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UNLV vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 67-39
35-20 32-19
Position#192
Record6-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.8
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#371
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UNLV v Air Force
03 Jan 2026
UNLV67
AIR 39
12 Mar 2025
UNLV68
AIR 59
11 Feb 2025
UNLV77
AIR 52
23 Jan 2024
UNLV58
AIR 90
08 Mar 2023
UNLV78
AIR 70
24 Feb 2023
UNLV54
AIR 53
08 Feb 2022
UNLV78
AIR 44
10 Mar 2021
UNLV80
AIR 52
08 Feb 2021
UNLV69
AIR 64
06 Feb 2021
UNLV68
AIR 58
04 Jan 2020
UNLV71
AIR 59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
76-115
76
115
-39
A26/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H21/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
89-47
89
47
+42
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-47
48-55
49-36
43-42
45-40
54-45
30-27
37-47
36-51
40-64
39-33
26-47
38-39
37-35
33-29
27-34
39-41
45-31
49-19
40-28
159.0Avg total
80.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.878.8160.6+3.150%
Season at home (7)86.774.9161.6+11.957%
Season away (5)75.084.2159.2-9.240%
Last 10 (10)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)74.667.2141.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.575.3142.8-7.823%
vs Similar (9)83.875.2159.0+8.678%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)68.460.4128.8+8.062%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H21/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-40
35-36
32-39
34-25
36-27
41-36
48-49
50-36
24-28
29-43
21-37
42-43
26-41
39-39
25-24
31-37
30-33
28-48
26-36
30-32
138.2Avg total
65.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)64.873.7138.5-8.923%
Season at home (10)66.573.7140.2-7.230%
Season away (3)59.073.7132.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)65.372.9138.2-7.630%
Last 5 (5)59.674.0133.6-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)62.175.9138.0-13.811%
vs Similar (2)68.571.5140.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -1.6-1.6
UNLVAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H12/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H30/12
NCAA
76.5Avg total
40.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.767.8+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.432.068.4+4.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.633.567.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.276.5+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.271.8+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.835.468.2-2.531%-
vs Similar (9)40.236.676.8+3.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)32.924.056.9+8.975%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H21/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H23/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/12
NCAA
64.8Avg total
29.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.235.564.7-6.323%-
Last 30 at home (18)28.835.063.8-6.217%-
Last 30 away (12)29.836.266.1-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)29.435.464.8-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)25.634.259.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)29.435.464.8-6.125%-
vs Similar (2)27.536.564.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
UNLV wins
2
Air Force wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25UNLV v Air Force68-59
12/02/25UNLV v Air Force77-52
31/12/24Air Force v UNLV58-77
22/02/24Air Force v UNLV43-72
24/01/24UNLV v Air Force58-90
08/03/23UNLV v Air Force78-70 OT
25/02/23UNLV v Air Force54-53
09/02/22UNLV v Air Force78-44
21/01/22Air Force v UNLV69-62
10/03/21UNLV v Air Force80-52
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HLa Sierra89-47
21/12/25HFresno State84-72
14/12/25HTennessee State60-63
07/12/25AStanford75-74
27/11/25ARutgers65-80
26/11/25AAlabama76-115
25/11/25AMaryland67-74
21/11/25HSaint Josephs Hawks99-85
16/11/25AMemphis92-78
12/11/25HMontana93-102
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HWyoming56-68
18/12/25ASan Diego State58-81
07/12/25ANavy56-61
04/12/25HPacific65-80
29/11/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes63-80
26/11/25HNorthern Colorado53-71
23/11/25HIU Indy98-85
21/11/25HSiu Edwardsville77-63
19/11/25HAlabama State66-64
15/11/25HMiami (Ohio)61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game81.886.775.0
Allowed / game78.874.984.2
Point differential+3.1+11.9-9.2
Avg total160.6161.6159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %23%30%0%
Points / game64.866.559.0
Allowed / game73.773.773.7
Point differential-8.9-7.2-14.7
Avg total138.5140.2132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1312192%85.667.3+18.3
2 Wyoming1310377%85.071.3+13.7
3 New Mexico1310377%79.868.1+11.7
4 Nevada1310377%77.571.5+5.9
5 Colorado State139469%81.872.4+9.4
6 Boise State139469%75.869.1+6.8
7 San Diego State128467%81.972.1+9.8
8 Grand Canyon128467%76.868.8+8.1
9 UNLV126650%81.878.8+3.1
10 Fresno State136746%75.172.5+2.6
11 San Jose State145936%74.676.9-2.4
12 Air Force1331023%64.873.7-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV353267
Air Force201939
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