2
17 Nebraska2671927%70.174.3-4.2
18 Washington2652119%67.777.4-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State234972
Nebraska372966
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