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UNLV vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-72
39-41 45-31
Position#192
Record4-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game82.6
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#275
Record6-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UNLV v Fresno State
20 Dec 2025
UNLV84
FRES72
28 Dec 2024
UNLV87
FRES77
30 Jan 2024
UNLV78
FRES69
03 Feb 2023
UNLV79
FRES82
14 Jan 2022
UNLV68
FRES73
26 Feb 2021
UNLV68
FRES67
24 Feb 2021
UNLV64
FRES67
08 Feb 2020
UNLV68
FRES67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#72
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H09/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
76-115
76
115
-39
A26/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-39
38-47
47-36
54-33
45-47
48-55
49-36
43-42
45-40
54-45
30-27
37-47
36-51
40-64
39-33
26-47
38-39
37-35
33-29
27-34
163.5Avg total
80.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.982.6163.5-1.740%
Season at home (5)86.881.0167.8+5.840%
Season away (5)75.084.2159.2-9.240%
Last 10 (10)80.982.6163.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)68.681.2149.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.975.7142.6-8.821%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.275.3158.6+7.978%
vs Weaker (7)65.462.3127.7+3.157%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#274
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-25
30-42
28-20
54-42
30-42
43-36
33-40
42-34
39-42
41-36
41-37
44-39
27-35
49-18
40-34
31-42
24-34
34-48
37-47
50-42
148.8Avg total
75.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.571.5147.9+5.055%
Season at home (9)77.368.3145.7+9.067%
Season away (2)72.585.5158.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)75.373.5148.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)75.475.2150.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)69.881.7151.4-11.914%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.271.8149.0+5.350%
vs Weaker (2)73.564.5138.0+9.050%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: +3.9+3.9
UNLVFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#72
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H05/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H09/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H12/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
NCAA
78.2Avg total
40.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.067.4+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.931.967.7+4.053%-
Last 30 away (15)32.934.167.1-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.778.2+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.871.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.235.968.1-3.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.834.975.7+5.967%-
vs Weaker (7)30.624.755.3+5.971%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#274
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
33.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.636.468.0-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.633.466.0-0.944%-
Last 30 away (12)30.240.871.0-10.717%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.669.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.471.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)29.738.668.3-8.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.830.766.5+5.283%-
vs Weaker (2)33.534.568.0-1.050%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
UNLV wins
4
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Fresno State v UNLV51-52
29/12/24UNLV v Fresno State87-77
15/02/24Fresno State v UNLV65-67
31/01/24UNLV v Fresno State78-69
04/02/23UNLV v Fresno State79-82
21/01/23Fresno State v UNLV76-63
17/02/22Fresno State v UNLV57-60
15/01/22UNLV v Fresno State68-73
27/02/21UNLV v Fresno State68-67
25/02/21UNLV v Fresno State64-67
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HTennessee State60-63
07/12/25AStanford75-74
27/11/25ARutgers65-80
26/11/25AAlabama76-115
25/11/25AMaryland67-74
21/11/25HSaint Josephs Hawks99-85
16/11/25AMemphis92-78
12/11/25HMontana93-102
09/11/25HChattanooga Mocs101-69
05/11/25HUT Martin81-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25ACS Northridge87-89
06/12/25AArkansas58-82
30/11/25HCSU Bakersfield71-76
27/11/25HPepperdine76-53
22/11/25HNew Orleans85-76
19/11/25HStephen F. Austin80-78
16/11/25HUtah Valley State75-74
13/11/25HUC San Diego73-78
08/11/25HLong Beach State82-62
06/11/25HUSC Upstate66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game80.986.875.0
Allowed / game82.681.084.2
Point differential-1.7+5.8-9.2
Avg total163.5167.8159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %55%67%0%
Points / game76.577.372.5
Allowed / game71.568.385.5
Point differential+5.0+9.0-13.0
Avg total147.9145.7158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1110191%85.966.7+19.2
2 New Mexico119282%81.568.9+12.5
3 Wyoming129375%86.472.6+13.8
4 Colorado State129375%83.472.2+11.2
5 Boise State118373%78.069.5+8.5
6 Nevada118373%77.472.9+4.5
7 San Diego State96367%81.874.4+7.3
8 Grand Canyon117464%75.567.9+7.6
9 Fresno State116555%76.571.5+5.0
10 San Jose State115645%75.773.8+1.9
11 UNLV104640%80.982.6-1.7
12 Air Force123925%65.574.2-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV394584
Fresno State413172
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