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UMBC Retrievers vs Morgan State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-69
37-26 55-43
Position#280
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#258
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game75.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Morgan State
12 Nov 2026
UMBC85
MORG70
27 Nov 2024
UMBC92
MORG69
10 Dec 2022
UMBC75
MORG63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morgan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#209
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H06/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
A09/03
NCAA
Penn State-York
#466
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H04/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
54-103
54
103
-49
A08/11
NCAA
Valley Forge
#637
W
120-61
120
61
+59
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H15/11
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H16/11
NCAA
Hampton
#193
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H20/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H23/11
NCAA
Howard
#302
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
31-35
31-32
45-44
55-25
40-41
28-43
26-60
60-30
60-31
43-27
49-40
26-28
35-41
36-40
32-38
34-44
37-31
42-39
53-38
157.8Avg total
81.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.074.5156.5+7.550%
Season at home (7)86.070.4156.4+15.657%
Season away (1)54.0103.0157.0-49.00%
Last 10 (10)81.676.2157.8+5.440%
Last 5 (5)77.473.2150.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.389.7166.0-13.40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.375.3151.6+0.940%
vs Weaker (4)91.265.8157.0+25.575%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#368
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H08/03
NCAA
Howard
#204
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Frostburg
#383
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H05/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H06/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Dist. of Columbia
#440
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H12/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A21/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A23/11
NCAA
Towson
#78
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
44-28
31-40
34-38
39-37
50-39
31-33
42-45
32-36
34-48
38-30
52-34
30-37
51-32
33-44
50-42
36-31
37-51
26-35
34-29
149.9Avg total
75.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.975.4152.2+1.538%
Season at home (5)78.670.2148.8+8.460%
Season away (3)74.084.0158.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)75.874.1149.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)77.473.0150.4+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.179.7148.8-10.621%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.474.0145.4-2.638%
vs Weaker (6)87.372.2159.5+15.267%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
UMBC RetrieversMorgan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#209
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Penn State-York
#466
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H04/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Valley Forge
#637
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H15/11
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H16/11
NCAA
Hampton
#193
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H23/11
NCAA
Howard
#302
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H25/11
NCAA
74.0Avg total
39.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.272.2+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.133.972.0+4.265%-
Last 30 away (13)35.636.872.5-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)39.534.574.0+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.671.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.841.575.3-7.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.833.969.7+1.967%-
vs Weaker (4)45.226.571.8+18.8100%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#368
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Howard
#204
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/03
NCAA
Frostburg
#383
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H05/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H06/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Dist. of Columbia
#440
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H12/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A23/11
NCAA
Towson
#78
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H24/11
NCAA
68.5Avg total
33.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.137.271.3-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.636.673.2-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)31.237.969.1-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.568.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.468.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.340.172.4-7.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.035.569.5-1.538%-
vs Weaker (6)36.834.070.8+2.850%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
1
Morgan State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24HHoward95-77
23/11/24HBoston University71-75
20/11/24HHampton68-78
16/11/24HSt. Peters61-69
15/11/24HCoppin State92-67
11/11/24HValley Forge120-61
08/11/24APenn State54-103
04/11/24HPenn State-York95-66
09/03/24AUMass Lowell89-94 OT
06/03/24HBinghamton71-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HTowson60-64
23/11/24ABuffalo73-82
21/11/24AN. Carolina A&T83-86
16/11/24HNJIT81-69
12/11/24HDist. of Columbia90-64
09/11/24ALongwood66-84
06/11/24HMercyhurst Lakers73-78
05/11/24HFrostburg89-76
14/03/24AHoward65-78
08/03/24HCoppin State78-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %50%57%0%
Points / game82.086.054.0
Allowed / game74.570.4103.0
Point differential+7.5+15.6-49.0
Avg total156.5156.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morgan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game76.978.674.0
Allowed / game75.470.284.0
Point differential+1.5+8.4-10.0
Avg total152.2148.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell75271%85.975.7+10.1
2 Bryant University74357%85.476.9+8.6
3 UMBC Retrievers84450%82.074.5+7.5
4 Maine Black Bears63350%71.765.5+6.2
5 Vermont73443%62.769.7-7.0
6 Binghamton72529%66.973.6-6.7
7 NJIT7070%58.774.1-15.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norfolk State85362%79.466.0+13.4
2 South Carolina St74357%81.966.7+15.1
3 Delaware State73443%72.966.9+6.0
4 Howard73443%73.179.3-6.1
5 Morgan State83538%76.975.4+1.5
6 N. Carolina Central82625%74.875.1-0.4
7 Md.-East. Shore92722%70.384.2-13.9
8 Coppin State8080%54.680.5-25.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers375592
Morgan State264369
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