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Urupan vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 94-92
22-19 26-20 24-28 22-25
Position#10
Record6-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game87.6
Urupan 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#5
Record11-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game82.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urupan
Other2024-25
Meetings · Urupan v Defensor
04 Mar 2025
URUP94
DEFE92
04 Jan 2024
URUP77
DEFE88
02 Dec 2022
URUP101
DEFE74
18 Feb 2022
URUP85
DEFE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urupan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
83avg 74
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
60avg 74
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
66-91
66
91
-25
55avg 74
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
90-61
90
61
+29
84avg 74
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
74avg 74
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
74avg 74
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
65-121
65
121
-56
56avg 74
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 74
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
60avg 74
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
88-99
88
99
-11
81avg 74
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
21-27
23-18
27-25
20-30
22-19
20-17
16-25
11-27
23-31
16-16
16-17
27-16
25-18
22-14
16-13
24-14
15-15
16-22
18-14
20-24
22-17
22-28
25-24
25-27
10-36
14-29
16-29
28-22
24-24
19-31
26-13
19-25
21-27
21-15
11-24
21-21
32-20
18-26
17-32
170.3Avg total
80.9Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.587.6168.1-7.129%
Season at home (10)84.495.8180.2-11.420%
Season away (11)76.980.2157.1-3.336%
Last 10 (10)80.989.4170.3-8.530%
Last 5 (5)82.298.8181.0-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.188.4165.5-11.414%
vs Similar (9)76.172.8148.9+3.356%
vs Weaker (7)79.470.3149.7+9.186%
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
98-90
98
90
+8
92avg 75
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
88avg 75
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
91-66
91
66
+25
96avg 75
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
81-79
81
79
+2
75avg 75
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 75
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
80avg 75
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 75
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
112-77
112
77
+35
113avg 75
H08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 75
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
84-85
84
85
-1
77avg 75
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
28-13
24-25
21-27
28-11
21-18
21-13
17-29
27-11
31-23
16-16
17-16
27-28
22-18
22-17
10-16
17-23
19-16
26-26
19-31
25-16
15-18
22-23
18-23
14-15
26-26
17-21
30-18
29-17
23-23
30-22
30-15
24-21
22-22
28-19
19-22
26-26
14-25
21-20
23-14
171.8Avg total
90.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.482.2169.6+5.252%
Season at home (11)90.378.9169.2+11.464%
Season away (10)84.385.8170.1-1.540%
Last 10 (10)90.081.8171.8+8.270%
Last 5 (5)92.483.2175.6+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.985.4163.3-7.525%
vs Similar (7)87.979.1167.0+8.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.679.8172.5+12.873%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
UrupanDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
89.2Avg total
43.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.442.484.8+0.054%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.845.989.7-2.254%-
Last 30 away (15)41.239.380.5+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.289.2-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.448.693.0-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.945.985.7-6.036%-
vs Similar (8)43.240.884.0+2.550%-
vs Weaker (6)47.236.583.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
85.8Avg total
46.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.283.9+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.339.284.5+6.156%-
Last 30 away (14)41.941.483.2+0.564%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.585.8+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.885.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.242.081.2-2.833%-
vs Similar (7)44.742.687.3+2.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)48.036.784.7+11.382%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.922.4
49.9%
51.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.1
31.1%
33.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.6
69.7%
71.7%13.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.024.4
56.7%
51.5%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
33.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.6%
71.7%13.0
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urupan
LLWLLWWLLL
Defensor
LWWWLLWWWW
#10
League position
#5
-11.5
Net rating
+11.6
100.6
Offensive rating
115.6
112.0
Defensive rating
104.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.1%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.1%
3-point %
33.8%
61.7%
Assist %
60.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 115.6Defence112.0 · 104.1Shooting48.8% · 54.4%3-point %31.1% · 33.8%Ball care16.1% · 14.1%Off. rebounds24.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Urupan   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Urupan wins
5
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
20/01/25Defensor v Urupan91-66
05/01/24Urupan v Defensor77-88
09/11/23Defensor v Urupan78-67
03/02/23Defensor v Urupan107-102
02/12/22Urupan v Defensor101-74
19/02/22Urupan v Defensor85-73
08/12/21Defensor v Urupan81-73
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AWelcome88-99
13/02/25AMalvin72-91
06/02/25HTrouville97-90
03/02/25HNacional65-121
31/01/25HBigua89-93
28/01/25AHebraica y Macabi73-65
24/01/25AUrunday90-61
20/01/25ADefensor66-91
17/01/25AAguada78-91
13/01/25HCordon91-92
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HPenarol84-85
12/02/25ATrouville93-84
08/02/25HWelcome112-77
04/02/25HMalvin87-80
31/01/25HHebraica y Macabi86-90 OT
27/01/25ANacional81-96
24/01/25ABigua81-79
20/01/25HUrupan91-66
16/01/25ACordon87-71
13/01/25HUrunday98-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%20%36%
Points / game80.584.476.9
Allowed / game87.695.880.2
Point differential-7.1-11.4-3.3
Avg total168.1180.2157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game87.490.384.3
Allowed / game82.278.985.8
Point differential+5.2+11.4-1.5
Avg total169.6169.2170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2119290%94.077.5+16.5
2 Aguada2117481%89.180.2+9.0
3 Penarol2116576%84.874.0+10.7
4 Malvin2114767%80.475.8+4.6
5 Defensor21111052%87.482.2+5.2
6 Bigua2191243%84.385.6-1.3
7 Hebraica y Macabi2191243%85.888.2-2.5
8 Cordon2191243%83.686.4-2.8
9 Urunday2171433%79.385.8-6.4
10 Urupan2161529%80.587.6-7.1
11 Welcome2151624%77.493.8-16.3
12 Trouville2141719%74.183.6-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urupan2226242294
Defensor1920282592
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