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UNC Asheville vs USC Upstate Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-58
26-29 38-29
Position#28
Record14-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#190
Record9-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UNC Asheville v USC Upstate
04 Feb 2026
UNC 76
USC 67
15 Jan 2025
UNC 93
USC 92
03 Jan 2024
UNC 95
USC 67
04 Mar 2023
UNC 66
USC 62
21 Jan 2023
UNC 64
USC 58
15 Jan 2022
UNC 73
USC 76
06 Feb 2020
UNC 84
USC 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNC Asheville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC Upstate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A14/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A17/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
51-85
51
85
-34
A22/12
NCAA
Radford
#137
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H29/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A31/12
NCAA
High Point
#244
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A05/01
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Longwood
#101
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/01
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
A14/01
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-32
47-52
38-34
36-39
24-44
27-41
30-28
32-30
34-25
26-37
28-37
48-35
19-34
39-21
22-27
32-19
29-36
34-27
35-28
38-35
133.9Avg total
67.4Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.469.7144.1+4.870%
Season at home (9)77.862.2140.0+15.689%
Season away (11)71.675.7147.4-4.155%
Last 10 (10)67.466.5133.9+0.980%
Last 5 (5)66.660.6127.2+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.079.0145.0-13.00%
vs Similar (12)68.970.8139.8-1.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.171.0153.1+11.169%
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H10/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A14/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H29/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Radford
#137
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A05/01
NCAA
High Point
#244
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H07/01
NCAA
Campbell
#225
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H12/01
NCAA
Longwood
#101
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-38
39-33
31-38
32-42
26-28
30-37
34-26
36-36
38-42
47-48
31-30
34-30
37-29
39-28
39-33
24-45
24-28
41-44
31-32
30-28
140.1Avg total
69.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.570.4139.9-0.950%
Season at home (8)77.665.0142.6+12.688%
Season away (10)63.074.7137.7-11.720%
Last 10 (10)69.370.8140.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)66.065.4131.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.577.5143.9-11.023%
vs Similar (9)73.171.7144.8+1.467%
vs Weaker (7)72.367.0139.3+5.371%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
UNC AshevilleUSC Upstate
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A14/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A17/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A22/12
NCAA
Radford
#137
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A31/12
NCAA
High Point
#244
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Campbell
#225
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Longwood
#101
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H13/01
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/01
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.367.2+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.031.768.7+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)32.732.965.7-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)30.632.563.1-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)26.632.459.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.034.063.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (12)28.834.763.5-5.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.830.870.6+9.188%-
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H29/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Radford
#137
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A05/01
NCAA
High Point
#244
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H07/01
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/01
NCAA
Longwood
#101
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H19/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
32.3Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.735.268.9-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.233.269.4+3.050%-
Last 30 away (16)31.636.968.4-5.331%-
Last 10 (10)32.332.464.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.430.462.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.637.969.5-6.323%-
vs Similar (9)35.834.770.4+1.156%-
vs Weaker (7)33.430.764.1+2.743%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UNC Asheville wins
2
USC Upstate wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23ACharleston Southern73-63
14/01/23AGardner Webb72-67 OT
13/01/23HLongwood54-46
07/01/23HCampbell58-55
05/01/23AHigh Point76-72
31/12/22AWinthrop60-62
29/12/22HRadford62-58
22/12/22AArkansas51-85
17/12/22AEast Tennessee St74-73
14/12/22ASouth Carolina St94-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HPresbyterian61-60
15/01/23ALongwood65-72
12/01/23HCampbell63-78
07/01/23HHigh Point76-57
05/01/23ARadford65-60
31/12/22ACharleston Southern85-90
29/12/22HWinthrop70-62
21/12/22AKennesaw State56-65
14/12/22AFlorida State63-80
10/12/22HSouth Carolina St89-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNC Asheville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %70%89%55%
Points / game74.477.871.6
Allowed / game69.762.275.7
Point differential+4.8+15.6-4.1
Avg total144.1140.0147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %10%0%18%
USC Upstate
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%88%20%
Points / game69.577.663.0
Allowed / game70.465.074.7
Point differential-0.9+12.6-11.7
Avg total139.9142.6137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Longwood2014670%76.466.5+9.8
2 UNC Asheville2014670%74.469.7+4.8
3 Radford2011955%70.864.2+6.7
4 High Point1910953%77.177.4-0.3
5 USC Upstate189950%69.570.4-0.9
6 Gardner Webb1981142%71.364.8+6.5
7 Winthrop2081240%72.374.8-2.4
8 Charleston Southern1871139%76.174.8+1.3
9 Presbyterian2051525%64.869.0-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNC Asheville263864
USC Upstate292958
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