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Union Florida W vs El Talar W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Projected 66-68
Projected total 133.8
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game59.3
Union Florida W
Argentina
Vs
43%
57%
■ UNIO 43%■ EL T 57%
Pythia win probability
El Talar W
Argentina
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game58.0
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women· Club Unión Florida Arena
Women2027
Meetings · Union Florida W v El Talar W
15 Nov 2026
UNIO v EL T
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
UNIO59
EL T61
25 Nov 2025
UNIO63
EL T74
14 Feb 2025
UNIO60
EL T62
10 Dec 2024
UNIO73
EL T67
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Union Florida W will host El Talar W on 15 November 2026 in the Liga Femenina Women, a contest the Pythia model projects to be high-scoring with a total of 133.8 points driven by both teams' offensive output. Union Florida W finished the season 4-3, averaging 63.3 points and allowing 59.3, while El Talar W sits 5-1, scoring 72.0 and conceding 58.0, a clear advantage in points per game that fuels the model's expectation of a high total. Union Florida W's home record is 1-2, with a recent 70-36 win away and a 61-66 loss at home, whereas El Talar W is undefeated on the road, 3-0, and has won four of its last five games, including a 74-47 home victory over Avellaneda W. Historically, El Talar W leads the nine meetings 6-3, most recently defeating Union Florida W 67-64 on 22 October 2026. The model gives El Talar W a 57% chance to win and a 45% probability of covering the 1.0-point spread, while the over on the 124-point line has a 72% chance; the projected score is 66-68. An overtime probability of 5% suggests a close finish, and the game will likely hinge on El Talar W's recent road dominance.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Union Florida W win
43.3%fair 2.31
Best odds1.93
Implied49.0%
Edge-5.7pp
El Talar W win
56.7%fair 1.76
Best odds1.83
Implied51.0%
Edge+5.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Union Florida WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro W
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A30/03
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A07/04
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H11/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#9
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H17/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H20/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A22/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H02/11
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A07/11
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
70-36
70
36
+34
A11/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
14-25
16-10
20-22
11-16
16-12
3-12
22-14
17-20
10-15
20-26
9-10
20-22
20-15
17-15
13-22
15-13
18-13
21-14
16-20
10-16
14-13
19-24
12-19
20-25
15-15
13-10
19-14
21-19
21-15
2-20
17-12
16-10
15-11
7-11
12-11
17-8
24-12
15-12
14-4
123.2Avg total
62.1Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)63.359.3122.6+4.057%
Season at home (3)62.066.0128.0-4.033%
Season away (4)64.254.2118.5+10.075%
Last 10 (10)62.161.1123.2+1.040%
Last 5 (5)60.656.2116.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)62.471.4133.8-9.015%
vs Similar (6)57.760.0117.7-2.333%
vs Weaker (11)69.554.4123.8+15.191%
This opponent (El Talar W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Talar WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hindu W
#6
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H20/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H02/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A08/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
88-51
88
51
+37
A19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H22/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H10/11
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A12/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
11-12
16-12
26-11
17-10
10-15
9-17
20-10
17-14
7-19
11-12
20-26
10-24
11-13
20-22
33-21
18-20
17-28
22-11
14-11
18-13
14-11
22-13
13-16
21-8
16-17
32-11
19-15
25-20
15-15
10-13
14-19
25-9
13-12
25-20
11-6
16-13
10-15
18-16
24-16
128.8Avg total
68.4Scored
60.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.058.0130.0+14.083%
Season at home (3)69.761.3131.0+8.367%
Season away (3)74.354.7129.0+19.7100%
Last 10 (10)68.460.4128.8+8.070%
Last 5 (5)72.255.6127.8+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)67.769.9137.6-2.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)71.862.0133.8+9.981%
This opponent (Union Florida W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 118.5
Over 118.5
82.2%
Under 118.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 123.75 · main line
Over 123.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under 123.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 128.5
Over 128.5
62.1%
Under 128.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Union Florida W total 57.5
Over 57.5
79.4%
@ 1.37+15.4pp
Under 57.5
20.6%
@ 2.43-15.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.43
Union Florida W total 61.5 · main line
Over 61.5
66.6%
@ 1.85+16.1pp
Under 61.5
33.4%
@ 1.85-16.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.65
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Union Florida W total 65.5
Over 65.5
51.5%
@ 2.30+13.5pp
Under 65.5
48.5%
@ 1.41-13.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.41
El Talar W total 59.5
Over 59.5
79.2%
@ 1.41+17.6pp
Under 59.5
20.8%
@ 2.27-17.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.27
El Talar W total 63.5 · main line
Over 63.5
66.4%
@ 1.85+17.7pp
Under 63.5
33.6%
@ 1.85-17.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.64
El Talar W total 67.5
Over 67.5
51.2%
Under 67.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Union Florida W -2
UNIO -2
38.0%
@ 2.05-6.3pp
EL T +2
62.0%
@ 1.63+6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
UNIO
Pinnacle
2.05
EL T
Pinnacle
1.63
Spread Union Florida W +1 · main line
UNIO +1
44.6%
@ 1.83-5.4pp
EL T -1
55.4%
@ 1.85+5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
UNIO
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.83
EL T
SBO
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Spread Union Florida W +4
UNIO +4
56.1%
EL T -4
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
UNIO
No market prices yet.
EL T
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
Union Florida WEl Talar W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Union Florida WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro W
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A30/03
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A07/04
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H11/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#9
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H17/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H20/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A22/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H02/11
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A07/11
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A11/11
Liga Femenina Women
64.3Avg total
33.4Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 62.5
Last 30 (30)32.431.063.4+1.550%43%
Last 30 at home (14)32.430.162.5+2.257%43%
Last 30 away (16)32.531.764.2+0.844%44%
Last 10 (10)33.430.964.3+2.550%40%
Last 5 (5)34.628.863.4+5.860%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.235.565.7-5.423%54%
vs Similar (6)31.329.360.7+2.050%33%
vs Weaker (11)35.726.562.2+9.382%36%
This opponent (El Talar W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Talar WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hindu W
#6
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H20/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H02/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A08/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H10/11
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A12/11
Liga Femenina Women
61.1Avg total
30.5Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 62.5
Last 30 (30)33.532.265.8+1.357%60%
Last 30 at home (15)35.333.969.2+1.560%73%
Last 30 away (15)31.730.662.3+1.153%47%
Last 10 (10)30.530.661.1-0.150%20%
Last 5 (5)34.626.661.2+8.080%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)29.734.163.8-4.422%56%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.231.466.6+3.871%62%
This opponent (Union Florida W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
UNIO win
no forecast
@ 1.93
EL T win
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread Union Florida W -1.5 · main line
UNIO -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
EL T +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 62.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Union Florida W 1st half total 31.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
El Talar W 1st half total 30.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half: UNIO + total 62.5
UNIO & over
no forecast
@ 3.40
UNIO & under
no forecast
@ 3.40
1st half: Draw + total 62.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: EL T + total 62.5
EL T & over
no forecast
@ 4.10
EL T & under
no forecast
@ 4.10
1st half Spread Union Florida W -0.5
UNIO -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
EL T +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 60.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Union Florida W +1.5
UNIO +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
EL T -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.02
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
UNIO
no forecast
@ 2.00
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.00
EL T
no forecast
@ 2.10

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
UNIO win + total 123.5
🔒 Pro
EL T win + total 123.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: UNIO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: EL T leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Over 12276.5%1.64
Pinnacle
1.64		----+20.7pp
Over 121.576.9%1.60
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.60		---+20.1pp
El Talar W over 6272.3%1.64
1xBet
1.64		----+19.7pp
El Talar W over 58.581.9%1.39
1xBet
1.39		----+19.2pp
Union Florida W over 57.579.4%1.37
1xBet
1.37		----+15.4pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 13 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Union Florida Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Union Florida W: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.5
48.7%
42.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.6
35.3%
27.8%22.8
🏀 Free throws12.98.8
68.2%
63.7%8.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
El Talar Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

El Talar W: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.717.7
41.5%
42.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.1
40.8%
27.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.213.6
61.3%
63.7%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Union Florida W
WWLWLWLLLL
El Talar W
WWLWWWLLWW
#11
League position
#4
-1.2
Net rating
+20.5
102.4
Offensive rating
104.5
103.6
Defensive rating
83.9
50.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
39.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.3%
3-point %
40.8%
58.2%
Assist %
43.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 104.5Defence103.6 · 83.9Shooting50.3% · 48.2%3-point %35.3% · 40.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Union Florida W   ■ El Talar W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Union Florida W wins
6
El Talar W wins
DateGameScore
22/10/26El Talar W v Union Florida W64-67
23/03/26El Talar W v Union Florida W90-85 OT
30/01/26Union Florida W v El Talar W59-61
25/11/25Union Florida W v El Talar W63-74
09/11/25El Talar W v Union Florida W75-72
09/03/25El Talar W v Union Florida W66-68
15/02/25Union Florida W v El Talar W60-62
11/12/24Union Florida W v El Talar W73-67
21/11/24El Talar W v Union Florida W71-60
Union Florida Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ARegatas San Nicolas W70-36
07/11/26AAvellaneda W50-43
02/11/26HObras Sanitarias W61-66
22/10/26AEl Talar W67-64
20/10/26HFerro W55-72
17/10/26HBerazategui W70-60
10/10/26AObras Sanitarias W70-74
11/04/26HBerazategui W56-71
07/04/26ABerazategui W52-54
30/03/26AFerro W70-71
El Talar Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AFerro W68-60
10/11/26HAvellaneda W74-47
22/10/26HUnion Florida W64-67
19/10/26ARegatas San Nicolas W88-51
16/10/26AAvellaneda W67-53
10/10/26HFerro W71-70
08/05/26AObras Sanitarias W74-80
02/05/26HObras Sanitarias W55-71
25/04/26AHindu W56-52
20/04/26HHindu W67-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Union Florida W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game63.362.064.2
Allowed / game59.366.054.2
Point differential+4.0-4.0+10.0
Avg total122.6128.0118.5
Over 123.7571%100%50%
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
El Talar W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game72.069.774.3
Allowed / game58.061.354.7
Point differential+14.0+8.3+19.7
Avg total130.0131.0129.0
Over 123.7567%67%67%
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rocamora W550100%74.254.8+19.4
2 Obras Sanitarias W76186%73.668.7+4.9
3 Independiente Neuquen W76186%63.759.0+4.7
4 El Talar W65183%72.058.0+14.0
5 Hindu W86275%71.653.5+18.1
6 Boca W86275%74.958.9+16.0
7 Instituto W75271%69.059.3+9.7
8 Velez Sarsfield W75271%62.457.3+5.1
9 Berazategui W64267%77.062.8+14.2
10 Quilmes W74357%64.460.1+4.3
11 Union Florida W74357%63.359.3+4.0
12 Ferro W84450%72.162.2+9.9
13 San Jose W62433%55.854.8+1.0
14 Penarol W72529%54.362.0-7.7
15 Union Bahia W82625%52.565.4-12.9
16 Deportivo Chanares W61517%63.265.2-2.0
17 El Bigua W81712%58.467.1-8.8
18 Avellaneda W81712%57.869.8-12.0
19 Regatas San Nicolas W81712%52.078.8-26.8
20 Sociedad Espanola W6060%32.282.8-50.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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