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UNC Asheville vs USC Upstate Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 93-92
46-49 47-43
Position#86
Record11-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#357
Record5-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game81.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UNC Asheville v USC Upstate
04 Feb 2026
UNC 76
USC 67
15 Jan 2025
UNC 93
USC 92
03 Jan 2024
UNC 95
USC 67
04 Mar 2023
UNC 66
USC 62
21 Jan 2023
UNC 64
USC 58
15 Jan 2022
UNC 73
USC 76
06 Feb 2020
UNC 84
USC 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNC Asheville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC Upstate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Andrews
#627
W
120-64
120
64
+56
H07/12
NCAA
Bluefield State
#559
W
92-46
92
46
+46
H11/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H14/12
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
114-60
114
60
+54
H19/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A21/12
NCAA
Columbia International
#499
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H30/12
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
103-99
103
99
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Longwood
#151
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A09/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
64-28
56-36
56-24
36-22
42-33
36-28
43-30
52-51
60-34
54-26
30-44
44-41
42-20
53-33
47-43
56-56
45-46
31-39
45-44
51-43
166.4Avg total
94.3Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.976.0161.9+9.965%
Season at home (7)99.666.3165.9+33.3100%
Season away (10)76.482.8159.2-6.440%
Last 10 (10)94.372.1166.4+22.280%
Last 5 (5)88.881.8170.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.590.0184.5+4.5100%
vs Similar (12)73.281.1154.3-7.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.266.4151.7+18.881%
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
L
77-110
77
110
-33
A27/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A30/11
NCAA
Brevard College
#474
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H05/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A07/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A14/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H18/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H21/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A02/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H09/01
NCAA
Radford
#125
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-55
49-55
26-29
25-44
46-25
45-35
31-37
43-31
28-35
25-38
34-40
36-45
23-27
41-45
39-41
37-54
38-33
39-34
35-41
32-39
148.3Avg total
70.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.281.4156.6-6.228%
Season at home (9)80.776.0156.7+4.744%
Season away (9)69.786.8156.4-17.111%
Last 10 (10)70.078.3148.3-8.330%
Last 5 (5)70.879.8150.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.382.8154.1-11.519%
vs Similar (5)69.470.4139.8-1.040%
vs Weaker (2)81.566.5148.0+15.050%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.8+12.81st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: -4.8-4.8
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.8+12.81st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: -4.8-4.8
UNC AshevilleUSC Upstate
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Andrews
#627
W
64-28
64
28
+36
H07/12
NCAA
Bluefield State
#559
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H11/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/12
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H19/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Columbia International
#499
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H30/12
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Longwood
#151
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/01
NCAA
82.0Avg total
47.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.773.9+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.531.874.3+10.780%-
Last 30 away (15)35.837.773.5-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)47.434.682.0+12.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.481.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.538.583.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (12)34.239.873.9-5.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.230.572.8+11.881%-
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#192
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A27/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A30/11
NCAA
Brevard College
#474
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A07/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A14/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H18/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/01
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Radford
#125
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H11/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
32.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.571.8-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.234.371.5+2.969%-
Last 30 away (14)33.338.972.2-5.614%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.369.1-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.470.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.938.573.4-3.629%-
vs Similar (5)31.832.464.2-0.660%-
vs Weaker (2)40.029.569.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
UNC Asheville wins
3
USC Upstate wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25APresbyterian96-87
09/01/25ALongwood76-85
04/01/25HHigh Point103-99
30/12/24HColumbia International95-53
21/12/24ANC Wilmington74-85
19/12/24HVirginia-Lynchburg114-60
17/12/24HNorth Florida95-81
14/12/24HWestern Carolina78-61
11/12/24HBluefield State92-46
07/12/24HSt. Andrews120-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HRadford67-80
09/01/25HPresbyterian77-67
02/01/25AWinthrop76-95
21/12/24HYoungstown State64-72
18/12/24HSouth Carolina St70-85
14/12/24ASouth Carolina53-73
07/12/24AWestern Carolina74-68
05/12/24HBrevard College91-60
30/11/24ACoastal Carolina51-73
27/11/24AIowa77-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNC Asheville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %65%100%40%
Points / game85.999.676.4
Allowed / game76.066.382.8
Point differential+9.9+33.3-6.4
Avg total161.9165.9159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%86%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%10%
USC Upstate
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game75.280.769.7
Allowed / game81.476.086.8
Point differential-6.2+4.7-17.1
Avg total156.6156.7156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point1915479%80.466.7+13.7
2 Longwood1913668%78.570.9+7.5
3 Radford1812667%75.170.8+4.3
4 UNC Asheville1711665%85.976.0+9.9
5 Winthrop1912763%85.075.9+9.1
6 Presbyterian1981142%76.570.3+6.2
7 Gardner Webb1771041%72.678.1-5.5
8 Charleston Southern1851328%73.579.4-5.9
9 USC Upstate1851328%75.281.4-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNC Asheville464793
USC Upstate494392
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