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Unicaja vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 90-94
24-17 21-34 26-17 19-26
Position#10
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Ulm 🏆
Position#13
Record3-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeEurocupRound 10
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
92-63
92
63
+29
A30/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H01/11
ACB
Levallois
#8
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A03/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H11/11
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
104-69
104
69
+35
H15/11
ACB
Buducnost
#12
W
90-66
90
66
+24
A18/11
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#18
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A22/11
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H06/12
ACB
Brescia
#20
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A09/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A13/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
18-24
21-8
34-18
17-25
25-18
20-23
20-10
25-20
19-20
15-19
21-31
27-16
27-18
21-18
23-20
31-18
20-23
22-16
31-12
23-12
22-25
22-12
23-17
18-29
24-22
21-12
29-27
22-23
33-21
23-23
24-14
26-24
22-22
11-8
24-25
16-20
17-17
25-30
26-24
168.4Avg total
90.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.279.7166.9+7.678%
Season at home (4)92.879.0171.8+13.8100%
Season away (5)82.880.2163.0+2.660%
Last 10 (10)90.777.7168.4+13.080%
Last 5 (5)90.281.4171.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.483.4157.8-9.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.279.4166.6+7.979%
vs Weaker (10)88.076.2164.2+11.880%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A03/11
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A07/11
BBL
Brescia
#20
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H10/11
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#10
W
104-76
104
76
+28
H14/11
BBL
Levallois
#8
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A17/11
Eurocup
Giessen
#17
W
106-81
106
81
+25
A21/11
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H06/12
BBL
Buducnost
#12
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A13/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
19-21
16-21
19-19
27-19
14-24
15-9
26-14
18-17
24-24
20-17
28-19
19-18
24-12
22-27
23-19
30-18
21-21
26-22
27-15
16-16
23-16
11-17
15-23
21-11
39-22
26-21
20-27
20-11
15-21
12-18
27-23
24-12
11-25
14-18
24-22
20-25
18-15
15-14
20-15
157.9Avg total
83.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.877.1154.9+0.733%
Season at home (5)80.279.2159.4+1.040%
Season away (4)74.874.5149.2+0.225%
Last 10 (10)83.174.8157.9+8.370%
Last 5 (5)78.274.4152.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)100.598.5199.0+2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.179.4154.5-4.310%
vs Weaker (18)88.774.2162.9+14.689%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
UnicajaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A30/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/11
ACB
Levallois
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H11/11
Eurocup
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H15/11
ACB
Buducnost
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A18/11
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#18
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A22/11
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H06/12
ACB
Brescia
#20
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A09/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A13/12
ACB
86.1Avg total
45.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.081.5+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.383.3+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.779.6+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.086.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.087.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.237.071.2-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.339.681.9+2.664%-
vs Weaker (10)44.041.285.2+2.870%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H28/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/11
BBL
Brescia
#20
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/11
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H14/11
BBL
Levallois
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A17/11
Eurocup
Giessen
#17
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A21/11
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/12
BBL
Buducnost
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A13/12
BBL
79.3Avg total
42.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.381.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.841.182.9+0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.136.980.0+6.254%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.879.3+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.876.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.546.594.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.338.676.9-0.340%-
vs Weaker (18)44.038.982.9+5.156%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.3
56.1%
51.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.811.6
43.3%
36.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws14.812.1
81.8%
75.4%12.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.7
55.5%
51.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.7
37.9%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.715.8
80.2%
75.4%15.8
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
LWWWWWWLWW
Ulm
WLWWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#13
+17.1
Net rating
+11.0
123.6
Offensive rating
111.7
106.5
Defensive rating
100.7
59.7%
Effective FG%
56.1%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
43.3%
3-point %
37.9%
55.9%
Assist %
63.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.6 · 111.7Defence106.5 · 100.7Shooting59.7% · 56.1%3-point %43.3% · 37.9%Ball care15.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.9% · 25.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Unicaja   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Unicaja wins
0
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
28/10/20Ulm v Unicaja76-81
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20AReal Madrid84-91
09/12/20ABrescia83-79
06/12/20HMurcia102-81
22/11/20AEstudiantes92-90
18/11/20ABuducnost90-66
15/11/20HGipuzkoa104-69
11/11/20HMornar Bar98-72
03/11/20ALevallois80-90
01/11/20HObradoiro CAB82-76
30/10/20ABasket Zaragoza92-63
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20AHamburg73-69
08/12/20HBuducnost73-77
06/12/20HVechta74-73
21/11/20AGiessen106-81
17/11/20ALevallois65-72
14/11/20HBayreuth104-76
10/11/20HBrescia88-76
07/11/20As.Oliver Wurzburg90-77
03/11/20AMornar Bar82-66
28/10/20HUnicaja76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game87.292.882.8
Allowed / game79.779.080.2
Point differential+7.6+13.8+2.6
Avg total166.9171.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game77.880.274.8
Allowed / game77.179.274.5
Point differential+0.7+1.0+0.2
Avg total154.9159.4149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna990100%85.473.8+11.7
2 Lokomotiv Kuban108280%91.081.1+9.9
3 Gran Canaria108280%83.176.5+6.6
4 Unicaja97278%87.279.7+7.6
5 Joventut Badalona97278%85.679.7+5.9
6 Cedevita Olimpija107370%83.873.7+10.1
7 Levallois107370%80.978.6+2.3
8 JL Bourg96367%81.776.3+5.3
9 Unics Kazan106460%83.680.8+2.8
10 Trento106460%76.574.2+2.3
11 Partizan95456%81.280.6+0.7
12 Monaco84450%79.074.5+4.5
13 Buducnost105550%79.179.4-0.3
14 Nanterre84450%80.981.2-0.4
15 Mornar Bar105550%79.781.3-1.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra83538%75.177.2-2.1
17 Ulm93633%77.877.1+0.7
18 Lietkabelis92722%73.082.6-9.6
19 Promitheas92722%75.886.7-10.9
20 Venezia92722%77.289.7-12.4
21 Bahcesehir Kol.102820%81.483.7-2.3
22 Brescia102820%76.284.0-7.8
23 Antwerp Giants101910%73.487.1-13.7
24 Bursaspor7070%81.494.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja2421261990
Ulm1734172694
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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