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Uralmash Ekaterinburg vs Lokomotiv Kuban Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Projected 80-87
Projected total 166.7
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game84.2
Vs
28%
72%
■ UEK 28%■ LKU 72%
Pythia win probability
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game76.5
RussiaVTB United League· DIVS Sport Hall
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Uralmash Ekaterinburg v Lokomotiv Kuban
18 Nov 2026
UEK v LKU
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
UEK84
LKU71
18 Nov 2025
UEK69
LKU87
29 Apr 2025
UEK77
LKU82
27 Apr 2025
UEK68
LKU112
01 Mar 2025
UEK81
LKU79
08 Dec 2024
UEK83
LKU90
17 Jan 2024
UEK80
LKU67
15 Oct 2023
UEK84
LKU78
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Uralmash Ekaterinburg will host Lokomotiv Kuban in the VTB United League on 18 November 2026, with the model designating Lokomotiv Kuban as the favourite and predicting a 72% chance of victory for the visitors against a 28% chance for the hosts; the projected score is 80-87 and the total points are 166.7. Uralmash has gone 4-4 this season, averaging 83.9 points scored and 84.6 points allowed, while Lokomotiv Kuban is 7-1, scoring 91.4 points per game and conceding 76.5, and sits second in the league. At home Uralmash is 2-1, posting 86.7 points and 83.3 points allowed, and has won three of its last five games; recent victories include a 101-85 win over MBA Moscow at home on 7 November 2026, an 88-79 win over Dynamo Vladivostok at home on 21 October 2026, and a 94-75 win away against Samara on 17 October 2026. Lokomotiv Kuban has won all five of its most recent games, with notable wins of 106-84 over Parma Perm at home on 7 November 2026, 107-80 over Unics Kazan at home on 1 November 2026, and 92-62 away against Samara on 25 October 2026. The teams are even on their all-time head-to-head record, 5-5, though Uralmash last beat Lokomotiv Kuban 84-71 on 29 January 2026, and the model gives a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uralmash Ekaterinburg win
27.6%fair 3.63
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lokomotiv Kuban win
72.4%fair 1.38
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Uralmash EkaterinburgRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H04/05
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A25/09
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A30/09
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A07/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H10/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A14/10
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A17/10
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H21/10
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H07/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A14/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
23-23
18-18
6-18
24-23
14-19
13-25
17-25
19-19
21-18
16-20
24-18
25-14
24-34
19-21
17-21
17-25
27-20
17-23
10-18
21-24
25-22
15-32
23-17
17-23
29-17
20-16
28-19
22-24
26-17
20-20
20-18
25-17
25-24
26-28
25-16
14-15
23-21
31-18
20-27
165.6Avg total
82.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.384.2168.6+0.156%
Season at home (3)86.783.3170.0+3.367%
Season away (6)83.284.7167.8-1.550%
Last 10 (10)82.083.6165.6-1.650%
Last 5 (5)91.083.0174.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.381.6154.9-8.225%
vs Similar (7)82.784.4167.1-1.743%
vs Weaker (11)85.871.6157.5+14.291%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H09/06
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A12/06
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H27/09
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H03/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A11/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H14/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H18/10
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
92-62
92
62
+30
A25/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
107-80
107
80
+27
H01/11
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
106-84
106
84
+22
H07/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
24-24
18-18
23-23
19-20
26-20
18-17
21-19
20-15
17-22
19-16
25-13
17-25
24-22
27-21
24-19
23-27
17-27
19-16
25-17
30-21
18-12
21-18
27-23
22-24
24-15
15-13
12-20
21-17
28-14
24-15
19-16
33-21
29-23
26-16
19-20
23-18
29-25
27-27
27-14
167.9Avg total
90.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.476.5167.9+14.988%
Season at home (6)92.577.2169.7+15.3100%
Season away (2)88.074.5162.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)90.677.3167.9+13.390%
Last 5 (5)94.874.4169.2+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.984.4164.2-4.536%
vs Similar (5)92.281.2173.4+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.872.6165.5+20.2100%
This opponent (Uralmash Ekaterinburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1251%1302%1354%1406%1458%15010%15512%16012%16511%1709%1758%1805%1854%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1252%1356%14510%15512%1659%1755%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 167 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
66.4%
Under 159.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
54.6%
Under 164.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
42.4%
Under 169.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Uralmash Ekaterinburg total 80
Over 80
48.2%
Under 80
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uralmash Ekaterinburg total 84
Over 84
33.2%
Under 84
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uralmash Ekaterinburg total 88
Over 88
20.8%
Under 88
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kuban total 76.5
Over 76.5
84.5%
Under 76.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kuban total 80.5
Over 80.5
73.5%
Under 80.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kuban total 84.5
Over 84.5
59.5%
Under 84.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%11%0%-391%-361%-332%-303%-274%-246%-217%-188%-159%-1210%-911%-68%-35%+07%+36%+64%+93%+122%+151%+181%+210%+24
1%-362%-304%-247%-189%-1211%-65%+06%+63%+121%+180%+24
Margin from Uralmash Ekaterinburg's side (positive = Uralmash Ekaterinburg win). Pythia's expected margin is -7.2; Uralmash Ekaterinburg win by 1+ in 24% of simulations.
Spread Uralmash Ekaterinburg -3
UEK -3
20.8%
LKU +3
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
UEK
No market prices yet.
LKU
No market prices yet.
Spread Uralmash Ekaterinburg 0
UEK 0
27.6%
LKU 0
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
UEK
No market prices yet.
LKU
No market prices yet.
Spread Uralmash Ekaterinburg +3
UEK +3
34.6%
LKU -3
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
UEK
No market prices yet.
LKU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
Uralmash EkaterinburgLokomotiv Kuban
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Uralmash EkaterinburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/05
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/09
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A30/09
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A07/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H10/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/10
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A17/10
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/10
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/11
VTB United League
85.3Avg total
43.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.480.9+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.141.080.1-1.936%-
Last 30 away (16)41.739.981.6+1.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.885.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.886.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.442.883.2-2.325%-
vs Similar (7)41.043.084.0-2.029%-
vs Weaker (11)40.236.376.5+3.964%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H09/06
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A12/06
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H27/09
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H03/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A11/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/10
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A25/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H01/11
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H07/11
VTB United League
88.2Avg total
47.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.185.6+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.342.087.3+3.359%-
Last 30 away (13)41.242.383.5-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.288.2+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)51.438.089.4+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.744.183.9-4.421%-
vs Similar (5)47.643.090.6+4.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.539.285.6+7.364%-
This opponent (Uralmash Ekaterinburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Uralmash Ekaterinburgtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.6
52.9%
-43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.2
34.8%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws16.612.5
75.3%
-12.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AEnisey88-81
07/11/26HMBA Moscow101-85
21/10/26HDynamo Vladivostok88-79
17/10/26ASamara94-75
14/10/26AUnics Kazan84-95
10/10/26HParma Perm71-86
07/10/26ACSKA Moscow85-90
30/09/26ASaratov80-75
25/09/26AZenit Petersburg68-92
04/05/26HZenit Petersburg61-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HParma Perm106-84
01/11/26HUnics Kazan107-80
25/10/26ASamara92-62
18/10/26HZenit Petersburg73-72
14/10/26HSaratov96-74
11/10/26ACSKA Moscow84-87
03/10/26HMBA Moscow92-87
27/09/26HEnisey81-66
12/06/26AZenit Petersburg84-76
09/06/26HZenit Petersburg91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uralmash Ekaterinburg
VTB United League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game84.386.783.2
Allowed / game84.283.384.7
Point differential+0.1+3.3-1.5
Avg total168.6170.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lokomotiv Kuban
VTB United League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %88%100%50%
Points / game91.492.588.0
Allowed / game76.577.274.5
Point differential+14.9+15.3+13.5
Avg total167.9169.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow10100100%92.670.4+22.2
2 Lokomotiv Kuban87188%91.476.5+14.9
3 Unics Kazan97278%93.174.8+18.3
4 Zenit Petersburg107370%85.075.1+9.9
5 Uralmash Ekaterinburg95456%84.384.2+0.1
6 Parma Perm94544%87.486.4+1.0
7 MBA Moscow94544%88.090.0-2.0
8 Dynamo Vladivostok103730%88.197.3-9.2
9 Saratov103730%72.888.8-16.0
10 Enisey81712%81.488.6-7.2
11 Samara100100%67.996.6-28.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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