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Ulm vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-76
19-18 24-12 22-27 23-19
Position#13
Record2-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game78.2
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#20
Record1-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game86.6
EuropeEurocupRound 7
European cup2020
Meetings · Ulm v Brescia
26 Oct 2022
ULM90
BRE98
10 Nov 2020
ULM88
BRE76
30 Oct 2018
ULM83
BRE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#17
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 77
H30/09
Eurocup
Brescia
#20
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
A07/10
Eurocup
Levallois
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
H14/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#7
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
H17/10
German Cup
Buducnost
#12
L
68-73
68
73
-5
65avg 77
A21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
92-72
92
72
+20
no box
H24/10
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H25/10
German Cup
Unicaja
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
68avg 77
H28/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
82-66
82
66
+16
80avg 77
A03/11
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
89avg 77
A07/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
17-20
30-11
22-19
28-19
11-21
28-22
9-14
18-22
25-18
20-22
17-24
17-15
12-20
20-20
16-19
11-23
22-14
15-19
20-17
24-18
18-15
26-26
24-13
22-15
14-13
15-24
29-23
22-20
19-21
16-21
19-19
27-19
14-24
15-9
26-14
18-17
24-24
20-17
28-19
156.8Avg total
80.1Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.078.2157.2+0.833%
Season at home (3)80.081.0161.0-1.033%
Season away (3)78.075.3153.3+2.733%
Last 10 (10)80.176.7156.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)84.074.2158.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.093.3183.3-3.333%
vs Similar (8)76.680.6157.2-4.012%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.377.1167.4+13.284%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
H04/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H07/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
101avg 70
A11/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
L
76-95
76
95
-19
18avg 70
A14/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
75-63
75
63
+12
75avg 70
H18/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
69-86
69
86
-17
67avg 70
A21/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
67-83
67
83
-16
63avg 70
A24/10
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
64avg 70
H28/10
Eurocup
Virtus Roma
#16
L
64-70
64
70
-6
55avg 70
H31/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
56-87
56
87
-31
35avg 70
A08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
24-24
12-12
20-22
19-28
21-11
22-28
14-9
31-26
23-14
16-24
24-23
10-30
25-22
21-22
20-21
29-9
19-18
8-21
19-15
12-24
23-17
19-16
15-29
20-19
24-26
13-17
10-21
23-25
14-14
20-11
13-25
29-18
12-16
10-20
13-16
9-23
15-21
13-28
19-15
154.9Avg total
73.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.686.6163.2-10.020%
Season at home (2)78.579.5158.0-1.050%
Season away (3)75.391.3166.7-16.00%
Last 10 (10)73.881.1154.9-7.330%
Last 5 (5)65.280.2145.4-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.684.8158.4-11.112%
vs Similar (8)78.982.0160.9-3.138%
vs Weaker (14)82.975.3158.1+7.679%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
UlmBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#17
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H30/09
Eurocup
Brescia
#20
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/10
Eurocup
Levallois
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H17/10
German Cup
Buducnost
#12
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/10
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H25/10
German Cup
Unicaja
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H28/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#17
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/11
BBL
76.2Avg total
37.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.984.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.342.085.3+1.356%-
Last 30 away (14)42.839.782.5+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.476.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.277.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.346.790.0-3.367%-
vs Similar (8)38.639.678.2-1.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.940.685.5+4.358%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H04/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A11/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H18/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A21/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A24/10
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A08/11
Lega A
81.4Avg total
40.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.781.5+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.080.5+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)41.241.382.5-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.881.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.676.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.643.280.9-5.638%-
vs Similar (8)42.038.880.8+3.262%-
vs Weaker (14)42.140.382.4+1.850%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.6
49.0%
51.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.5
43.2%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.915.9
79.9%
75.4%15.9
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.6
48.5%
51.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
36.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.111.9
78.8%
75.4%11.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLWWLLLLW
Brescia
LLLLLWLWWL
#13
League position
#20
+5.4
Net rating
-12.3
110.9
Offensive rating
97.4
105.5
Defensive rating
109.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
43.2%
3-point %
32.6%
66.8%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 97.4Defence105.5 · 109.7Shooting55.0% · 48.6%3-point %43.2% · 32.6%Ball care17.7% · 18.4%Off. rebounds24.7% · 23.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Ulm   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
1
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
07/10/20Brescia v Ulm87-84 OT
19/12/18Brescia v Ulm80-97
30/10/18Ulm v Brescia83-82
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/20As.Oliver Wurzburg90-77
03/11/20AMornar Bar82-66
28/10/20HUnicaja76-81
25/10/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg80-75
24/10/20HLudwigsburg92-72
21/10/20ABuducnost68-73
17/10/20HBamberg65-74
14/10/20HLevallois80-86
07/10/20ABrescia84-87 OT
30/09/20HMornar Bar84-76
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/20AOlimpia Milano56-87
31/10/20HVirtus Roma64-70
28/10/20HLevallois70-75
24/10/20AReggiana67-83
21/10/20AUnicaja69-86
18/10/20HTrieste75-63
14/10/20AMornar Bar76-95
11/10/20ATreviso94-87
07/10/20HUlm87-84 OT
04/10/20HVirtus Bologna80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game79.080.078.0
Allowed / game78.281.075.3
Point differential+0.8-1.0+2.7
Avg total157.2161.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Brescia
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game76.678.575.3
Allowed / game86.679.591.3
Point differential-10.0-1.0-16.0
Avg total163.2158.0166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %20%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%86.473.4+13.0
2 Trento550100%78.466.6+11.8
3 Joventut Badalona550100%89.080.0+9.0
4 Lokomotiv Kuban65183%91.876.7+15.2
5 Gran Canaria54180%88.080.0+8.0
6 JL Bourg43175%86.079.8+6.2
7 Unics Kazan64267%85.281.7+3.5
8 Levallois64267%83.380.0+3.3
9 Unicaja64267%85.783.3+2.3
10 Monaco53260%83.475.8+7.6
11 Cedevita Olimpija53260%78.072.0+6.0
12 Buducnost53260%84.881.6+3.2
13 Mornar Bar63350%79.580.3-0.8
14 Partizan52340%81.083.2-2.2
15 MoraBanc Andorra52340%70.073.2-3.2
16 Venezia52340%82.287.4-5.2
17 Promitheas52340%78.083.6-5.6
18 Ulm62433%79.078.2+0.8
19 Nanterre51420%72.480.8-8.4
20 Brescia51420%76.686.6-10.0
21 Lietkabelis51420%68.082.4-14.4
22 Bahcesehir Kol.7070%77.785.4-7.7
23 Bursaspor5050%82.894.6-11.8
24 Antwerp Giants6060%73.290.8-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1924222388
Brescia1812271976
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