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UMKC vs Wisc. Green Bay Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 25 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 74-74
Projected total 148.0
Scheduled
Position#262
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.8
Vs
47%
53%
■ UMKC 47%■ WISC 53%
Pythia win probability
Position#176
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UMKC v Wisc. Green Bay
24 Nov 2026
UMKC v WISC
upcoming
10 Dec 2021
UMKC64
WISC55
15 Mar 2017
UMKC92
WISC82
Sections
Game preview & prediction
UMKC host Wisc. Green Bay in the NCAA. Pythia makes Wisc. Green Bay the favourite at 53% and projects 74-74, about 148 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. UMKC are 2-3 this season (75.4 scored, 77.8 allowed a game), form LWLWL; Wisc. Green Bay are 3-2 this season (75.2 scored, 66.8 allowed a game), form WLWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMKC win
47.3%fair 2.12
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wisc. Green Bay win
52.7%fair 1.90
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
70-94
70
94
-24
H01/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A05/03
NCAA
Creighton
#160
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A03/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#155
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#63
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
35-48
26-56
33-39
30-36
29-37
30-43
40-51
21-44
41-40
39-33
22-43
55-42
45-51
20-36
41-43
51-21
36-44
33-37
35-39
151.7Avg total
69.7Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.477.8153.2-2.440%
Season at home (1)100.093.0193.0+7.0100%
Season away (4)69.274.0143.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)69.782.0151.7-12.320%
Last 5 (5)75.477.8153.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)67.883.7151.4-15.97%
vs Similar (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wisc. Green Bay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wisc. Green BayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H28/02
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
76-96
76
96
-20
H08/03
NCAA
Lawrence University Vikings
#462
W
94-51
94
51
+43
H03/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A06/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#252
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#257
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Viterbo
#381
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
36-36
28-31
42-43
36-28
49-35
34-22
30-34
30-36
46-60
45-18
49-33
32-40
32-41
33-33
43-34
30-46
46-43
24-23
42-23
143.5Avg total
74.4Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.266.8142.0+8.460%
Season at home (2)80.048.5128.5+31.5100%
Season away (3)72.079.0151.0-7.033%
Last 10 (10)74.469.1143.5+5.360%
Last 5 (5)75.266.8142.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.779.1153.8-4.445%
vs Similar (10)72.471.5143.9+0.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.472.4154.9+10.071%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
66.2%
Under 141
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
54.2%
Under 146
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
41.9%
Under 151
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

UMKC total 75.5
Over 75.5
42.5%
Under 75.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UMKC total 79.5
Over 79.5
28.3%
Under 79.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UMKC total 83.5
Over 83.5
16.9%
Under 83.5
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisc. Green Bay total 62.5
Over 62.5
87.6%
Under 62.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisc. Green Bay total 66.5
Over 66.5
77.8%
Under 66.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisc. Green Bay total 70.5
Over 70.5
64.6%
Under 70.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread UMKC -3
UMKC -3
38.2%
WISC +3
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
UMKC
No market prices yet.
WISC
No market prices yet.
Spread UMKC 0
UMKC 0
47.3%
WISC 0
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
UMKC
No market prices yet.
WISC
No market prices yet.
Spread UMKC +3
UMKC +3
56.4%
WISC -3
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
UMKC
No market prices yet.
WISC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -7.8-7.82nd half: +3.3+3.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -7.8-7.82nd half: +3.3+3.3
UMKCWisc. Green Bay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A05/03
NCAA
Creighton
#160
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#155
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#63
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A12/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
34.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.539.472.9-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.637.974.5-1.338%-
Last 30 away (17)31.140.571.6-9.424%-
Last 10 (10)34.038.572.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.873.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.740.071.7-8.226%-
vs Similar (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wisc. Green Bay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wisc. Green BayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H28/02
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/03
NCAA
Lawrence University Vikings
#462
W
45-18
45
18
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#108
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A06/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#252
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#257
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A11/11
NCAA
Viterbo
#381
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H13/11
NCAA
63.8Avg total
32.9Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.067.1+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.429.265.7+7.269%-
Last 30 away (14)33.535.268.7-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)32.930.963.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.064.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.735.070.7+0.745%-
vs Similar (10)35.329.164.4+6.270%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)33.934.968.7-1.029%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UMKC wins
1
Wisc. Green Bay wins
DateGameScore
11/12/22Wisc. Green Bay v UMKC70-64
11/12/21UMKC v Wisc. Green Bay64-55
16/03/17UMKC v Wisc. Green Bay92-82
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AGeorge Mason68-76
11/11/26AFlorida A&M87-65
10/11/26AJacksonville Dolphins61-79
07/11/26HSouthern Illinois100-93
03/11/26ACreighton61-76
05/03/26AOral Roberts62-84
01/03/26HOral Roberts70-94
27/02/26HSouth Dakota St.59-73
21/02/26ANorth Dakota St59-95
20/02/26ANorth Dakota70-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HViterbo66-46
11/11/26ANorthern Iowa76-89
08/11/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)76-67
06/11/26ACincinnati64-81
03/11/26HLawrence University Vikings94-51
08/03/26HNorthern Kentucky76-96
04/03/26HIPFW64-56
28/02/26HYoungstown State85-63
22/02/26ADetroit70-74
21/02/26AOakland73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMKC
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game75.4100.069.2
Allowed / game77.893.074.0
Point differential-2.4+7.0-4.8
Avg total153.2193.0143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wisc. Green Bay
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game75.280.072.0
Allowed / game66.848.579.0
Point differential+8.4+31.5-7.0
Avg total142.0128.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.440100%72.857.5+15.2
2 Nebraska O.53260%68.277.0-8.8
3 Oral Roberts42250%75.560.8+14.8
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)52340%82.478.2+4.2
5 UMKC52340%75.477.8-2.4
6 North Dakota St52340%77.283.0-5.8
7 North Dakota41325%72.886.8-14.0
8 South Dakota Coyotes51420%84.482.8+1.6
9 Denver3030%60.371.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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