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UMKC vs South Dakota St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 59-73
0-0 30-36 0-0 29-37
Position#368
Record4-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#254
Record13-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMKC v South Dakota St.
07 Jan 2027
UMKC v SOUT
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
UMKC59
SOUT73
23 Jan 2025
UMKC64
SOUT65
15 Feb 2024
UMKC72
SOUT67
30 Jan 2023
UMKC66
SOUT67
26 Feb 2022
UMKC75
SOUT86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Dakota St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A16/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A17/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H25/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H29/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
64-99
64
99
-35
A01/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
H05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A13/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
64-104
64
104
-40
H15/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-56
0-0
47-43
0-0
32-36
0-0
30-54
0-0
34-44
0-0
26-33
0-0
32-32
0-0
29-37
0-0
25-52
0-0
39-47
0-0
31-23
0-0
33-41
0-0
29-28
0-0
31-41
0-0
29-43
0-0
35-61
0-0
35-37
0-0
35-48
0-0
26-56
0-0
33-39
152.7Avg total
65.8Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.983.9153.8-14.014%
Season at home (12)74.681.2155.8-6.625%
Season away (16)66.485.9152.4-19.56%
Last 10 (10)65.886.9152.7-21.10%
Last 5 (5)65.687.0152.6-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)67.484.9152.3-17.54%
vs Similar (1)61.070.0131.0-9.00%
vs Weaker (1)73.056.0129.0+17.0100%
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H17/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A23/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H31/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H05/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A13/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A15/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-32
0-0
54-30
0-0
32-33
0-0
37-41
0-0
34-32
0-0
37-48
0-0
58-39
0-0
37-33
0-0
28-31
0-0
34-46
0-0
32-43
0-0
35-25
0-0
25-36
0-0
36-43
0-0
36-29
0-0
51-40
0-0
34-37
0-0
32-37
0-0
42-44
0-0
49-39
149.7Avg total
75.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.073.0149.0+3.045%
Season at home (15)80.570.5151.1+10.060%
Season away (14)71.175.6146.7-4.629%
Last 10 (10)75.973.8149.7+2.140%
Last 5 (5)74.474.6149.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)61.975.5137.4-13.60%
vs Similar (10)77.678.5156.1-0.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.370.5151.8+10.870%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -9.8-9.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -10.6-10.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -9.8-9.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -10.6-10.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
UMKCSouth Dakota St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A16/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H29/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A01/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A13/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A21/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
30.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.940.873.6-7.923%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.337.473.7-1.138%-
Last 30 away (17)30.243.473.6-13.112%-
Last 10 (10)30.940.771.6-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.037.467.4-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)32.041.673.5-9.620%-
vs Similar (1)26.040.066.0-14.00%-
vs Weaker (1)29.023.052.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H31/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H05/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H07/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A13/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A15/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
35.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.870.7+1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.334.072.3+4.350%-
Last 30 away (14)33.035.868.8-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.671.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.871.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.934.162.0-6.20%-
vs Similar (10)35.839.074.8-3.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.633.073.6+7.670%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMKC wins
9
South Dakota St. wins
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ANorth Dakota St59-95
20/02/26ANorth Dakota70-85
15/02/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)64-104
13/02/26AOral Roberts60-69
05/02/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes75-82 OT
01/02/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)64-99
29/01/26HDenver61-69
25/01/26HNebraska O.60-77
17/01/26ASouth Dakota St.62-90
16/01/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes83-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HNorth Dakota91-83
19/02/26HNorth Dakota St66-74
15/02/26AOral Roberts87-69
13/02/26ADenver61-79
07/02/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes67-68
05/02/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)62-77
31/01/26HOral Roberts95-72
29/01/26ANebraska O.71-80
23/01/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)69-74
17/01/26HUMKC90-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMKC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %14%25%6%
Points / game69.974.666.4
Allowed / game83.981.285.9
Point differential-14.0-6.6-19.5
Avg total153.8155.8152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
South Dakota St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%60%29%
Points / game76.080.571.1
Allowed / game73.070.575.6
Point differential+3.0+10.0-4.6
Avg total149.0151.1146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St2923679%81.670.4+11.2
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)2921872%83.873.0+10.8
3 North Dakota31161552%77.677.6-0.0
4 Denver30151550%83.482.2+1.3
5 Nebraska O.30151550%77.677.3+0.3
6 South Dakota Coyotes30151550%80.380.7-0.3
7 South Dakota St.29131645%76.073.0+3.0
8 Oral Roberts2972224%71.678.3-6.7
9 UMKC2842414%69.983.9-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
UMKC03002959
South Dakota St.03603773
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