Union Florida W will host El Talar W on 15 November 2026 in the Liga Femenina Women, a contest the Pythia model projects to be high-scoring with a total of 133.8 points driven by both teams' offensive output. Union Florida W finished the season 4-3, averaging 63.3 points and allowing 59.3, while El Talar W sits 5-1, scoring 72.0 and conceding 58.0, a clear advantage in points per game that fuels the model's expectation of a high total. Union Florida W's home record is 1-2, with a recent 70-36 win away and a 61-66 loss at home, whereas El Talar W is undefeated on the road, 3-0, and has won four of its last five games, including a 74-47 home victory over Avellaneda W. Historically, El Talar W leads the nine meetings 6-3, most recently defeating Union Florida W 67-64 on 22 October 2026. The model gives El Talar W a 57% chance to win and a 45% probability of covering the 1.0-point spread, while the over on the 124-point line has a 72% chance; the projected score is 66-68. An overtime probability of 5% suggests a close finish, and the game will likely hinge on El Talar W's recent road dominance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 63.3 | 59.3 | 122.6 | +4.0 | 57% |
| Season at home (3) | 62.0 | 66.0 | 128.0 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Season away (4) | 64.2 | 54.2 | 118.5 | +10.0 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 62.1 | 61.1 | 123.2 | +1.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 60.6 | 56.2 | 116.8 | +4.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 62.4 | 71.4 | 133.8 | -9.0 | 15% |
| vs Similar (6) | 57.7 | 60.0 | 117.7 | -2.3 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 69.5 | 54.4 | 123.8 | +15.1 | 91% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 72.0 | 58.0 | 130.0 | +14.0 | 83% |
| Season at home (3) | 69.7 | 61.3 | 131.0 | +8.3 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 74.3 | 54.7 | 129.0 | +19.7 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 68.4 | 60.4 | 128.8 | +8.0 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.2 | 55.6 | 127.8 | +16.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (9) | 67.7 | 69.9 | 137.6 | -2.2 | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 71.8 | 62.0 | 133.8 | +9.9 | 81% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 62.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.4 | 31.0 | 63.4 | +1.5 | 50% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 32.4 | 30.1 | 62.5 | +2.2 | 57% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 32.5 | 31.7 | 64.2 | +0.8 | 44% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.4 | 30.9 | 64.3 | +2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 28.8 | 63.4 | +5.8 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 30.2 | 35.5 | 65.7 | -5.4 | 23% | 54% |
| vs Similar (6) | 31.3 | 29.3 | 60.7 | +2.0 | 50% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 35.7 | 26.5 | 62.2 | +9.3 | 82% | 36% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 62.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.5 | 32.2 | 65.8 | +1.3 | 57% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 35.3 | 33.9 | 69.2 | +1.5 | 60% | 73% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 31.7 | 30.6 | 62.3 | +1.1 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.5 | 30.6 | 61.1 | -0.1 | 50% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 26.6 | 61.2 | +8.0 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (9) | 29.7 | 34.1 | 63.8 | -4.4 | 22% | 56% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 35.2 | 31.4 | 66.6 | +3.8 | 71% | 62% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 125 | 70.3% | 1.96 | 1.96 | - | - | - | - | +23.6pp |
| Over 124 | 72.5% | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.79 | - | - | - | +23.0pp |
| El Talar W over 62 | 72.3% | 1.72 | 1.72 | - | - | - | - | +22.3pp |
| El Talar W over 61.5 | 73.2% | 1.66 | 1.66 | - | - | - | - | +21.3pp |
| Union Florida W over 60.5 | 70.0% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +16.9pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.0 | 18.5 | 42.8% | 37.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.5 | 7.6 | 27.8% | 22.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 12.9 | 8.8 | 63.7% | 8.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.7 | 17.7 | 42.8% | 35.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.3 | 9.1 | 27.8% | 27.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.2 | 13.6 | 63.7% | 13.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22/10/26 | El Talar W v Union Florida W | 64-67 |
| 23/03/26 | El Talar W v Union Florida W | 90-85 OT |
| 30/01/26 | Union Florida W v El Talar W | 59-61 |
| 25/11/25 | Union Florida W v El Talar W | 63-74 |
| 09/11/25 | El Talar W v Union Florida W | 75-72 |
| 09/03/25 | El Talar W v Union Florida W | 66-68 |
| 15/02/25 | Union Florida W v El Talar W | 60-62 |
| 11/12/24 | Union Florida W v El Talar W | 73-67 |
| 21/11/24 | El Talar W v Union Florida W | 71-60 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Regatas San Nicolas W | 70-36 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Avellaneda W | 50-43 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Obras Sanitarias W | 61-66 |
| 22/10/26 | A | El Talar W | 67-64 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Ferro W | 55-72 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Berazategui W | 70-60 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Obras Sanitarias W | 70-74 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Berazategui W | 56-71 |
| 07/04/26 | A | Berazategui W | 52-54 |
| 30/03/26 | A | Ferro W | 70-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Ferro W | 68-60 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Avellaneda W | 74-47 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Union Florida W | 64-67 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Regatas San Nicolas W | 88-51 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Avellaneda W | 67-53 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Ferro W | 71-70 |
| 08/05/26 | A | Obras Sanitarias W | 74-80 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Obras Sanitarias W | 55-71 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Hindu W | 56-52 |
| 20/04/26 | H | Hindu W | 67-53 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 57% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | LWWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Points / game | 63.3 | 62.0 | 64.2 |
| Allowed / game | 59.3 | 66.0 | 54.2 |
| Point differential | +4.0 | -4.0 | +10.0 |
| Avg total | 122.6 | 128.0 | 118.5 |
| Over 123.75 | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 83% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Points / game | 72.0 | 69.7 | 74.3 |
| Allowed / game | 58.0 | 61.3 | 54.7 |
| Point differential | +14.0 | +8.3 | +19.7 |
| Avg total | 130.0 | 131.0 | 129.0 |
| Over 123.75 | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 74.2 | 54.8 | +19.4 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 73.6 | 68.7 | +4.9 | |
| 3 | Independiente Neuquen W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 63.7 | 59.0 | +4.7 |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 72.0 | 58.0 | +14.0 | |
| 5 | Hindu W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 71.6 | 53.5 | +18.1 |
| 6 | Boca W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 74.9 | 58.9 | +16.0 |
| 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 69.0 | 59.3 | +9.7 | |
| 8 | Velez Sarsfield W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 62.4 | 57.3 | +5.1 |
| 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 77.0 | 62.8 | +14.2 | |
| 10 | Quilmes W | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 64.4 | 60.1 | +4.3 |
| 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 63.3 | 59.3 | +4.0 | |
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 72.1 | 62.2 | +9.9 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 55.8 | 54.8 | +1.0 | |
| 14 | Penarol W | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 54.3 | 62.0 | -7.7 |
| 15 | Union Bahia W | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 52.5 | 65.4 | -12.9 |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 63.2 | 65.2 | -2.0 | |
| 17 | El Bigua W | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 58.4 | 67.1 | -8.8 |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 57.8 | 69.8 | -12.0 | |
| 19 | Regatas San Nicolas W | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 52.0 | 78.8 | -26.8 |
| 20 | Sociedad Espanola W | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 32.2 | 82.8 | -50.7 |
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