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UNC Asheville vs USC Upstate Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 76-67
32-36 44-31
Position#237
Record10-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#274
Record10-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UNC Asheville v USC Upstate
04 Feb 2026
UNC 76
USC 67
15 Jan 2025
UNC 93
USC 92
03 Jan 2024
UNC 95
USC 67
04 Mar 2023
UNC 66
USC 62
21 Jan 2023
UNC 64
USC 58
15 Jan 2022
UNC 73
USC 76
06 Feb 2020
UNC 84
USC 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNC Asheville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC Upstate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#99
L
47-72
47
72
-25
A21/12
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H31/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
91-72
91
72
+19
A10/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H17/01
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A21/01
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H29/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-42
21-30
34-49
35-38
29-38
54-48
37-32
35-29
45-36
46-36
34-40
36-31
25-33
42-36
36-30
47-39
41-27
28-23
33-43
38-41
144.3Avg total
72.2Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.272.5146.7+1.743%
Season at home (13)75.268.5143.8+6.762%
Season away (10)72.977.7150.6-4.820%
Last 10 (10)72.272.1144.3+0.140%
Last 5 (5)72.068.6140.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.475.8144.2-7.518%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.277.9153.2-2.738%
vs Weaker (5)79.861.8141.6+18.0100%
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern W.
#539
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H18/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
50-71
50
71
-21
H10/01
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A15/01
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A18/01
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H21/01
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-18
49-45
28-40
37-34
30-37
39-39
30-31
47-55
19-38
31-33
35-41
37-31
31-35
38-54
30-36
39-47
32-29
33-38
21-21
44-39
146.3Avg total
71.3Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.272.7147.9+2.643%
Season at home (11)81.768.4150.1+13.464%
Season away (12)69.276.6145.8-7.325%
Last 10 (10)71.375.0146.3-3.730%
Last 5 (5)70.876.0146.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.784.1153.8-14.40%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.875.1149.9-0.355%
vs Weaker (6)90.361.3151.7+29.083%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -2.1-2.1
UNC AshevilleUSC Upstate
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#99
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A21/12
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H31/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H07/01
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A10/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H17/01
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A21/01
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H29/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A31/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.135.670.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.033.569.5+2.556%-
Last 30 away (12)33.838.872.5-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)34.037.071.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.668.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.638.170.7-5.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.637.471.0-3.831%-
vs Weaker (5)43.228.071.2+15.2100%-
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern W.
#539
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H18/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A20/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A03/01
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
19-38
19
38
-19
H10/01
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A15/01
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A18/01
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H21/01
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A24/01
NCAA
Longwood
#202
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H30/01
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.235.569.7-1.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.735.072.7+2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)30.736.066.7-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)30.532.663.1-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.462.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.940.872.7-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.534.065.5-2.518%-
vs Weaker (6)44.026.870.8+17.2100%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
UNC Asheville wins
2
USC Upstate wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AWinthrop71-84
29/01/26HGardner Webb69-50
21/01/26AUSC Upstate83-69
17/01/26HWinthrop67-69
15/01/26APresbyterian70-71
10/01/26ARadford91-72
07/01/26HLongwood72-61
03/01/26ACharleston Southern83-86
31/12/25HHigh Point69-87
21/12/25AUAB47-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HLongwood65-60
24/01/26AGardner Webb65-67
21/01/26HUNC Asheville69-83
18/01/26AHigh Point69-89
15/01/26ACharleston Southern86-81 OT
10/01/26HWinthrop50-71
03/01/26APresbyterian77-86
31/12/25HRadford69-76
20/12/25AYoungstown State65-74
18/12/25HSouthern W.98-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNC Asheville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLWLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %43%62%20%
Points / game74.275.272.9
Allowed / game72.568.577.7
Point differential+1.7+6.7-4.8
Avg total146.7143.8150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%46%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
USC Upstate
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLLLW64%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%64%25%
Points / game75.281.769.2
Allowed / game72.768.476.6
Point differential+2.6+13.4-7.3
Avg total147.9150.1145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point2420483%91.570.2+21.3
2 Winthrop2416867%84.874.0+10.7
3 Radford24141058%83.677.5+6.1
4 Longwood24121250%76.172.7+3.4
5 Charleston Southern23111248%83.878.6+5.2
6 USC Upstate23101343%75.272.7+2.6
7 UNC Asheville23101343%74.272.5+1.7
8 Presbyterian24101442%71.573.1-1.6
9 Gardner Webb2332013%67.787.0-19.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNC Asheville324476
USC Upstate363167
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